Ceddanne Rafaela

Ceddanne Rafaela

23-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Boston Red Sox
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Rafaela is such a good athlete that he is a plus defensive center fielder who can also hold his own at shortstop and second base. He stole 39 bases in 136 games across Double-A, Triple-A and the majors and used his elite bat speed to launch 22 home runs in his age-22 season, despite a 5-foot-9 frame. His .319/.373/.579 slash line with a 20.2 K% and 5.9 BB% over his final 82 games in the minors last season earned him his first call to the majors. From a raw tools standpoint, he's a clear big leaguer. However, his hit tool needs refinement. He had a 38.8 Chase% and a 72.1 Contact%, leading to a 31.5 K% and 4.5 BB% in the majors. Working the count will never be Rafaela's strength, but he could eventually follow a path similar to Tim Anderson or Michael Harris, where he's not walking much but is doing enough damage and making enough contact to still be an above-average hitter. It's not clear how quickly that part of his game will advance from here, but his defensive chops will make him a priority addition to the big-league lineup once Boston thinks his bat is ready. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#326
ADP
$Signed an eight-year, $46 million extension with the Red Sox in April of 2024. Contract includes $16 million team option ($4 million buyout) for 2032.
Out of Saturday's lineup
OFBoston Red Sox
September 14, 2024
Rafaela isn't in the Red Sox's lineup for Saturday's game against the Yankees, Jen McCaffrey of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Rafaela has been held hitless in eight at-bats through the first two games of the series, and he'll now get a chance to regroup as he sits Saturday. Enmanuel Valdez will start at second base and bat ninth.
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Batting Stats
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2024
2023
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2023 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
4
2
14
74
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
2
11
29
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+11%
OPS vs RHP
2024
 
 
+12%
OPS vs RHP
2023
 
 
+5%
OPS vs RHP
2022
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .624 175 25 4 14 5 .213 .259 .366
Since 2022vs Right .693 453 54 13 61 17 .262 .285 .407
2024vs Left .620 148 20 3 11 4 .217 .265 .355
2024vs Right .695 391 48 12 59 15 .261 .282 .413
2023vs Left .645 27 5 1 3 1 .192 .222 .423
2023vs Right .675 62 6 1 2 2 .263 .306 .368
2022vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+3%
OPS at Home
2024
 
 
+5%
OPS on Road
2023
 
 
+70%
OPS at Home
2022
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home .683 313 38 8 35 8 .248 .285 .398
Since 2022Away .665 315 41 9 40 14 .248 .271 .394
2024Home .658 267 30 6 31 7 .245 .278 .379
2024Away .692 272 38 9 39 12 .254 .277 .415
2023Home .838 46 8 2 4 1 .268 .326 .512
2023Away .494 43 3 0 1 2 .214 .233 .262
2022Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Ceddanne Rafaela compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.10
 
BB Rate
2.8%
 
K Rate
26.5%
 
BABIP
.316
 
ISO
.148
 
AVG
.250
 
OBP
.277
 
SLG
.398
 
OPS
.675
 
wOBA
.294
 
Exit Velocity
86.7 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
24.5%
 
Barrels/PA
5.2%
 
Expected BA
.234
 
Expected SLG
.378
 
Sprint Speed
25.1 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
41.9%
 
Line Drive %
21.1%
 
Fly Ball %
37.0%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Ceddanne Rafaela See More
Weekly Hitter Rankings: The Playoff Push
2 days ago
Shohei Ohtani and the Dodgers are one of 14 teams with a seven-game schedule from September 16-22. Todd Zola highlights the matchups and unveils his weekly hitter rankings.
Weekly Hitter Rankings: Scoring is Way Down
9 days ago
The Cleveland Guardians are one of six teams with seven games the week of September 9 to September 15. See how they and the rest of the MLB rank in Todd Zola's weekly hitter rankings.
Lineup Lowdown: American League
13 days ago
Parker Meadows has locked down the Tigers' leadoff spot against righties and has started making contact at a high clip for the first time in his career.
The Z Files: What It Takes
13 days ago
Todd Zola provides some data to help you determine whether even Aaron Judge is capable of slugging your team into contention over the season's final stretch.
Weekly Hitter Rankings: Raise the Jolly Roger
16 days ago
Bryan Reynolds and the Pirates top Todd Zola’s hitter rankings for the week of September 2 to September 8.
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Rafaela put up impressive offensive numbers in 2022 that oversold his realistic MLB upside, but his center field defense is so good that he should have no problem carving out a big-league career. He doesn't hit the ball very hard and is prone to chasing, but Rafaela still managed a .301/.342/.540 slash line despite an ugly 4.8 BB%. Thankfully, he has plus speed to go with his plus-plus defense, so the 28-for-35 success rate on the bases could translate as he continues to climb. If he can just hit .230 or .240, Rafaela could be allowed to play every day in center field while hitting at the bottom of the order and chipping in 10-to-20 home runs with 20-plus steals. He is on the 40-man roster but may not debut until 2024.
More Fantasy News
Plays second base
OFBoston Red Sox
September 12, 2024
Rafaela started at second base and went 1-for-4 with an RBI in Wednesday's 5-3 extra-inning win over the Orioles.
ANALYSIS
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Knocks in four in win
OFBoston Red Sox
September 10, 2024
Rafaela started in center field and went 2-for-4 with a double, four RBI and a run scored in Monday's 12-3 win over the Orioles.
ANALYSIS
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Sitting Sunday
OFBoston Red Sox
September 8, 2024
Rafaela is not in the starting lineup for Sunday's game against the White Sox, Jen McCaffrey of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Starts in center field
OFBoston Red Sox
September 8, 2024
Rafaela started in center field and went 0-for-4 in Saturday's 7-5 win over the White Sox.
ANALYSIS
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Will move to second base
OFBoston Red Sox
September 7, 2024
Rafaela is expected to move to second base Saturday, when shortstop Trevor Story (shoulder) will be activated off the 60-day injured list, MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Likely to start 2024 in minors
OFBoston Red Sox
October 31, 2023
Rafaela is likely to start next season as the center fielder at Triple-A Worcester, Chris Cotillo of The Springfield Republican reports.
ANALYSIS
Rafaela played regularly down the stretch for the Red Sox and showed flashes but wound up finishing with a .666 OPS and 28:4 K:BB over 89 plate appearances. With Jarren Duran expected to be recovered from toe surgery for the start of next season and slated to reclaim his center field job, Rafaela can return to the minors for more seasoning.
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