Isaac Paredes

25-Year-Old Third Baseman3B

Chicago Cubs

2024 Stats

AVG

.236

RBI

Rest-of-Season Projections

AVG

RBI

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2024 Fantasy Outlook

Paredes had a wonderful breakout season becoming a full-time threat in the Tampa Bay lineup while playing three of the four infield positions. Paredes has a simple approach in that he is up there to pull baseballs, ideally over the fence since he is not the fleetest of foot. Paredes hit all 31 of his homers to left field, and in fact has hit all 53 of his career major league homers to left field. Not only does he pull a lot of baseballs, he also hits a high volume of flyballs which limits his batting average upside despite that he is both accepting of walks and does not strike out as much as one would imagine. His 98 RBI season appeared with him hitting .295 with runners in scoring position after hitting just .175 in those same situations in 2022. RISP production is not a skill so this could evaporate as quickly as it appeared which means the variability of his potential fantasy value in 2024 is rather wide. 2022 is a reminder of his downside. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

Rest of Season

Overall Projection

Overall Rank

Dynasty

From Preseason

#179

ADP

League Majors

Bats R

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 5'11"

Weight 213

DOB 2/18/1999

Born Hermosillo, Mexico

College None

Drafted 2015 CHC

Tallies three hits in loss

3BChicago Cubs

September 14, 2024

Paredes went 3-for-4 with a run scored in Friday's 9-5 loss to the Rockies.

ANALYSIS
All three hits were singles but Paredes will take all the base knocks he can get after starting slowly with his new team. The infielder is heating up lately, however, as he's now riding a five-game hitting streak. During the stretch, Paredes is batting a sizzling .529 with a 1.134 OPS. It looks like the 25-year-old is turning a corner in a Chicago uniform and could be primed for a big final few weeks of the regular season.

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Batting Stats

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2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2024 MLB Game Log

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2023 MLB Game Log

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2022 MLB Game Log

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2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Batting Order Slot Breakdown

vs Right-Handed Pitchers

vs RHP

vs Left-Handed Pitchers

vs LHP

Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2022

+11%

OPS vs LHP

2024

+30%

OPS vs LHP

2023

+11%

OPS vs RHP

2022

+20%

OPS vs LHP

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022vs Left	.840	383	52	17	64	0	.264	.363	.477
Since 2022vs Right	.760	1168	128	53	153	1	.223	.330	.429
2024vs Left	.904	142	17	6	24	0	.295	.387	.516
2024vs Right	.698	457	44	13	50	0	.217	.335	.363
2023vs Left	.773	136	16	4	26	0	.259	.368	.405
2023vs Right	.860	435	55	27	72	1	.247	.347	.513
2022vs Left	.840	105	19	7	14	0	.231	.324	.516
2022vs Right	.701	276	29	13	31	0	.196	.297	.404
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Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2022

+6%

OPS at Home

2024

+15%

OPS on Road

2023

+17%

OPS at Home

2022

+24%

OPS at Home

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022Home	.806	728	83	39	110	1	.224	.338	.468
Since 2022Away	.757	823	97	31	107	0	.241	.339	.418
2024Home	.695	293	25	10	34	0	.199	.321	.374
2024Away	.797	306	36	9	40	0	.270	.373	.425
2023Home	.913	266	35	18	53	1	.261	.368	.544
2023Away	.778	305	36	13	45	0	.241	.338	.440
2022Home	.830	169	23	11	23	0	.210	.320	.510
2022Away	.670	212	25	9	22	0	.202	.292	.378
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Stat Review

How does Isaac Paredes compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

BB/K
Walk to strikeout ratio
BB Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
K Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
BABIP
Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
ISO
Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
AVG
Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
OBP
On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
SLG
Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
OPS
On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
wOBA
Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
Exit Velocity
The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
Hard Hit Rate
A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
Barrels/PA
The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
Expected BA
Expected Batting Average.
Expected SLG
Expected Slugging Percentage.
Sprint Speed
The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
Ground Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
Line Drive %
The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
Fly Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.

