Cedric Mullins

Cedric Mullins

29-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Baltimore Orioles
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Mullins struggled for a second consecutive seasons to match the production from his breakout season in 2021. 2023 saw him struggle at the plate around two different stints on the injured list with groin strains that clearly had an impact on his efforts at the plate. Despite the injuries, Mullins was voluming at a 2022 pace but not being 100% certainly impacted his strikeouts at the plate which pulled his batting average down once again. Mullins has now seen his average fall nearly 60 points over the past two seasons and much of the red ink which once proliferated his StatCast profile has turned into a cool blue hue. 2023 saw Mullins lean into a pull-heavy flyball approach which helped him pace ahead of 2022's power numbers but he literally limped to a .205/.249/.374 triple-slash line from August 1st to the end of the season. A healthy Mullins can still volume his way fantasy value, but 2021 was the dream while a blend of the past two seasons is closer to reality. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#141
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $6.33 million contract with the Orioles in January of 2024.
Drives in run, steals base in win
OFBaltimore Orioles
September 14, 2024
Mullins went 2-for-3 with an RBI and a stolen base in Saturday's 4-2 win over the Tigers.
ANALYSIS
Mullins drove in the Orioles' first run with an RBI single in the third and reached base two more times in Saturday's win. Mullins stole his 28th bag, which ties him for 10th in the American League this season. The 29-year-old has been riding a hot streak since the end of August. Mullins has started 13 straight games and is hitting .349 with four homers and 10 RBI during that stretch.
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Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
5
1
3
21
36
28
2
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
3
8
1
3
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+28%
OPS vs RHP
2024
 
 
+58%
OPS vs RHP
2023
 
 
+2%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+35%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .595 409 41 8 40 8 .211 .267 .328
Since 2022vs Right .764 1167 161 40 149 73 .256 .326 .438
2024vs Left .493 93 11 1 3 1 .189 .215 .278
2024vs Right .778 358 51 16 48 27 .245 .329 .449
2023vs Left .708 119 12 3 22 2 .233 .310 .398
2023vs Right .725 336 39 12 52 17 .233 .304 .422
2022vs Left .578 197 18 4 15 5 .209 .265 .313
2022vs Right .782 473 71 12 49 29 .279 .340 .441
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+5%
OPS at Home
2024
 
 
+40%
OPS at Home
2023
 
 
+21%
OPS on Road
2022
 
 
+1%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home .737 755 97 28 99 23 .240 .304 .433
Since 2022Away .704 821 105 20 90 58 .247 .317 .387
2024Home .841 217 29 11 34 9 .264 .338 .503
2024Away .602 234 33 6 17 19 .204 .275 .327
2023Home .649 213 26 7 26 5 .211 .275 .374
2023Away .785 242 25 8 48 14 .252 .332 .453
2022Home .725 325 42 10 39 9 .243 .299 .426
2022Away .718 345 47 6 25 25 .272 .336 .381
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Cedric Mullins compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.43
 
