Brandon Marsh

27-Year-Old OutfielderOF

Philadelphia Phillies

2024 Stats

AVG

.249

RBI

2025 Projections

AVG

RBI

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2025 Fantasy Outlook

Marsh remained a useful contributor to the Phillies and to fantasy teams last season but didn't take many meaningful steps forward in his age-26 campaign. He managed double digits in homers and steals for the third straight year, though he's yet to reach 20 in either category, with his 16 homers and 19 steals last season both representing career highs. He's yet to post a strikeout rate under 30%, but he hits the ball hard, with a 10.0% barrel rate last year helping him to a .249/.328/.419 line (108 wRC+) despite all the whiffs. A player with a competent bat and a strong glove in the outfield could lead drafters to dream about big counting-stat totals should Marsh be able to blow past the career-high 476 plate appearances he managed last season, but that might be unwise. The Phillies have generally been unwilling to use him in anything more than a platoon role, and given his .216/.276/.305 career slash line against southpaws, that's unlikely to change any time soon. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

From Preseason

Overall Rank

Dynasty

League Majors

Bats L

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'4"

Weight 215

DOB 12/18/1997

Born Buford, GA

College None

Drafted 2nd Rd 2016 LAA

Absent from Game 3 lineup

OFPhiladelphia Phillies

October 8, 2024

Marsh is not in the lineup Tuesday for Game 3 of the NLDS versus the Mets, Alex Coffey of The Philadelphia Inquirer reports.

ANALYSIS
The left-handed-hitting Marsh will take a seat as the Mets go with lefty Sean Manaea as their Game 3 starter. Austin Hays is in left field and batting seventh for the Phillies.

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Batting Stats

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2024

2023

2022

2021

2024 MLB Game Log

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2023 MLB Game Log

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2022 MLB Game Log

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2021 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Batting Order Slot Breakdown

vs Right-Handed Pitchers

vs RHP

vs Left-Handed Pitchers

vs LHP

Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2022

+36%

OPS vs RHP

2024

+43%

OPS vs RHP

2023

+21%

OPS vs RHP

2022

+51%

OPS vs RHP

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022vs Left	.588	305	23	6	31	5	.204	.273	.315
Since 2022vs Right	.797	1104	139	33	141	34	.272	.348	.449
2024vs Left	.552	90	6	1	8	2	.192	.270	.282
2024vs Right	.792	386	49	15	52	17	.262	.342	.450
2023vs Left	.717	110	9	3	16	0	.229	.321	.396
2023vs Right	.864	362	49	9	44	10	.292	.387	.477
2022vs Left	.486	105	8	2	7	3	.188	.225	.260
2022vs Right	.735	356	41	9	45	7	.262	.315	.421
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Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2022

+21%

OPS at Home

2024

+31%

OPS at Home

2023

+16%

OPS at Home

2022

+18%

OPS at Home

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022Home	.824	690	91	25	89	18	.278	.354	.470
Since 2022Away	.682	719	71	14	83	21	.236	.311	.372
2024Home	.845	240	35	12	35	9	.270	.343	.502
2024Away	.644	236	20	4	25	10	.227	.314	.330
2023Home	.896	219	24	5	26	6	.306	.406	.489
2023Away	.772	253	34	7	34	4	.252	.341	.431
2022Home	.735	231	32	8	28	3	.262	.316	.419
2022Away	.624	230	17	3	24	7	.229	.274	.350
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Stat Review

How does Brandon Marsh compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

BB/K
Walk to strikeout ratio
BB Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
K Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
BABIP
Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
ISO
Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
AVG
Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
OBP
On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
SLG
Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
OPS
On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
wOBA
Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
Exit Velocity
The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
Hard Hit Rate
A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
Barrels/PA
The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
Expected BA
Expected Batting Average.
Expected SLG
Expected Slugging Percentage.
Sprint Speed
The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
Ground Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
Line Drive %
The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
Fly Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.

BB/K

0.32

BB Rate

10.5%

K Rate

32.4%

BABIP

.348

ISO

.170

AVG

.249

OBP

.328

SLG

.419

OPS

.747

wOBA

.329

Exit Velocity

91.6 mph

Hard Hit Rate

37.5%

Barrels/PA

5.7%

Expected BA

.236

Expected SLG

.406

Sprint Speed

23.9 ft/sec

Ground Ball %

38.2%

Line Drive %

24.0%

Fly Ball %

37.8%

Prospect Rankings History

View Complete Brandon Marsh Prospect Ranking History

Advanced Batting Stats

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Additional Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Batted Ball Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

Marsh took steps forward in several areas during his first full season in Philadelphia, going from a player who posted a .248/.303/.374 line (88 wRC+) over his first two seasons to one who hit .277/.372/.458 (125 wRC+). His 30.5 percent strikeout rate remains a notable weakness, but it also represents a big step forward from the 34.5 percent mark he carried into last season. Marsh has enough other tools between his glove, legs and above-average power (9.1 percent barrel rate) that all he needs to do is keep his strikeouts tolerable and he could be a productive player for a long time, though fantasy players might be hoping for a little more category juice. Despite that good barrel rate and his 82nd-percentile sprint speed, Marsh managed only a modest 12 homers and 10 steals. His opportunities against lefties dried up in the second half, limiting him to 472 plate appearances and hurting his counting stats. Marsh's career .591 OPS against lefties may continue to limit him to a platoon role going forward, especially due to the emergence of Johan Rojas.