BB/K

0.74

BB Rate

12.0%

K Rate

16.2%

BABIP

.254

ISO

.164

AVG

.236

OBP

.347

SLG

.400

OPS

.747

wOBA

.334

Exit Velocity

85.0 mph

Hard Hit Rate

25.1%

Barrels/PA

3.3%

Expected BA

.221

Expected SLG

.350

Sprint Speed

22.0 ft/sec

Ground Ball %

29.8%

Line Drive %

23.2%

Fly Ball %

47.0%

Prospect Rankings History

View Complete Isaac Paredes Prospect Ranking History

Advanced Batting Stats

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Additional Stats

Games By Position

Defensive Stats

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Batted Ball Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2023

2021

2020

2019

2018

The fact that Paredes's .205/.304/.435 triple-slash line translated into a 116 wRC+ on the season speaks to where the overall offensive environment was for the 2022 season. His 20 homers in part-time play was a surprise and that total would have led the Tigers had they not traded him to the Rays for Austin Meadows during the offseason. Despite the low average, Paredes is a very disciplined hitter who accepts his walks and is 90th percentile or better in contact as well as chase rate. His extreme pull tendencies get him into trouble when he doesn't loft the ball as he lacks the foot speed to convert grounders into outs. All 20 of his homers were pull shots, but it would be foolish to believe the Rays will make him an everyday player with their tendencies to platoon positions. Paredes did most of his power damage against lefties (.516 SLG%) while his .196/.297/.404 triple-slash against righties does not exactly scream for a full-time position. The 24 year old has room for growth with his power, but do not get greedy and expect 500+ plate appearances just yet.

Paredes got more playing time than expected with the big club last season, logging 108 plate appearances over 34 games. His numbers were what you would expect from an overwhelmed 21-year-old prospect, as Paredes slashed an uninspiring .220/.278/.290 with a single home run and no stolen-base attempts. His 22.2 K% was strong for a hitter his age and indicative of his best skill -- solid contact at the plate that has led to a superb 12.8 K% over the course of his time in the minors. Paredes has shown that he can hit for a decent average and even notched a 10-game hitting streak near the end of last season during which he batted .364, but he has yet to demonstrate more than average power and isn't a threat to steal many bases. He should get an opportunity to succeed for a still-rebuilding Tigers team, but his skillset doesn't portend fantasy relevance.

It is tempting to romanticize Paredes' 83:76 K:BB in 166 games at Double-A. He clearly has an excellent command of the strike zone, especially for a player who doesn't turn 21 until February. However, he is a 5-foot-11, 225-pound third baseman with below-average speed and average raw power. A mediocre defender whose body figures to get even worse over the next five years, Paredes will need to max out offensively to be an everyday player. He could have some seasons where he hits .280 with 20 home runs, but we should not expect more than that. To say Detroit lacks high-end position player talent on the big-league roster would be an understatement, so even if Paredes is just OK, he will be given a long leash as an everyday player. However, if/when the Tigers get serious about winning, he could start to get squeezed for playing time. He should spend most of the year at Triple-A.

Paredes' game is predicated on making hard contact at a high clip -- he had a 15.1 K% as one of the youngest players at High-A and Double-A. Cutting his infield-flyball rate from 32.2% to 23.9% and upping his line-drive rate from 15.9% to 22.5% helped him raise his AVG to .321 at Double-A, but that mark does not appear sustainable. He pulled the ball over 57% of the time last year. For context, Andrelton Simmons led qualified MLB hitters with a 51.0 Pull% last season, so Paredes will need to make adjustments in the coming years to avoid being neutralized by the shift. He has 50-grade power but is a below-average runner (listed at 5-foot-11, 225 pounds), which is why he seems destined for third base or the keystone. The Tigers are not competing anytime soon, so even if he appears ready this summer, they may play service-time games and keep him down until 2020.

The youngest qualified hitter in the Midwest League, Paredes more than held his own (108 wRC+), even while experiencing brutal luck (.214 BABIP) after a deadline trade from the Cubs to the Tigers. While Jeimer Candelario was the big-league ready piece in that deal, which sent Justin Wilson and Alex Avila to Chicago, Paredes was the lower-level prospect for Tigers fans to dream on. He hit four home runs in his first 10 games after the trade, but notched just 10 hits in his final 22 games. Even amid those struggles, he posted a 13:13 K:BB in 32 games with the Whitecaps. A thick 5-foot-11, he lacks prototypical size for the left side of the infield, but his bat has a chance to profile at third base if he eventually moves off shortstop. He excels at making contact, and while his batting averages don't stand out, he gets rave reviews for his hitting ability. Paredes is not as exciting or toolsy as he is polished and skilled, making him one of the safer teenage prospects in the game.

More Fantasy News

Lifts offense in return

3BChicago Cubs

September 9, 2024

Paredes went 1-for-3 with two RBI in Sunday's 2-1 win over the Yankees.