BB Rate
8.4%
 
K Rate
19.7%
 
BABIP
.257
 
ISO
.178
 
AVG
.233
 
OBP
.305
 
SLG
.411
 
OPS
.716
 
wOBA
.316
 
Exit Velocity
87.0 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
24.8%
 
Barrels/PA
3.5%
 
Expected BA
.228
 
Expected SLG
.361
 
Sprint Speed
23.0 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
31.3%
 
Line Drive %
17.9%
 
Fly Ball %
50.8%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Cedric Mullins See More
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13 days ago
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Weekly Hitter Rankings: Playing for Both Sides
23 days ago
Bobby Witt and the Royals play eight games the week of August 26 to September 1, making them a top team in Todd Zola's weekly hitter rankings.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Mullins lost more than 100 points off his slugging percentage, but he stole 30 bases for the second consecutive year and thus remains a star in the rotisserie game. His HR/FB was effectively cut in half from 2021, and fittingly, his homer total was essentially halved. Mullins struggled against left-handed pitching, slashing .209/.265/.313 against same-side pitchers compared to .279/.340/.441 against right-handers. Those splits were not nearly as pronounced in 2021, but if they continue, Mullins will leave himself open to platooning, especially if the Orioles do indeed push into a competitive window. The speed is so rare nowadays that Mullins is worthy of early-round consideration in many fantasy formats even if there are lingering questions about his bat.
Mullins had a few vocal proponents before the 2021 season, yet few listened as Mullins was easily had late in many drafts. All Mullins did was have just the 11th 30-30 season in baseball since the 2011 season. It is worth noting that only Ryan Braun (2011, 2012) has posted back-to-back 30-30 seasons in recent memory. Coming into 2021, Mullins' most redeeming value was that he had 110-percent lock on playing time. He clearly had some talent, so a perpetually rebuilding Baltimore team was going to give him as much playing time as his body and skills could pay for. Given little has changed in Baltimore for 2022, Mullins has the same opportunity before him and could even repeat if he can homer more on the road given 22 of his 30 homers came at Camden Yards. If he's traded out of Baltimore, his outlook changes considerably.
Mullins didn't do much to separate himself from a large group of fringy outfielders in Baltimore, but he at least looked like a legitimate big-leaguer, something that couldn't be taken for granted after he hit a miserable .094/.181/.156 in 22 games in 2019. His .271/.315/.407 slash line this time around was good for a still below-average 95 wRC+, but when combined with good speed (seven steals) and roughly average defense in center, that's a useful enough player. Role questions remain for Mullins, however, as other Oriole outfielders also took steps forward. Additionally, there are questions about whether he can maintain his 2020 level. His 24.2 K% and 5.2 BB% showed poor plate discipline, and he had an awful 2.8% barrel rate. Statcast hated his quality of contact, giving him a .209 xBA and .296 xSLG. Despite his wheels and respectable numbers, Mullins still has work to do to prove he's an everyday player.
Mullins drew the start in center field on Opening Day and appeared to have a handle on the starting job, but after opening the year 6-for-64 with four RBI and 14 strikeouts over the first 22 contests, he was demoted to Triple-A Norfolk where he continued to struggle. The 25-year-old slashed .205/.272/.306 with a 46 wRC+, and a low 5.4 BB% negating a 16.7 K% over 66 games. Ultimately, the O's demoted Mullins again, this time to Double-A Bowie in mid-July. He finally saw his bat come to life while with the Baysox, but this certainly isn't how Mullins saw the 2019 campaign playing out. Even so, he'll likely have a shot to redeem himself during spring training and could wind up once again making Baltimore's Opening Day roster. Whether he'll be able to earn regular work remains to be seen, but it should be considered a long shot, especially after Austin Hays showed promise near the end of the 2019 season.
Mullins made his big-league debut and took over the starting job in center field from Adam Jones in early August, starting hot with a .317/.386/.566 slash line through the end of the month. Things changed quickly as the young outfielder began to struggle in September and finished the season in a 2-for-33 slump. He has kept relatively low strikeout (15.2%) and walk rates (7.2%) through his time in the minors, and trended similarly during his seven weeks in the majors. The 24-year-old has shown modest power but was hurt in 2018 with a mere 12.1% line-drive rate, which ranked third-worst in the majors among players with at least 100 PA. Mullins has a chance to post a 15-15 season with regular work, which should be easy to find on an Orioles roster that is really lacking in big-league caliber outfielders. He finished last season as Baltimore's leadoff hitter and should reprise that role this year.
More Fantasy News
Homers twice, steals base in win
OFBaltimore Orioles
September 10, 2024
Mullins went 2-for-4 with two home runs, three RBI, a stolen base and a walk in Tuesday's 5-3 win against the Red Sox.
ANALYSIS
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Moving up to two hole Monday
OFBaltimore Orioles
September 9, 2024
Mullins will start in center field and bat second in Monday's game in Boston, Jake Rill of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Provides lone run in loss
OFBaltimore Orioles
September 7, 2024
Mullins went 1-for-2 with a solo home run in Saturday's 7-1 loss to the Rays.
ANALYSIS
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Gets aboard three times in loss
OFBaltimore Orioles
September 4, 2024
Mullins went 2-for-3 with a walk and a stolen base in Wednesday's 8-1 loss to the White Sox.
ANALYSIS
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Homers among three hits
OFBaltimore Orioles
September 2, 2024
Mullins went 3-for-6 with a two-run home run, an RBI double and two additional runs scored during Monday's 13-3 win over the White Sox.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Could move at deadline
OFBaltimore Orioles
July 25, 2024
Baltimore is willing to trade Mullins ahead of Tuesday's deadline, per Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic.
ANALYSIS
One of the Orioles' strengths is their depth of position players, and trading Mullins would allow some prospects to see the field while presumably improving the roster elsewhere. The center fielder has endured an up-and-down 2024 campaign with 10 homers, 16 steals and a .634 OPS through 92 contests, and the past few years he's been unable to follow up on his breakout 30-30 campaign in 2021.
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