Javier Assad

Javier Assad

27-Year-Old PitcherSP
Chicago Cubs
2024 Fantasy Outlook
After a promising stint with Team Mexico in the World Baseball Classic over the offseason, Assad settled in as a valuable swing man for the Cubs in 2023, though his role limited his fantasy value. He appeared in 32 games for Chicago, making 10 starts, and he posted a solid 3.05 ERA and 1.23 WHIP with 94 strikeouts across 109.1 innings. Assad was useful in gobbling up innings out of the bullpen, but fantasy managers would rather see him start regularly than serve as a long reliever. That could happen in 2024, as veteran Marcus Stroman is a free agent and fellow veteran Drew Smyly struggled last year and may be ticketed for the bullpen at this point in his career. Hayden Wesneski is also still in the fold, though he didn't do a ton to stand out in 2023. The key question in spring training will be where the Cubs think Assad can make the biggest impact. If the righty is back in his swing role, fantasy managers may want to look elsewhere. However, if Assad breaks camp in the rotation, he could be ready for a breakout campaign. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#428
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Cubs in March of 2024.
Escapes Coors with no-decision
PChicago Cubs
September 14, 2024
Assad came away with a no-decision in Friday's 9-5 loss to the Rockies, giving up four runs on seven hits and three walks over six innings. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
The big blow off Assad came in the second inning when Hunter Goodman launched a two-run homer, but the right-hander otherwise minimized the damage and got taken off the hook for the loss when the Cubs tied the game in the top of the eighth. Assad hadn't been tagged with more than three runs in an outing since June 23, and over his last 10 starts he sports a 3.27 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 37:24 K:BB through 52.1 innings. He'll look for a better result in his next trip to the mound, which lines up to come at home next week against the A's.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
87
Last 10 Games
87
Last 5 Games
91
How many pitches does Javier Assad generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Javier Assad generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-8%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-16%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-12%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-30%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .230 602 126 63 121 18 3 15
Since 2022vs Right .250 605 114 57 135 30 3 19
2024vs Left .226 320 70 32 63 9 1 7
2024vs Right .270 272 46 27 65 16 1 10
2023vs Left .215 209 44 20 40 6 1 6
2023vs Right .245 240 50 21 53 12 2 7
2022vs Left .290 73 12 11 18 3 1 2
2022vs Right .202 93 18 9 17 2 0 2
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-13%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-46%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-17%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-52%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 2.94 1.37 140.2 6 7 0 7.9 4.4 1.0
Since 2022Away 3.38 1.27 144.0 8 3 0 7.3 3.2 1.1
2024Home 2.24 1.35 64.1 3 2 0 7.4 4.8 0.6
2024Away 4.17 1.36 73.1 4 3 0 7.7 3.1 1.6
2023Home 3.30 1.32 60.0 2 3 0 8.4 3.6 1.4
2023Away 2.74 1.11 49.1 3 0 0 6.9 3.1 0.7
2022Home 4.41 1.65 16.1 1 2 0 8.3 6.1 1.7
2022Away 2.11 1.31 21.1 1 0 0 6.3 3.8 0.4
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Javier Assad compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.97
 
K/9
7.6
 
BB/9
3.9
 
HR/9
1.1
 
Fastball
91.5 mph
 
ERA
3.27
 
WHIP
1.36
 
BABIP
.290
 
GB/FB
1.21
 
Left On Base
82.1%
 
Exit Velocity
82.1 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.3%
 
Spin Rate
2023 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
24.4%
 
Swinging Strike
6.8%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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2023 Fantasy Outlook
Assad made his MLB debut in 2022 and had some nice moments in a small sample size. He appeared in nine games and made eight starts, recording a 3.11 ERA and 1.46 WHIP with 30 strikeouts across 37.2 innings. Assad was good in two minor-league stops as well, posting a 2.51 ERA over 71.2 innings for Double-A Tennessee and a 2.95 ERA across 36.2 innings for Triple-A Iowa. He had a K/9 above 9.0 at each of those stops as well, so while his strikeouts dipped a bit in the majors, there could be room for growth there. The 25-year-old probably did enough to work his way into the team's 2023 Opening Day rotation mix. Veteran Marcus Stroman will lead the way, followed by Kyle Hendricks when healthy. Behind those two are the likes of Justin Steele, Keegan Thompson, Hayden Wesneski, Adbert Alzolay and Adrian Sampson. It's a muddled picture, but Assad certainly could emerge from that pack, and he'd be on the fantasy radar if he can continue his success from last year.
More Fantasy News
Allows one earned run in loss
PChicago Cubs
September 7, 2024
Assad (7-5) took the loss against the Yankees on Saturday, allowing two runs (one earned) on three hits and three walks with five strikeouts over 5.2 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Logs quality start in win
PChicago Cubs
August 31, 2024
Assad (7-4) earned the win against the Nationals on Saturday, allowing three runs on eight hits and two walks with four strikeouts over six innings.
ANALYSIS
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Goes seven innings in loss
PChicago Cubs
August 25, 2024
Assad (6-4) allowed three runs on six hits and a walk while striking out three over seven innings, taking the loss versus the Marlins on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Seven Ks in sixth win
PChicago Cubs
August 21, 2024
Assad (6-3) picked up the win Tuesday, allowing one run on six hits and a walk over 5.2 innings in a 3-1 victory over the Tigers. He struck out seven.
ANALYSIS
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Covers four innings again Wednesday
PChicago Cubs
August 7, 2024
Assad allowed two runs on three hits across four innings in Wednesday's start against the Twins. He walked two, struck out one and did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Part of Cubs' future plans
PChicago Cubs
October 5, 2022
Assad will be in the mix for a rotation spot next season, reports Andy Martinez of Marquee Sports Network.
ANALYSIS
Assad wasn't mentioned much as a future rotation piece for the Cubs before this season, but a strong campaign in the minors led to a promotion to the big-league club in August. The 25-year-old made nine appearances -- eight starts -- for the Cubs this year and went 2-2 with a 3.11 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 30:20 K:BB in 37.2 innings. Peripheral numbers suggest he was fairly lucky and his below-average walk and strikeout rates imply he may not produce the same results in 2023. Nonetheless, he's impressed Cubs management and has a shot to break camp as a member of the Opening Day roster.
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