Brandon Marsh

Brandon Marsh

26-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Philadelphia Phillies
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Marsh took steps forward in several areas during his first full season in Philadelphia, going from a player who posted a .248/.303/.374 line (88 wRC+) over his first two seasons to one who hit .277/.372/.458 (125 wRC+). His 30.5 percent strikeout rate remains a notable weakness, but it also represents a big step forward from the 34.5 percent mark he carried into last season. Marsh has enough other tools between his glove, legs and above-average power (9.1 percent barrel rate) that all he needs to do is keep his strikeouts tolerable and he could be a productive player for a long time, though fantasy players might be hoping for a little more category juice. Despite that good barrel rate and his 82nd-percentile sprint speed, Marsh managed only a modest 12 homers and 10 steals. His opportunities against lefties dried up in the second half, limiting him to 472 plate appearances and hurting his counting stats. Marsh's career .591 OPS against lefties may continue to limit him to a platoon role going forward, especially due to the emergence of Johan Rojas. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#346
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Phillies in March of 2024.
Absent from Game 3 lineup
OFPhiladelphia Phillies
October 8, 2024
Marsh is not in the lineup Tuesday for Game 3 of the NLDS versus the Mets, Alex Coffey of The Philadelphia Inquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
The left-handed-hitting Marsh will take a seat as the Mets go with lefty Sean Manaea as their Game 3 starter. Austin Hays is in left field and batting seventh for the Phillies.
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Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
8
19
22
30
20
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
2
7
4
2
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+36%
OPS vs RHP
2024
 
 
+43%
OPS vs RHP
2023
 
 
+21%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+51%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .588 305 23 6 31 5 .204 .273 .315
Since 2022vs Right .797 1104 139 33 141 34 .272 .348 .449
2024vs Left .552 90 6 1 8 2 .192 .270 .282
2024vs Right .792 386 49 15 52 17 .262 .342 .450
2023vs Left .717 110 9 3 16 0 .229 .321 .396
2023vs Right .864 362 49 9 44 10 .292 .387 .477
2022vs Left .486 105 8 2 7 3 .188 .225 .260
2022vs Right .735 356 41 9 45 7 .262 .315 .421
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+21%
OPS at Home
2024
 
 
+31%
OPS at Home
2023
 
 
+16%
OPS at Home
2022
 
 
+18%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home .824 690 91 25 89 18 .278 .354 .470
Since 2022Away .682 719 71 14 83 21 .236 .311 .372
2024Home .845 240 35 12 35 9 .270 .343 .502
2024Away .644 236 20 4 25 10 .227 .314 .330
2023Home .896 219 24 5 26 6 .306 .406 .489
2023Away .772 253 34 7 34 4 .252 .341 .431
2022Home .735 231 32 8 28 3 .262 .316 .419
2022Away .624 230 17 3 24 7 .229 .274 .350
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Stat Review
How does Brandon Marsh compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.32
 
