Alek Manoah

Alek Manoah

26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Toronto Blue Jays
15-Day IL
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 7/1/2025
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Last year was an absolute nightmare for Manoah. After compiling a stellar 2.60 ERA and 307:91 K:BB over his first 308.1 major-league innings between 2021-22, the burly right-hander sunk to a 5.87 ERA and 79:59 K:BB across 87.1 innings in 2023 and was even demoted to the minors on two different occasions. He received injections for discomfort in his right arm toward the end of the year, which is about the only thing to point to for how he suddenly lost his fastball and slider command. Manoah, 26, might be the riskiest bet on the board this winter -- pitcher or hitter -- given the wide range of where he'll be selected from draft to draft and the wide range of possible outcomes for his 2024 stat line. We've seen what the fantasy ceiling looks like and how valuable Manoah can be as a front-line starter on a good Blue Jays team, but we also now have an unfortunate taste of his rather frightening floor. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#362
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Blue Jays in March of 2024.
Set for internal brace surgery
PToronto Blue Jays
Elbow
June 11, 2024
Manoah won't require a traditional Tommy John surgery and is instead slated to undergo a hybrid internal brace procedure Monday to repair the sprained UCL in his right elbow, Shi Davidi of Sportsnet.ca reports.
ANALYSIS
Blue Jays manager John Schneider had previously disclosed Friday that Manoah would require a season-ending elbow surgery, but Davidi's report provides more specificity regarding the nature of the procedure. Renowned arm specialist Dr. Keith Meister is set to perform the procedure, which involves replacing the UCL and anchoring the new UCL to an internal brace suture. Though the internal brace procedure typically shortens the length of a pitcher's recovery compared to the 12-to-18-month timeline for Tommy John surgery, Davidi notes that Manoah is still expected to be on the shelf "well into next year." The significant arm injury further muddles Manoah's long-term outlook with the Blue Jays, which had already been somewhat murky following a disastrous 2023 campaign in which he posted a 5.87 ERA and 14.2 percent walk rate over 87.1 innings.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
79
Last 10 Games
79
Last 5 Games
79
How many pitches does Alek Manoah generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Alek Manoah generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-25%
BAA vs RHP
2024
 
 
-58%
BAA vs RHP
2023
 
 
-4%
BAA vs RHP
2022
 
 
-33%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .249 727 140 80 158 28 3 25
Since 2022vs Right .186 575 145 38 96 21 0 11
2024vs Left .250 57 15 3 13 1 0 5
2024vs Right .105 46 11 5 4 1 0 0
2023vs Left .274 230 42 37 52 11 2 9
2023vs Right .263 183 37 22 41 6 0 6
2022vs Left .237 440 83 40 93 16 1 11
2022vs Right .159 346 97 11 51 14 0 5
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-10%
ERA on Road
2024
 
 
-100%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-47%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-14%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 3.58 1.21 146.0 8 10 0 8.0 3.6 1.1
Since 2022Away 3.22 1.20 162.1 12 8 0 8.6 3.3 1.0
2024Home 0.00 0.50 14.0 1 1 0 8.4 1.3 0.6
2024Away 8.71 1.74 10.1 0 1 0 11.3 5.2 3.5
2023Home 8.15 2.29 35.1 0 5 0 7.9 8.4 2.3
2023Away 4.33 1.37 52.0 3 4 0 8.3 4.5 1.0
2022Home 2.42 0.92 96.2 7 4 0 8.0 2.1 0.7
2022Away 2.07 1.06 100.0 9 3 0 8.5 2.5 0.7
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Alek Manoah compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.25
 