Marsh was a well-regarded prospect, but after he hit .239/.299/.354 in his first 583 plate appearances, the Angels decided to move on. They traded him to the Phillies at the deadline in exchange for catcher Logan O'Hoppe. Marsh would miss time after crashing into an outfield wall, but the change of scenery seemed to do him well as he slashed .288/.319/.455 in 41 games down the stretch in the regular season, numbers propped up by a .398 BABIP. Entering his age-25 campaign, Marsh remains a work in progress with his only bankable skill being speed. He has struck out in more than one-third of his big-league PA to date. The fact that he was able to hit 11 homers and steal 10 bases last season between Los Angeles and Philadelphia speaks to his natural ability and athleticism. but until he's able to make more contact, he will have a lid on his fantasy upside.

Marsh appears to be on the precipice of his first legit chance at regular playing time with the Angels. He played in 98 games over three levels last season, most of which were spent with the big-league club with below-average production. His stolen base efficiency was nice and will likely be rewarded by the aggressive Joe Maddon this season, but Marsh showed more gap power than over-the-fence power, with both homers going the opposite way last season. One of those homers was a Camden Yards special that would not be a homer this year while the other was a fence scraper in Chicago. He will accept his walks just as he will strike out, so he is going to hit down in the lineup until his overall game improves. He has the athleticism to take the step forward, but Marsh could also find himself losing playing time to what's left of Justin Upton in a platoon situation.

Despite standing 6-foot-4, 215 pounds, Marsh's game power is the weakest of his five tools. He hit nine home runs in 115 games at Double-A and the Arizona Fall League during his age-21 season. His 26.5 Hard% and 52.6 GB% in the Southern League point to why this has been an issue. Even if he never fully taps into his above-average raw power in games, there is still a lot to like with Marsh. He could be a high-end defender in center or right field, and he has even seen work at first base in case that's the only open spot for him in the big-league lineup. His plus speed is an asset on both sides of the ball, and he could develop into a lefty-hitting No. 1 or No. 2 hitter if his hit tool maxes out. Availability has been an issue for the 23-year-old, but if he stays healthy, he should spend a chunk of 2021 in the big leagues.

Marsh (6-foot-4, 215 pounds) looks like he should hit for power, but that has been a struggle for him in pro ball. He hit nine home runs in 115 games at Double-A and the Arizona Fall League during his age-21 season. His 26.5 Hard% and 52.6 GB% in the Southern League point to why this has been an issue. There is still a lot to like: he used the whole field and hit .304 with an 11.1 BB% and 22.0 K% across those two stops. He also put his plus speed to work and stole 22 bases on 29 attempts. With the speed for center and the arm for right, he will provide the Angels with valuable defensive versatility. Even without any swing changes, he may lead off for the big-league club in a year or two, thanks to his command of the strike zone. The decks are clear for Jo Adell to take one outfield spot early this season, and when Marsh is ready in 2020 or 2021, he should push Justin Upton to a part-time role.

A tooled up outfielder who missed time due to injuries early in his career, Marsh came into 2018 poised for significant upward momentum. Everything went according to plan at Low-A, where he displayed his plus power (.174 ISO) and above-average speed (4-for-4 on SB attempts). His .400 BABIP at that level warrants mentioning, but that's not an outrageous mark for a player at Low-A who hits the ball as hard as he does. Marsh earned a promotion to the Cal League in mid-May, where he struggled for much of the summer. He salvaged his High-A slash line late in the season, hitting .294/.368/.461 over his final 24 games, although he was still striking out at a 25.4% clip. The Angels will send him to Double-A for his age-21 season, where he will likely go through another adjustment period. Marsh can play all three outfield spots, and has 25-15 potential, but he is a better bet in OBP leagues, and will eventually slow down (already 6-foot-4, 210 pounds).

The only knock on Marsh is that he has just 39 games under his belt entering his age-20 season. Injuries have limited him, but he has legitimate five-category potential. The Angels gave him a little over $1 million in 2016 and he went on to miss the whole season with a stress fracture in his back. He also missed a month last season with a thumb injury. However, when healthy, his tools have really stood out. At 6-foot-4, 210 pounds, Marsh is very physical in the box, on the bases and in the field. He has the speed for center and the arm for right. An above average runner, Marsh's speed plays up on the bases due to his aggressive style and base-stealing acumen (10-for-12 in 2017). He displayed plus raw power in his pro debut, and could eventually be a 30-homer threat. Given the lost developmental time, the most impressive aspect of his season was his exceptional all-fields approach and 18.2 percent strikeout rate. Marsh has the polish and impact potential to move quickly through the lower levels.

More Fantasy News

Not facing lefty

OFPhiladelphia Phillies

September 21, 2024

Marsh is out of the lineup for Saturday's game against the Mets.