BB Rate
10.5%
 
K Rate
32.4%
 
BABIP
.348
 
ISO
.170
 
AVG
.249
 
OBP
.328
 
SLG
.419
 
OPS
.747
 
wOBA
.329
 
Exit Velocity
91.6 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
37.5%
 
Barrels/PA
5.7%
 
Expected BA
.236
 
Expected SLG
.406
 
Sprint Speed
23.9 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
38.2%
 
Line Drive %
24.0%
 
Fly Ball %
37.8%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Marsh was a well-regarded prospect, but after he hit .239/.299/.354 in his first 583 plate appearances, the Angels decided to move on. They traded him to the Phillies at the deadline in exchange for catcher Logan O'Hoppe. Marsh would miss time after crashing into an outfield wall, but the change of scenery seemed to do him well as he slashed .288/.319/.455 in 41 games down the stretch in the regular season, numbers propped up by a .398 BABIP. Entering his age-25 campaign, Marsh remains a work in progress with his only bankable skill being speed. He has struck out in more than one-third of his big-league PA to date. The fact that he was able to hit 11 homers and steal 10 bases last season between Los Angeles and Philadelphia speaks to his natural ability and athleticism. but until he's able to make more contact, he will have a lid on his fantasy upside.
Marsh appears to be on the precipice of his first legit chance at regular playing time with the Angels. He played in 98 games over three levels last season, most of which were spent with the big-league club with below-average production. His stolen base efficiency was nice and will likely be rewarded by the aggressive Joe Maddon this season, but Marsh showed more gap power than over-the-fence power, with both homers going the opposite way last season. One of those homers was a Camden Yards special that would not be a homer this year while the other was a fence scraper in Chicago. He will accept his walks just as he will strike out, so he is going to hit down in the lineup until his overall game improves. He has the athleticism to take the step forward, but Marsh could also find himself losing playing time to what's left of Justin Upton in a platoon situation.
Despite standing 6-foot-4, 215 pounds, Marsh's game power is the weakest of his five tools. He hit nine home runs in 115 games at Double-A and the Arizona Fall League during his age-21 season. His 26.5 Hard% and 52.6 GB% in the Southern League point to why this has been an issue. Even if he never fully taps into his above-average raw power in games, there is still a lot to like with Marsh. He could be a high-end defender in center or right field, and he has even seen work at first base in case that's the only open spot for him in the big-league lineup. His plus speed is an asset on both sides of the ball, and he could develop into a lefty-hitting No. 1 or No. 2 hitter if his hit tool maxes out. Availability has been an issue for the 23-year-old, but if he stays healthy, he should spend a chunk of 2021 in the big leagues.
Marsh (6-foot-4, 215 pounds) looks like he should hit for power, but that has been a struggle for him in pro ball. He hit nine home runs in 115 games at Double-A and the Arizona Fall League during his age-21 season. His 26.5 Hard% and 52.6 GB% in the Southern League point to why this has been an issue. There is still a lot to like: he used the whole field and hit .304 with an 11.1 BB% and 22.0 K% across those two stops. He also put his plus speed to work and stole 22 bases on 29 attempts. With the speed for center and the arm for right, he will provide the Angels with valuable defensive versatility. Even without any swing changes, he may lead off for the big-league club in a year or two, thanks to his command of the strike zone. The decks are clear for Jo Adell to take one outfield spot early this season, and when Marsh is ready in 2020 or 2021, he should push Justin Upton to a part-time role.
A tooled up outfielder who missed time due to injuries early in his career, Marsh came into 2018 poised for significant upward momentum. Everything went according to plan at Low-A, where he displayed his plus power (.174 ISO) and above-average speed (4-for-4 on SB attempts). His .400 BABIP at that level warrants mentioning, but that's not an outrageous mark for a player at Low-A who hits the ball as hard as he does. Marsh earned a promotion to the Cal League in mid-May, where he struggled for much of the summer. He salvaged his High-A slash line late in the season, hitting .294/.368/.461 over his final 24 games, although he was still striking out at a 25.4% clip. The Angels will send him to Double-A for his age-21 season, where he will likely go through another adjustment period. Marsh can play all three outfield spots, and has 25-15 potential, but he is a better bet in OBP leagues, and will eventually slow down (already 6-foot-4, 210 pounds).
The only knock on Marsh is that he has just 39 games under his belt entering his age-20 season. Injuries have limited him, but he has legitimate five-category potential. The Angels gave him a little over $1 million in 2016 and he went on to miss the whole season with a stress fracture in his back. He also missed a month last season with a thumb injury. However, when healthy, his tools have really stood out. At 6-foot-4, 210 pounds, Marsh is very physical in the box, on the bases and in the field. He has the speed for center and the arm for right. An above average runner, Marsh's speed plays up on the bases due to his aggressive style and base-stealing acumen (10-for-12 in 2017). He displayed plus raw power in his pro debut, and could eventually be a 30-homer threat. Given the lost developmental time, the most impressive aspect of his season was his exceptional all-fields approach and 18.2 percent strikeout rate. Marsh has the polish and impact potential to move quickly through the lower levels.
More Fantasy News
Not facing lefty
OFPhiladelphia Phillies
September 21, 2024
Marsh is out of the lineup for Saturday's game against the Mets.
ANALYSIS
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Out against left-hander
OFPhiladelphia Phillies
September 20, 2024
Marsh is not in the lineup for Friday's game versus the Mets.
ANALYSIS
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Homers in loss
OFPhiladelphia Phillies
September 16, 2024
Marsh went 2-for-4 with a solo home run and a double in Monday's 6-2 loss to the Brewers.
ANALYSIS
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Sitting vs. lefty
OFPhiladelphia Phillies
September 15, 2024
Marsh is not starting Sunday against the Mets.
ANALYSIS
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Idle against southpaw
OFPhiladelphia Phillies
September 13, 2024
Marsh is out of the lineup for Friday's game against the Mets.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Sticking in Philly?
OFPhiladelphia Phillies
October 28, 2024
According to Lochlahn March of The Philadelphia Inquirer, Phillies president Dave Dombrowski labeled Marsh as a player that will "for sure" be part of the club's outfield in 2025.
ANALYSIS
Marsh posted an .830 OPS during 2023 in his first full season with Philadelphia, but he regressed to a .249/.328/.419 slash line this year over 135 regular-season games. The 26-year-old had a .552 OPS versus left-handed pitching, which likely solidified his outlook as a platoon outfielder. It appears Marsh will be sticking with the Phillies for now, but there's also a chance he's moved over the winter if the organization is able to pull off a splash signing or trade.
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