Felix Bautista

Felix Bautista

29-Year-Old PitcherRP
Baltimore Orioles
Out
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 2/1/2025
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Bautista was sidelined for the entire 2024 campaign, but he began throwing off the mound in August and will be 16 months removed from Tommy John surgery by February. The 6-foot-5 hurler is not expected to have any restrictions at the start of spring training and as long as he looks good during Grapefruit League play, he should regain the closer role for Baltimore heading into 2025. "The Mountain" emerged as one of the top closers in the game during the 2023 season, posting 33 saves with a 1.48 ERA and 0.92 WHIP over 61 innings with a 46.4 percent strikeout rate that was tops among qualified relievers. Achieving those types of numbers might be a tall order coming off a major injury, especially since Bautista has a 10 percent walk rate for his career. Expect some regression, but don't wait too long to click his name in the draft room, as his upside warrants a top-5 selection among closers. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
From Preseason
$Signed a two-year, $2 million contract extension with the Orioles in October of 2023.
Expected to be full go in spring
PBaltimore Orioles
Elbow
October 3, 2024
Orioles general manager Mike Elias said Thursday that he expects Bautista (elbow) to more or less be without restrictions at the start of spring training, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Bautista started throwing off the mound in August and will be 16 months removed from Tommy John surgery by February. As long as he looks good during Grapefruit League play, he should regain the closer role for Baltimore heading into 2025. Bautista posted a 1.48 ERA, 0.92 WHIP and 110:26 K:BB over 61 innings while notching 33 saves in 2023.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-22%
BAA vs LHP
2024
No Stats
2023
 
 
-26%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-15%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .133 187 85 20 22 3 0 5
Since 2022vs Right .170 303 113 29 46 7 0 6
2024vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Left .120 107 54 14 11 0 0 2
2023vs Right .162 130 56 12 19 3 0 2
2022vs Left .149 80 31 6 11 3 0 3
2022vs Right .176 173 57 17 27 4 0 4
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-51%
ERA on Road
2024
No Stats
2023
 
 
-64%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-36%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 2.44 0.89 66.1 7 3 25 13.6 2.8 0.8
Since 2022Away 1.19 0.96 60.1 5 3 23 14.6 4.2 0.7
2024Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Home 2.25 0.89 28.0 3 1 17 15.8 2.9 0.6
2023Away 0.82 0.94 33.0 5 1 16 16.6 4.6 0.5
2022Home 2.58 0.89 38.1 4 2 8 12.0 2.8 0.9
2022Away 1.65 0.99 27.1 0 2 7 12.2 3.6 1.0
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Defensive Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Bautista is expected to miss the entire 2024 season after undergoing Tommy John surgery in October. Prior to the injury, which he suffered in late-August, "The Mountain" had arguably emerged as MLB's top closer. Bautista compiled a 1.48 ERA, 0.92 WHIP and 110:26 K:BB ratio over 61 innings to go along with 33 saves. This mark was still good for 3rd in the American League despite Bautista missing the last month and change of the season. His 46.4% strikeout percentage was tops among qualified relievers, while his 4.45 WPA and 2.03 gmLI were 2nd and 5th, respectively. Assuming Bautista avoids any setbacks in his recovery, look for him to return for spring training in 2025.
After pitching at three levels of the Orioles' minor league system in 2021, Bautista made the Opening Day roster last season. The rookie showcased his big arm by throwing the seventh-most pitches (203) at 100 mph or greater. Control has always been an issue for Bautista, but he was able to harness it enough (3.2 BB/9) to quickly ascend Baltimore's high leverage ladder. The 6-foot-5 hurler was dominant in a setup role before the O's midseason trade of Jorge Lopez created a vacancy at closer. "The Mountain" made the decision easy for Brandon Hyde and finished 2022 with 15 saves, 14 holds and a 34.8% strikeout rate good for ninth among qualified relievers. Bautista's splitter generated a 53.3% whiff rate that was second best in the league on that pitch. He doesn't use his slider often (12% usage), but has a similarly good whiff rate (42.5%) should he decide to throw it more. There's some risk for 2023, but Bautista's upside should make him one of the top 10 closers off the board.
More Fantasy News
First post-surgery bullpen session
PBaltimore Orioles
Elbow
August 14, 2024
Bautista (elbow) threw a bullpen session Wednesday, Jake Rill of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Officially out for season
PBaltimore Orioles
Elbow
August 10, 2024
General manager Mike Elias confirmed Saturday that Bautista (elbow) won't pitch in 2024, Andy Kostka of TheBaltimoreBanner.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Starts playing catch
PBaltimore Orioles
Elbow
May 17, 2024
Bautista (elbow) played catch Friday, Danielle Allentuck of TheBaltimoreBanner.com reports.
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Heads to 60-day IL
PBaltimore Orioles
Elbow
February 14, 2024
The Orioles placed Bautista (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Undergoes additional elbow surgery
PBaltimore Orioles
Elbow
February 9, 2024
Bautista underwent a right elbow debridement and an ulnar nerve transposition Friday, Jake Rill of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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