Brayan Bello

Brayan Bello

25-Year-Old PitcherSP
Boston Red Sox
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Bello exhibited some improvement in his first full season, but he still has work to do if he wants to be a front of the rotation starter. He improved his control, but it came at the expense of strikeouts. Bello has the raw stuff to be more dominant, but he's yet to establish a third pitch to complement his sinker and outstanding changeup. Not only was his swinging strike percentage below average, but his called strike percentage was well below average, resulting in one of the lowest CSW% among pitchers throwing at least 150 innings. Bello has the arsenal to improve both swinging and called strikes, he just needs to find the right sequencing. Bello should have a rotation spot locked up and won't have any innings restrictions. The cost to see if he can take the nest step shouldn't be prohibitive, but he's in the wrong division, with the wrong home park to use in a streaming capacity. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#223
ADP
$Signed a six-year, $55 million contract extension with the Red Sox in March of 2024. Contract includes $21 million team option for 2030.
Fans seven in quality start
PBoston Red Sox
July 21, 2024
Bello did not factor into the decision in a loss to the Dodgers on Saturday, allowing three runs on five hits and one walk over six innings while striking out seven.
ANALYSIS
Bello struck out four of the first six batters he faced in the contest prior to surrendering a solo homer to Gavin Lux in the bottom of the second. The right-hander was then able to hold the Dodgers scoreless over the next three frames before allowing three of the first four batters to reach in the sixth, leading to two more runs coming across for Los Angeles. Bello had won each of his previous three starts coming in and now holds a 28:5 K:BB in July. He's also logged quality starts in back-to-back outings and in four of his last six overall.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
89
Last 10 Games
88
Last 5 Games
83
How many pitches does Brayan Bello generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Brayan Bello generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-12%
BAA vs RHP
2024
 
 
-2%
BAA vs RHP
2023
 
 
-27%
BAA vs RHP
2022
 
 
-10%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .299 635 101 51 172 36 3 24
Since 2022vs Right .264 722 178 55 172 38 1 16
2024vs Left .277 205 38 18 51 12 0 10
2024vs Right .272 216 54 16 53 9 0 5
2023vs Left .313 322 44 21 93 19 2 13
2023vs Right .229 346 88 24 72 17 0 11
2022vs Left .295 108 19 12 28 5 1 1
2022vs Right .329 160 36 15 47 12 1 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-4%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-26%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-17%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-22%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 4.54 1.47 150.2 10 14 0 7.9 3.2 1.1
Since 2022Away 4.74 1.43 159.1 14 10 0 8.3 3.0 1.2
2024Home 6.20 1.65 40.2 4 3 0 8.4 4.0 1.5
2024Away 4.58 1.29 55.0 6 2 0 8.8 2.6 1.3
2023Home 3.86 1.35 81.2 5 7 0 7.5 2.6 1.2
2023Away 4.66 1.33 75.1 7 4 0 7.6 2.5 1.6
2022Home 4.13 1.59 28.1 1 4 0 8.3 3.5 0.0
2022Away 5.28 1.97 29.0 1 4 0 9.0 5.0 0.3
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Stat Review
How does Brayan Bello compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.71
 
K/9
8.7
 
BB/9
3.2
 
HR/9
1.4
 
Fastball
95.9 mph
 
ERA
5.27
 
WHIP
1.44
 
BABIP
.334
 
GB/FB
2.16
 
Left On Base
67.5%
 
Exit Velocity
81.8 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.5%
 
Spin Rate
2033 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
26.8%
 
Swinging Strike
12.1%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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2023 Fantasy Outlook
After dominating at Double-A Portland and Triple-A Worcester, Bello was promoted in early July and immediately inserted into the Red Sox rotation. The righty was overmatched and sent back to Triple-A in early August. Bello was recalled three weeks later and gathered much better results. He registered a 3.12 ERA down the stretch, albeit with an inflated 1.56 WHIP, stemming from a .336 BABIP over that 36.1 inning sample. Bello needs to work on his control, but he throws 97-mph and possesses a plus changeup. With some fine tuning and seasoning, Bello could be a rotation staple. It remains to be seen if Bello makes the necessary adjustments and breaks camp in Boston's rotation.
More Fantasy News
Earns 10th win
PBoston Red Sox
July 14, 2024
Bello (10-5) picked up the win Sunday, allowing three runs on seven hits and a walk over 6.1 innings against the Royals. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
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Racks up career-high 11 Ks
PBoston Red Sox
July 10, 2024
Bello (9-5) picked up the win in Tuesday's 12-9 victory over the A's, giving up five runs on nine hits and two walks over 5.1 innings. He struck out a career-high 11.
ANALYSIS
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Fans seven in eighth win
PBoston Red Sox
July 4, 2024
Bello (8-5) picked up the win Wednesday, allowing one run on seven hits and a walk over 6.2 innings in a 7-2 victory over the Marlins. He struck out seven.
ANALYSIS
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Denied two-start week
PBoston Red Sox
June 26, 2024
Red Sox manager Alex Cora said that Bello won't start Sunday's game against the Padres as previously planned and will instead make his next start Wednesday in Miami, Chris Cotillo of MassLive.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Early exit against Jays
PBoston Red Sox
June 26, 2024
Bello (7-5) took the loss Tuesday, coughing up seven runs on five hits and three walks over 2.1 innings as the Red Sox were downed 9-4 by the Blue Jays. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Brings back four-seam fastball
PBoston Red Sox
July 5, 2024
Bello threw his four-seam fastball 11 times during Wednesday's win against the Marlins after not using the pitch in his first 14 starts of the season, reports Chris Cotillo of MassLive.com.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander ditched the offering after opposing batters hit .310 and slugged .646 against it in 2023, but he elected to re-introduce the pitch after being pushed back a few days following a rough June. Bello made five starts in the month and surrendered 22 earned runs with a 20:14 K:BB across 24 innings, so it was encouraging to see him give up just a single run in 6.2 frames Wednesday. The 25-year-old's fastball velocity is up nearly a full tick this year, which could help the four-seamer play better if he continues to utilize it.
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