Bailey Ober

Bailey Ober

29-Year-Old PitcherSP
Minnesota Twins
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Ober had a strong season that has him set to be a vital part of Minnesota's 2024 rotation. Ober began the season in the minors as the odd man out in a six-man rotation and got some spot starts in April before joining the rotation in May. He was sent down briefly in August to manage his workload, but finished strong with a 2.08 ERA over his last four starts (though he was hit hard in his lone playoff outing by giving up six runs in a loss). Ober doesn't have an overpowering fastball (91.4 mph average), but it's offset by his outstanding control (5% BB%) and above average off-speed pitches (slider, curve ball, change-up). His changeup became a lethal weapon by allowing just a .268 wOBA and helped lead to an overall 14.5% swinging K%. After throwing 144.1 innings, Ober shouldn't face any limitations on workload after staying healthy after struggling through injuries his first two major league seasons. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#142
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Twins in March of 2024.
Falls to White Sox
PMinnesota Twins
July 10, 2024
Ober (8-5) took the loss in the opening game of Wednesday's doubleheader with the White Sox, allowing three runs on four hits and a walk over six innings. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
Ober held the White Sox to one run through his first five innings before Luis Robert launched a two-run homer in the sixth, putting Minnesota in a 3-0 hole in an eventual 3-1 loss. Still, Ober was able to deliver his fifth straight quality start -- he's posted a 2.17 ERA over 33.1 innings in that span. The 28-year-old Ober now sports a 4.14 ERA through 18 starts (100 innings) this year with an impressive 1.08 WHIP and 106:24 K:BB.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
87
Last 10 Games
91
Last 5 Games
92
How many pitches does Bailey Ober generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Bailey Ober generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-2%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-14%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-3%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-21%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .227 569 124 34 119 29 3 13
Since 2022vs Right .232 635 179 30 138 26 3 29
2024vs Left .209 176 44 9 34 10 1 6
2024vs Right .242 224 62 15 50 11 2 10
2023vs Left .228 293 63 17 62 13 1 6
2023vs Right .236 284 83 12 63 11 0 16
2022vs Left .258 100 17 8 23 6 1 1
2022vs Right .205 127 34 3 25 4 1 3
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-15%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-30%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-8%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-9%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 3.31 1.10 138.2 9 4 0 9.3 2.1 1.4
Since 2022Away 3.90 1.04 161.2 9 10 0 8.9 1.8 1.1
2024Home 3.29 1.12 38.1 4 1 0 10.6 2.1 1.6
2024Away 4.67 1.05 61.2 4 4 0 8.9 2.2 1.3
2023Home 3.30 1.07 76.1 3 3 0 8.4 2.0 1.5
2023Away 3.57 1.06 68.0 5 3 0 9.9 1.6 1.2
2022Home 3.38 1.17 24.0 2 0 0 10.5 2.3 0.8
2022Away 3.09 0.97 32.0 0 3 0 6.5 1.4 0.6
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Bailey Ober compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
4.42
 
K/9
9.5
 
BB/9
2.2
 
HR/9
1.4
 
Fastball
92.0 mph
 
ERA
4.14
 
WHIP
1.08
 
BABIP
.279
 
GB/FB
0.76
 
Left On Base
70.1%
 
Exit Velocity
80.9 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.7%
 
Spin Rate
2138 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
22.0%
 
Swinging Strike
14.1%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
Ober improved on his rookie season in terms of ERA (3.21) and WHIP (1.5) but he made just 11 starts due injury. Ober was sidelined from early June to early September with an aponeurotic plate injury, which he described as a tendon pulling on his pelvic bone. He was lights out when he returned with a 2.01 ERA and a 22:4 K:BB ratio in 22.1 innings. He doesn't have an overpowering fastball (91.6 mph average), but it's offset by his outstanding control (1.77 BB/9) and above average off-speed pitches (slider, curve ball). Home runs allowed have been an issue in the past and he may have been lucky last season with a 4.8% HR/FB and since he was 12th worst among all pitchers in Barrel Rate allowed. Ober will compete for a spot in the rotation this spring and could be productive if he can keep the ball in the park and stay healthy.
Ober had a strong showing in his first taste of the majors with a 4.19 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 96:19 K:BB across 92.1 innings (20 starts) before his season ended due to a hip injury in late September. He displayed a good strikeout rate (25.3%) and strong walk rate (5%), but struggled with the long ball (1.95 HR/9). At 26, he's a bit of a late bloomer after missing significant time in college due to Tommy John surgery and struggling with injuries early in his minor league career. He doesn't have an overpowering fastball (92.5 mph average), but it's offset by his outstanding control and improving off-speed pitches (slider, curve ball). Ober is expected to win a rotation spot to begin the 2022 campaign and could improve dramatically if he can keep the ball in the park.
More Fantasy News
Twins-White Sox postponed Tuesday
PMinnesota Twins
July 9, 2024
Ober and the Twins won't face the White Sox on Tuesday after the game was postponed due to inclement weather in Chicago.
ANALYSIS
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Keeps rolling for eighth win
PMinnesota Twins
July 4, 2024
Ober (8-4) picked up the win Thursday against Detroit, allowing three runs (one earned) on seven hits and no walks over six innings. He struck out eight.
ANALYSIS
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Strikes out nine Friday
PMinnesota Twins
June 28, 2024
Ober allowed a run on two hits and three walks while striking out nine over six innings in a no-decision versus the Mariners on Friday.
ANALYSIS
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Tosses first career complete game
PMinnesota Twins
June 22, 2024
Ober (7-4) earned the win over Oakland on Saturday, allowing two runs on four hits and no walks while striking out 10 batters over nine innings.
ANALYSIS
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Strong in win
PMinnesota Twins
June 16, 2024
Ober (6-4) allowed one run on six hits and two walks while striking out eight over 6.1 innings to earn the win over the Athletics in Game 1 of Sunday's doubleheader.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Piggyback role being considered
PMinnesota Twins
August 23, 2023
Ober could operate in a piggyback role with Dallas Keuchel once Joe Ryan returns from his groin injury, per Dan Hayes of The Athletic.
ANALYSIS
The Twins are weighing whether to move to a six-man rotation or use the piggyback strategy once Ryan is back, which could be as early as this weekend. Ober has certainly earned his spot in the rotation with a 3.41 ERA over 118.2 innings this year, but that workload -- plus 17.2 frames at Triple-A -- already represents a career high by nearly 30 innings. Minnesota will likely want to manage the right-hander's workload in some form during the final five-plus weeks of the regular season, though it remains to be seen exactly how the organization chooses to do so.
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