FanDuel MLB: Wednesday Value Plays

FanDuel MLB: Wednesday Value Plays

This article is part of our FanDuel MLB series.

Pitcher

Jeremy Hellickson, PHI at WAS ($6,300): Being a big underdog is less than ideal, but a 3.48 xFIP, 3.33 SIERA and 23.8 percent K-rate showcase that Hellickson has actually been considerably better than the stats may initially present. Against right-handers, the Nationals have managed just an 82 wRC+. There's always that Harper dude hiding away in the order, however.

Matt Moore, TBR vs. BAL ($7,600): Moore is underpriced in relation to how good he's been so far this season. He's posted a 3.39 xFIP, 3.22 SIERA, 25.2 percent K-rate and not to be overlooked is the suppression of his walks, down to just 4.9 percent. The Orioles are actually reasonably good against lefties, but can be prone to strikeouts and this game takes place in the pitcher-friendly confines of Tropicana Field.

Catcher

Stephen Vogt, OAK at DET ($2,600): There's only one reason for Vogt to be this cheap, and that's the platoon he shares with Phegley. Against righties this season he's hitting for a 321 wOBA, .175 ISO and 111 wRC+. A slightly suppressed BABIP and the fact that his numbers were even better last year (128 wRC+), indicate even better things could be coming for this very underpriced catcher. Verlander actually fares better against lefties than righties, so this was not a pick I had planned on making, but at this price Vogt offers supreme value. If you want a more traditional split and good matchup, you can look toward Nick Hundley ($3,300) in Coors.

First Base

David Ortiz, BOS vs. ATL ($3,500): After sitting out the two games of this four-game interleague series in Atlanta, Ortiz should be back in the lineup with the venue shifting back to Boston. Presumably due to sitting out a couple games his price has taken a fall. making him an extremely good value. Opposing pitcher Bud Norris has struggled this season and has allowed a career .356 wOBA against left-handed batters. Ortiz's career wOBA against righties stands at an impressive .420.

Second Base

Neil Walker, NYM vs. CIN ($3,700): With a 5.47 xFIP, 5.90 SIERA and 2.53 HR/9; it's safe to say Jon Mascot may not be a major league quality pitcher. Despite an anomaly so far this season where he's surprisingly killed lefties for an entirely unsustainable 341 wRC+ and .695 wOBA, Walker has actually fared better against righties throughout his career, sporting a career 122 wRC+ and .347 wOBA. Walker has a lot of power for a second baseman with eight home runs already this season, and Moscot has allowed too many homers so far this season (not to mention how terrible the Reds bullpen is behind him).

Third Base

Adrian Beltre, TEX vs. NYY ($3,300): Beltre opposes has-been southpaw CC Sabathia at home in a game with a very high over/under of 9.5. After a subpar year in 2015, Beltre has rebounded so far this season with a .354 wOBA and .200 ISO. His career wRC+ against lefties is 134 (as opposed to 112 against righties), so Sabathia's struggles against right-handed batters in recent years is likely to raise its ugly head here.

Shortstop

Trevor Story, COL vs. PIT ($4,200): This isn't to say Story's beginning to the season is sustainable (he's already returning towards the mean of his expectations) or that his big strikeout rate isn't an issue (36.5 percent. It's a bold strategy, Cotton), but Niese is a subpar pitcher with subpar splits against righties who's working in every pitcher's worst nightmare, Coors Field. There's no track record with Story, and the BABIP is a tad inflated, but he does have a 153 wRC+ and .437 wOBA against lefties this season.

Outfield

Curtis Granderson, NYM vs. CIN ($3,600): As already stated, Moscot is not good. Granderson is sporting a .368 wOBA and .256 ISO so far this year, despite a BABIP of just .268 (32 points below his career average).

Michael Conforto, NYM vs. CIN ($3,800): It's a belated move to many fans, but nonetheless putting Conforto into the third spot the order has paid tremendous dividends. The young lefty is smacking the ball around so far this season with a .445 wOBA and .279 ISO. If he sustained that through the season (admittedly unlikely with a .391 BABIP) they would MVP-type numbers if Bryce Harper didn't reside in the same league.

Stephen Piscotty, STL at ARI ($3,200): Corbin has been subpar with both an xFIP and SIERA over 4.00, but more importantly he's struggled with righties throughout his career and is pitching in the hitters' paradise known as Chase Field. In his short career, Piscotty has a .402 wOBA and .236 ISO against southpaws.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Alex Spalding plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel: ajump08, DraftKings: ajump08.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Alex Spalding
Alex splits his expertise between College Basketball, NBA, NFL, MLB, and Saturday morning BPL. You'll find him under the username ajump08 on DraftKings and FanDuel.
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