K/9
9.6
 
BB/9
3.0
 
HR/9
1.8
 
Fastball
93.4 mph
 
ERA
3.70
 
WHIP
1.03
 
BABIP
.220
 
GB/FB
1.00
 
Left On Base
50.0%
 
Exit Velocity
80.3 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
6.3%
 
Spin Rate
2247 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
21.9%
 
Swinging Strike
12.7%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Alek Manoah See More
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Not expected to be traded
PToronto Blue Jays
February 1, 2024
The Blue Jays have been telling inquiring teams that they have no intention of trading Manoah, Jon Morosi of MLB Network reports.
ANALYSIS
Manoah had a disastrous 2023 season that ended with some shoulder issue, and his relationship with the Jays reportedly soured over how some things were handled, leading to trade speculation. However, Morosi says the right-hander's offseason workouts have gone well and Manoah is expected to be part of Toronto's Opening Day rotation. Manoah turned just 26 last month and his fantasy stock could rise if he looks good this spring.
See All MLB Rumors
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
Manoah had a fantastic sophomore season embracing the role of staff ace and performing like one for those fantasy managers who took the leap of faith with the big guy. The strikeout rate was not as strong as hoped, but he cut down on his walks and was once again one of the toughest pitchers in the league to hit. The slider was once again his bread and butter pitch, but he can still overpower hitters with the fastball and the changeup took a very nice step forward in 2022 becoming more of a weapon against lefties than it was in his rookie season gaining some whiffiness along the way. He has never had a season at any level where he has worked anywhere near the volume he worked in 2022, but his physique could insulate him from the regression we have seen from other younger arms who have gone through similar workload spikes in their mid 20s. Quite honestly, that is the only risk here because all the arrows point in a positive direction for him this coming season.
Lance Lynn's physique doppleganger had an excellent rookie season, helping Toronto stay in the postseason race until the season's final day. His size and deception were tough for the league to pick up as he had greater than 30% Whiff rates on both his four-seamer and slider last season while the league hit .200 or worse against both offerings. The slider was particularly filthy with its ability to head toward home plate and seemingly change lanes like tourists driving on the interstate near Disney World out of nowhere. A slip on the dugout stairs leading to the IL and a five-game suspension for intentionally hitting Maikel Franco were the only blemishes on an otherwise stellar rookie resume. The next challenge for him is going to be working on the changeup to keep lefties at bay as lefty-laden lineups were more of a challenge while righties often walked back to the dugout in frustration.
Last season was supposed to be Manoah's breakout, but as with most prospects, the pandemic set a different course. After spring training got put on hold, he opened a gym in a Miami warehouse with his brother, where he worked on his strength and conditioning with regular games of catch mixed in. Manoah then headed to the Jays' alternate training site where he worked all summer on his changeup, among other things. At 6-foot-6, 270 pounds, Manoah has a CC Sabathia/Aaron Harang type of body that will generate skepticism from many, but so far it has not hindered his development. His mid-90s fastball (touches 98) and putaway slider remain, and he is now confident enough in his changeup to throw it to same-handed hitters in a full count. Without a full season to build up endurance, Manoah spent this offseason working on endurance and lower-body training. His breakout season may just be a year behind schedule.
Manoah arguably has the highest ceiling among the college pitchers selected in the 2019 draft, but there are a couple areas of concern. First, he did not demonstrate starter-level strike-throwing ability until his final year at West Virginia. Secondly, his 6-foot-6, 260-pound physique is matched by very few big-league starters -- CC Sabathia and Aaron Harang come to mind as having comparable bodies when they broke in as starting pitchers. That said, he has a plus mid-90s fastball with movement and a hard slider that could develop into a second plus pitch. Only his good traits were on display in a 17-inning debut in the Northwest League, where he logged a 39.7 K% and 7.4 BB%, but he never went more than four innings in an outing. He should be sent to Low-A or High-A for his first full season, where he will be tasked with getting more consistent with his slider, refining his changeup and honing his command.
More Fantasy News
Set to undergo UCL surgery
PToronto Blue Jays
Elbow
June 7, 2024
Manager John Schneider said Friday that Manoah will undergo season-ending surgery June 17 to repair the UCL in his right elbow, Shi Davidi of Sportsnet.ca reports.
ANALYSIS
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Diagnosed with sprained UCL
PToronto Blue Jays
Elbow
May 31, 2024
The Blue Jays placed Manoah on the 15-day injured list Friday with a right elbow sprain, Shi Davidi of Sportsnet.ca reports.
ANALYSIS
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Expected to miss significant time
PToronto Blue Jays
Elbow
May 31, 2024
Manoah will receive a second opinion on his injured right elbow, but the expectation is that he's going to be sidelined for an extended period of time, Scott Mitchell of TSN.ca reports.
ANALYSIS
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Headed for MRI
PToronto Blue Jays
Elbow
May 29, 2024
Manoah will receive an MRI on his right elbow Thursday, Keegan Matheson of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Exits with trainer
PToronto Blue Jays
Elbow
May 29, 2024
Manoah was removed from Wednesday's game against the White Sox in the second inning due right elbow discomfort.
ANALYSIS
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