Erick Fedde

Erick Fedde

31-Year-Old PitcherSP
Chicago White Sox
2024 Fantasy Outlook
A 31-year-old with a career 5.41 ERA who hasn't made a major-league start in over a year wouldn't ordinarily have any fantasy appeal. Fedde, however, made the most of his time away from the majors, making 30 starts for the KBO's NC Dinos and pitching to a 2.00 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. Those numbers came with excellent supporting stats such as his 29.5 percent strikeout rate and 4.9 percent walk rate. A healthy dose of skepticism regarding those numbers is fair given the level of competition, but it's far from unheard of for pitchers to figure things out in Korea and return to some success stateside. Chris Flexen recorded a 3.01 ERA with similar strikeout and walk rates to Fedde in his lone KBO campaign in 2020 and then returned to post sub-4.00 ERAs in two straight seasons, while Merrill Kelly spent four years in Korea and returned to post a 3.80 ERA across five MLB campaigns. The White Sox will hope that Fedde can follow a similar path, and the fact that he reinvented his arsenal overseas (adding a sweeper and adjusting his grips on other pitches) gives reason to believe he has a chance. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#353
ADP
$Signed a two-year, $15 million contract with the White Sox in December of 2023.
Blanks Twins for seventh win
PChicago White Sox
July 10, 2024
Fedde (7-3) earned the win in the opening game of Wednesday's doubleheader against Minnesota, allowing four hits and two walks over five scoreless innings. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
After escaping a bases-loaded, no-out jam in the first inning, Fedde proceeded to blank the Twins over his subsequent four innings, picking up his team-leading seventh win. Fedde's been one of the few bright spots this year on a last-place White Sox team -- he's now held opponents to two runs or fewer in five of his last six starts. Overall, Fedde's ERA is down to 2.99 with a 1.13 WHIP and 99:30 K:BB across 19 starts (111.1 innings) as he continues to build value ahead of the trade deadline.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2024 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
94
Last 10 Games
94
Last 5 Games
94
How many pitches does Erick Fedde generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Erick Fedde generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-10%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-2%
BAA vs LHP
2023
No Stats
2022
 
 
-13%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .250 522 89 46 117 27 0 15
Since 2022vs Right .277 509 104 42 128 22 0 17
2024vs Left .225 243 49 19 50 12 0 7
2024vs Right .230 215 50 11 46 10 0 4
2023vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Left .272 279 40 27 67 15 0 8
2022vs Right .313 294 54 31 82 12 0 13
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-33%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-65%
ERA at Home
2023
No Stats
2022
 
 
-18%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 3.57 1.29 111.0 7 7 0 8.1 2.9 1.2
Since 2022Away 5.30 1.49 127.1 6 9 0 6.6 3.7 1.2
2024Home 1.47 0.94 49.0 5 1 0 8.4 1.8 0.7
2024Away 4.19 1.28 62.1 2 2 0 7.7 2.9 1.0
2023Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Home 5.23 1.56 62.0 2 6 0 7.8 3.8 1.6
2022Away 6.37 1.69 65.0 4 7 0 5.5 4.4 1.4
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Erick Fedde compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.30
 
