Colt Keith

Colt Keith

23-Year-Old Second Baseman2B
Detroit Tigers
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Keith inked a six-year, $28.64 million contract extension with the Tigers last January, which ensured his spot on the Opening Day roster even as he had yet to play an inning in the big leagues. The youngster had stretches when he looked like one of Detroit's better hitters, specifically in May - when he had an .881 OPS - and July - when he collected a 1.048 OPS and clubbed seven homers. Keith was pretty dreadful in the four other months and also did very little during the Tigers' surprising postseason run. The 23-year-old's 87.8 mph average exit velocity and 5.6 percent barrel rate were both well below average, but a 19.8 percent strikeout rate and .305/.352/.366 line versus southpaws for the left-handed swinger was encouraging. Keith could take a step forward in 2025, but he'll always be held back to some degree by being a lefty hitter at Comerica Park. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
From Preseason
$Signed a six-year, $26 million contract extension with the Tigers in January of 2024. Contract includes $10 million team option ($2.64 million buyout) for 2030, $13 million team option ($1 million buyout) for 2031 and $15 million team option ($2 million buyout) for 2032.
Getting work at first base
2BDetroit Tigers
December 9, 2024
Detroit has asked Keith to take grounders at first base this spring, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
ANALYSIS
This doesn't necessarily mean that Keith will see time during the 2025 campaign at first base, but if he fares well enough at first during the spring, it would give the Tigers more infield flexibility. Justyn-Henry Malloy was also asked to try his hand at first base, so the general focus around the organization appears to be increasing the number of potential infield combinations.
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Batting Stats
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2024
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
35
5
6
41
30
4
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
3
1
5
2
5
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+5%
OPS vs LHP
2024
 
 
+5%
OPS vs LHP
2023
No Stats
2022
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .718 88 7 1 8 2 .305 .352 .366
Since 2022vs Right .684 468 47 12 53 5 .251 .301 .382
2024vs Left .718 88 7 1 8 2 .305 .352 .366
2024vs Right .684 468 47 12 53 5 .251 .301 .382
2023vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+4%
OPS on Road
2024
 
 
+4%
OPS on Road
2023
No Stats
2022
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home .673 256 28 5 24 3 .246 .305 .369
Since 2022Away .703 300 26 8 37 4 .271 .313 .389
2024Home .673 256 28 5 24 3 .246 .305 .369
2024Away .703 300 26 8 37 4 .271 .313 .389
2023Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Colt Keith compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.33
 
BB Rate
6.5%
 
K Rate
19.8%
 
BABIP
.306
 
ISO
.120
 
AVG
.260
 
OBP
.309
 
SLG
.380
 
OPS
.689
 
wOBA
.304
 
Exit Velocity
87.8 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
27.5%
 
Barrels/PA
4.1%
 
Expected BA
.266
 
Expected SLG
.393
 
Sprint Speed
24.8 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
44.4%
 
Line Drive %
21.3%
 
Fly Ball %
34.3%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
A bat-first infielder without a natural position, Keith is a career .303 hitter in the minors and established himself as one of the best offensive-minded prospects in the game while splitting time between Double-A and Triple-A. He slashed .306/.380/.552 with 27 home runs and a 21.0 K% in 126 games across the top two levels of the minors but never got the call to the majors in his age-21 season. Generally a pull hitter who has steadily cut his groundball rate (below 35% at Double-A and Triple-A), Keith logged an excellent 34 percent hard-hit rate in the minors and should be able to produce enough at the plate to make up for his shaky defense. He saw 35 starts at second base and 20 starts at third base while at Triple-A, but he played more total games at third base when factoring in his Double-A usage, so he should enter the year eligible at third base with a chance to add second-base eligibility in season. The fact he didn't get the call last season led to some uncertainty about whether he would open 2024 on the big-league roster, but the six-year extension he signed with Detroit in January means he'll likely be in the big leagues Opening Day.
Despite being a bat-first prospect unlikely to provide positive defensive value, Keith is the Tigers' best prospect due to his impact potential at the plate. The lefty-hitting infielder slashed .301/.370/.544 with nine home runs, a 19.4 K%, 10.2 BB%, 78.2 Contact% and 30.4 Hard% in 48 games at High-A before missing the final three months of the minor-league season with a shoulder injury that did not require surgery. Keith made it back for the Arizona Fall League, slashing .344/.463/.541 with three home runs and a 16:16 K:BB in 80 plate appearances. He has been playing third base and second base at recent stops, and there isn't enough talent in this organization to prevent Keith from getting steady playing time, even as a subpar defender. His upside is a plus hitter with plus power who hits second or third in the order. Keith is on track to reach the majors in 2024.
More Fantasy News
Sitting against LHP
2BDetroit Tigers
October 12, 2024
Keith isn't in Detroit's starting lineup Saturday for Game 5 of the ALDS against the Guardians.
ANALYSIS
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Absent from Detroit lineup
2BDetroit Tigers
October 7, 2024
Keith is not in the lineup Monday for Game 2 of the ALDS versus the Guardians.
ANALYSIS
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Sitting versus lefty
2BDetroit Tigers
October 1, 2024
Keith is not in the lineup Tuesday for Game 1 of the American League Wild Card Series against the Astros.
ANALYSIS
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On bench against lefty
2BDetroit Tigers
September 27, 2024
Keith is out of the lineup for Friday's game against the White Sox.
ANALYSIS
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Triples, drives in two in win
2BDetroit Tigers
September 27, 2024
Keith went 2-for-4 with a triple, a run scored and two RBI in Thursday's 4-3 win over the Rays.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Showcases potential in July
2BDetroit Tigers
August 6, 2024
Keith was named the American League Rookie of the Month for July on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
The second baseman's OPS was .595 at the end of June, but he found his groove at the plate in July with three triples, seven homers, 17 RBI, 18 runs and .322/.404/.644 slash line in 25 games. Keith now has a respectable .704 OPS for the season, and he's looking more like the prospect that hit .300 with a .512 slugging percentage during his minor-league career.
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