Bryce Miller
26-Year-Old
2024 Stats
W-L
11-8
ERA
3.12
WHIP
0.99
K
158
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Miller is a fascinating pitcher to study because we expect to see rookie pitchers struggle in some areas, but in this case, there is not any one thing that sticks out as the source of his 4.32 ERA. Miller was stingy with walks, was tough to hit, and stranded runners at a league-average rate. His extreme flyball outcomes left him more susceptible to homers than other starters, but even his 1.2 HR/9 ratio was not terribly out of whack for someone with his volume of flyball outcomes. Simply put, this was a solid foundational beginning to what could be a bright pitching future if he can fine-tune some things. His whiffiest pitch is his fastball, which speaks to a need for him to find a secondary offering that can get swings and misses when needed. A six-pitch repertoire may be better suited if tuned down to four pitches. Seattle has steadily increased his workload, so 170+ innings is there for the taking if he is ready for it. Read Past Outlooks
Strong over six innings
Miller did not factor into the decision in a loss to the Rangers on Thursday, allowing one run on five hits and one walk over six innings while striking out seven.
ANALYSIS
Miller impressed during his time on the mound, allowing only a solo shot by Josh Jung in the top of the second inning. It marked the right-hander's second consecutive quality start and the third time in his last four outings that he allowed one or fewer runs. Miller also managed to record seven strikeouts on the night despite generating only six whiffs, marking his highest strikeout total this month. He now carries a 2.16 ERA through three September starts to go along with a 15:6 K:BB.
Miller impressed during his time on the mound, allowing only a solo shot by Josh Jung in the top of the second inning. It marked the right-hander's second consecutive quality start and the third time in his last four outings that he allowed one or fewer runs. Miller also managed to record seven strikeouts on the night despite generating only six whiffs, marking his highest strikeout total this month. He now carries a 2.16 ERA through three September starts to go along with a 15:6 K:BB.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
88
Last 10 Games
90
Last 5 Games
90
How many pitches does Bryce Miller generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Bryce Miller generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-21%
BAA vs RHP
2024
-7%
BAA vs RHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .252 | 125 | 44 | 140 | 27 | |||
Since 2022vs Right | .199 | 152 | 21 | 111 | 12 | |||
2024vs Left | .215 | 78 | 28 | 70 | 15 | |||
2024vs Right | .199 | 80 | 11 | 57 | 6 | |||
2023vs Left | .303 | 47 | 16 | 70 | 12 | |||
2023vs Right | .200 | 72 | 10 | 54 | 6 | |||
2022vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2022vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-42%
ERA at Home
2024
-55%
ERA at Home
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | 2.74 | 0.96 | 164.1 | 9.3 | 1.9 | ||||
Since 2022Away | 4.76 | 1.18 | 134.1 | 7.2 | 2.0 | ||||
2024Home | 1.99 | 0.86 | 90.1 | 10.3 | 1.9 | ||||
2024Away | 4.44 | 1.14 | 77.0 | 6.4 | 2.3 | ||||
2023Home | 3.65 | 1.08 | 74.0 | 8.0 | 1.9 | ||||
2023Away | 5.18 | 1.22 | 57.1 | 8.3 | 1.6 | ||||
2022Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2022Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Bryce Miller compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
4.05K/9
8.5BB/9
2.1HR/9
1.1Fastball
95.1 mphERA
3.12WHIP
0.99BABIP
.252GB/FB
0.96Left On Base
76.9%Exit Velocity
83.7 mphBarrels/BBE
5.5%Spin Rate
2174 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
24.9%Swinging Strike
11.0%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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2023 Fantasy Outlook
When factoring in movement and shape, Miller's mid-90s fastball is a 70-grade pitch. He also has a plus mid-to-high-80s slider. Those two offerings allowed him to climb three levels of the minors in 2022, with over half his innings coming at High-A and a 10-start run to close the year at Double-A. He had three double-digit strikeout games over his final 13 starts, compiling a 3.46 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and 81:22 K:BB in 67.2 innings over that run to close the year. The 24-year-old righty might have a good enough one-two punch in his fastball and slider to have success as a starter who relies heavily on two pitches, but improving his changeup would really help matters. The Mariners don't love sending prized pitchers to the Pacific Coast League, so it's possible Miller will return to Double-A to start the year and he may even bypass Triple-A altogether down the road. He could help the club this summer as a reliever if they wanted to ease him into big-league action while continuing to view him as a long-term starter.
More Fantasy News
Blanks Cards for 11th win
Miller (11-8) picked up the win in Friday's 6-1 victory over the Cardinals, allowing three hits and two walks over six scoreless innings. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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Short start versus Angels
Miller (10-8) allowed three runs on four hits and three walks while striking out four over 4.2 innings to take the loss versus the Angels on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Fans 10 in 10th victory
Miller (10-7) earned the win over Tampa Bay on Monday, allowing one run on two hits and no walks while striking out 10 batters over seven innings.
ANALYSIS
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Completes only four frames
Miller did not factor into the decision in Tuesday's loss to the Dodgers, allowing two runs on five hits and two walks while striking out five in four innings.
ANALYSIS
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Excellent again in no-decision
Miller didn't factor into the decision in Thursday's 2-1 loss to the Tigers. He allowed just two hits while striking out nine over seven scoreless innings.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Finding success with new splitter
Miller has induced a swing-and-miss on 33 percent of the swings on his new splitter through four starts, per Ryan Divish of The Seattle Times.
ANALYSIS
Miller has pitched well early in 2024 with a 1.85 ERA, 0.82 WHIP and 24:7 K:BB across 24.1 innings, and the splitter has clearly played a role in that success. The right-hander is also using the new pitch at a decent clip of 19.4 percent, trailing only his four-seam fastball and sinker. It's still a small sample size, but Miller is building on his strong 2023 rookie campaign.
Miller has pitched well early in 2024 with a 1.85 ERA, 0.82 WHIP and 24:7 K:BB across 24.1 innings, and the splitter has clearly played a role in that success. The right-hander is also using the new pitch at a decent clip of 19.4 percent, trailing only his four-seam fastball and sinker. It's still a small sample size, but Miller is building on his strong 2023 rookie campaign.