K/9
8.0
 
BB/9
2.4
 
HR/9
0.9
 
Fastball
93.2 mph
 
ERA
2.99
 
WHIP
1.13
 
BABIP
.283
 
GB/FB
1.36
 
Left On Base
79.6%
 
Exit Velocity
81.7 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.0%
 
Spin Rate
2047 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
22.8%
 
Swinging Strike
9.4%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
Fedde received his most extensive run in the majors as a starter last season, but he struggled to a 5.47 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 128:48 K:BB over 133.1 innings. However, his 21.7 percent strikeout rate and 8.1 percent walk rate were the best figures of his career, and his xFIP of 4.06 indicates he may have deserved some better results. The right-hander should remain a regular rotation piece to open 2022, though his availability for Opening Day is in question due to an oblique issue. Fedde has a fairly low ceiling but could be a decent streaming or deep-league option.
Fedde has remained consistent in many areas over the past two seasons, even though he had a limited sample during the abbreviated 2020 campaign. He worked mainly as a starter in 2020, posting a career-best 4.29 ERA and 1.37 WHIP over 50.1 innings. His 5.22 xFIP and 5.44 SIERA suggest that some of his results were due to luck, but both marks were quite similar to his results from 2019. The right-hander averaged a strikeout rate over 20.0% during his first two years in the league, but he's been just above 12% over the past two seasons, while his walk rate has remained steady. Fedde posted a 54.2 GB% in 2020, and was relatively effective at limiting meaningful contact with a 32.5% hard-hit rate. The 28-year-old likely earned the chance to compete for a back-end starting role to begin the season. However, he could wind up serving as a swingman for Washington, which would limit his fantasy value in 2021.
Fedde made 11 starts for the Nationals when not in the minors or on the shelf with a shoulder injury. He wasn't particularly effective when called upon, finishing the season with a 5.54 ERA. His underlying numbers were in line with those of a back-end starter, matching his prospect reports. The righty's 21.2% strikeout rate and 10.1% walk rate were each worse than league average, though neither by a large amount, and he kept the ball on the ground fairly well at a 53.1% clip. He was hurt by the long ball when batters did manage to hit it in the air, however, giving up a 22.2% HR/FB rate, nearly double the league average. If that number regresses this season, Fedde should be able to eat innings at the back of the rotation without hurting the Nationals too much. He looks to be the team's sixth starter heading into the year.
Fedde has the best shot to break camp as Washington's No. 5 starter as of early January, but the Nationals would undoubtedly prefer a better option. Fedde is entering his age-25 season and has made just 21 starts above High-A. His limited experience as a starter in the upper levels is due largely to the Nationals using him as a reliever at Double-A and Triple-A for a good chunk of last season. His slider grades out as a plus pitch, but his 93-mph fastball and improved changeup are just average offerings. Fedde's development brings flashbacks to the days when A.J. Cole was seen as a potential mid-rotation arm, then hit a wall against upper-level hitting and now projects to be a permanent member of the Nationals' bullpen. Fedde will continue to be developed as a starter for now, but he is more likely to develop into a No. 5 starter or setup man than a No. 3 starter.
Few prospects have seen their stock rise more in the last 12 months than Fedde. The 2014 first-round pick continued recovering from Tommy John surgery with flying colors, throwing 121 innings between High-A and Double-A while posting combined 9.1 K/9 and 2.2 BB/9 rates. His fastball returned to the mid-90s with excellent life, his slider flashed as a true out pitch, and he even showed improvement with his changeup. As he's already 23 years old, the Nats have little reason to continue babying him, and it wouldn't be a shock to see him fire his last few frames in the majors. The development of that changeup remains key to his long-term value, as without it Fedde could find himself trying to find a role as a dominant late-inning reliever instead of a starter, but with Giolito and Reynaldo Lopez now in Chicago, the path is cleared for Fedde to challenge for a full-time rotation spot as soon as 2018.
The 18th overall pick in the 2014 draft, Fedde slid out of the top 10 after undergoing Tommy John surgery to close an outstanding career at UNLV. Making his pro debut in late June with short-season Auburn, the right-hander made eight strong starts before a promotion to Low-A Hagerstown to finish the year, and scouting reports had him back in his pre-surgery form with a mid-90s fastball that can touch higher as well as a developing slider and changeup that both have the makings of plus pitches. The Nationals have done very well in handling Lucas Giolito's development following his TJ surgery, and while the college-trained Fedde is older than Giolito, the organization won't likely rush him through the system. Expect the 22-year-old to return to Low-A in 2016 and get a possible midseason promotion if he's earned it, with his major league debut coming no earlier than late 2017.
The Nationals selected Fedde in the first round of the 2014 first-year player draft knowing that he would be rehabbing from Tommy John surgery performed just a month earlier, but given their track record with players like Lucas Giolito, you have to give them some credit for knowing what they're doing. In college, Fedde displayed a low-90s sinking fastball that he could crank up to 96 mph when he needed to, along with a sharp slider and the makings of a useful changeup. If he returns from surgery without a hitch, and used his time off the mound to improve his strength and fitness as well as rehabbing his elbow, he could advance through the Nats' system as quickly as their ultra-cautious plan will allow him. The earliest he'll realistically be knocking on the door of the major league roster is 2018, but keeper league owners who aren't deterred by that timetable could wind up with a gem if they grab him now.
More Fantasy News
White Sox-Twins postponed Tuesday
PChicago White Sox
July 9, 2024
Fedde and the White Sox won't face the Twins on Tuesday after the game was postponed due to inclement weather.
ANALYSIS
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Stingy in Wednesday's win
PChicago White Sox
July 4, 2024
Fedde (6-3) picked up the win in Wednesday's 8-2 victory over the Guardians, allowing one run on three hits and three walks over six innings. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
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Tagged early in loss
PChicago White Sox
June 27, 2024
Fedde (5-3) took the loss against the Dodgers on Wednesday, allowing four runs on five hits and one walk over six innings while striking out five.
ANALYSIS
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Completes seven innings in loss
PChicago White Sox
June 21, 2024
Fedde (5-2) took the loss to the Tigers on Friday, allowing two runs on five hits and one walk with three strikeouts over seven innings.
ANALYSIS
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Fans six in win
PChicago White Sox
June 16, 2024
Fedde (5-1) picked up the win over the Diamondbacks on Saturday, allowing two runs on eight hits over six innings while striking out six.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Should have 'robust' market
PChicago White Sox
July 7, 2024
Fedde is expected to have a "robust" trade market ahead of the July 30 deadline, reports Bob Nightengale of USA Today.
ANALYSIS
Despite the White Sox's horrid overall performance, Fedde and Garrett Crochet have formed a strong 1-2 punch at the top of the rotation. Both pitchers are candidates to be traded, naturally, but Fedde is especially likely to be dealt after signing a two-year, $15 million contract during the offseason. After spending the 2023 campaign playing in the Korea Baseball Organization, the right-hander has a 3.13 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 94:28 K:BB across 106.1 innings this season. His trade value will likely never be higher, especially since he's under contract for 2025.
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