Javier Assad

Javier Assad

27-Year-Old PitcherSP
Chicago Cubs
2024 Stats
W-L
7-6
ERA
3.73
WHIP
1.40
K
124
SV
0
2025 Projections
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
SV
Unlock Our Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Assad transitioned from being a long-relief bullpen option to serving as a full-time starter in 2024, and the righty held his own. He made 29 starts and logged a career-high 147 innings while posting a 3.73 ERA and 1.40 WHIP. Assad struck out 7.59 batters per nine innings, which was in line with his 7.74 mark from a season earlier. His fastball came down from an average velocity of 92.9 mph in 2023 to 91.5 mph last year, which was likely a result of trying to conserve more energy and last longer in games. Now that he has this season of starting experience under his belt, the 27-year-old could be primed to take another step forward in 2025. Assad is likely to set another new career high in innings if he stays healthy, and he will also look to finish the season stronger, as he posted a 5.82 ERA across his final six starts of 2024. That's not too surprising for a pitcher getting used to the rigors of being a full-time MLB starter. Assad's lack of big strikeout numbers caps his upside, but he should be a useful fantasy option this season with some room for growth. Read Past Outlooks
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League Majors
Bats R
Throws R
40 Man Yes
Height 6'1"
Weight 200
DOB 7/30/1997
Born Tjuana, Mexico
College None
Drafted 2015 CHC
$Signed a one-year contract with the Cubs in March of 2024.
Serves up three homers in defeat
PChicago Cubs
September 25, 2024
Assad (7-6) took the loss Wednesday against the Phillies, allowing eight earned runs on eight hits and three walks in 4.1 innings. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
Assad's final start of the season turned out to be his worst, as he allowed a season-worst eight earned runs on six extra-base hits, including three home runs. Assad limped to the finish line in 2024, allowing three or more earned runs in five of his final six starts, posting an ugly 5.82 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 25:13 K:BB during that span. Although he ended on a sour note, the 27-year-old set career highs in innings pitched (147) and strikeouts (124), finishing the season with a respectable 3.73 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 124:63 K:BB in 29 starts.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
88
Last 10 Games
89
Last 5 Games
91
How many pitches does Javier Assad generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Javier Assad generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-5%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-10%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-12%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-30%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .238 628 131 66 131 22 3 16
Since 2022vs Right .250 625 117 58 140 31 3 21
2024vs Left .242 346 75 35 73 13 1 8
2024vs Right .269 292 49 28 70 17 1 12
2023vs Left .215 209 44 20 40 6 1 6
2023vs Right .245 240 50 21 53 12 2 7
2022vs Left .290 73 12 11 18 3 1 2
2022vs Right .202 93 18 9 17 2 0 2
More Splits→ View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-19%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-49%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-17%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-52%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 3.03 1.38 145.2 6 7 0 8.0 4.3 1.0
Since 2022Away 3.76 1.31 148.1 8 4 0 7.2 3.3 1.3
2024Home 2.47 1.37 69.1 3 2 0 7.5 4.5 0.5
2024Away 4.87 1.43 77.2 4 4 0 7.6 3.2 1.9
2023Home 3.30 1.32 60.0 2 3 0 8.4 3.6 1.4
2023Away 2.74 1.11 49.1 3 0 0 6.9 3.1 0.7
2022Home 4.41 1.65 16.1 1 2 0 8.3 6.1 1.7
2022Away 2.11 1.31 21.1 1 0 0 6.3 3.8 0.4
More Splits→ View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Javier Assad compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.97
 
K/9
7.6
 
BB/9
3.9
 
HR/9
1.2
 
Fastball
91.5 mph
 
ERA
3.73
 
WHIP
1.40
 
BABIP
.297
 
GB/FB
1.28
 
Left On Base
79.8%
 
Exit Velocity
82.3 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.6%
 
Spin Rate
2025 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
25.1%
 
Swinging Strike
6.9%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
After a promising stint with Team Mexico in the World Baseball Classic over the offseason, Assad settled in as a valuable swing man for the Cubs in 2023, though his role limited his fantasy value. He appeared in 32 games for Chicago, making 10 starts, and he posted a solid 3.05 ERA and 1.23 WHIP with 94 strikeouts across 109.1 innings. Assad was useful in gobbling up innings out of the bullpen, but fantasy managers would rather see him start regularly than serve as a long reliever. That could happen in 2024, as veteran Marcus Stroman is a free agent and fellow veteran Drew Smyly struggled last year and may be ticketed for the bullpen at this point in his career. Hayden Wesneski is also still in the fold, though he didn't do a ton to stand out in 2023. The key question in spring training will be where the Cubs think Assad can make the biggest impact. If the righty is back in his swing role, fantasy managers may want to look elsewhere. However, if Assad breaks camp in the rotation, he could be ready for a breakout campaign.
Assad made his MLB debut in 2022 and had some nice moments in a small sample size. He appeared in nine games and made eight starts, recording a 3.11 ERA and 1.46 WHIP with 30 strikeouts across 37.2 innings. Assad was good in two minor-league stops as well, posting a 2.51 ERA over 71.2 innings for Double-A Tennessee and a 2.95 ERA across 36.2 innings for Triple-A Iowa. He had a K/9 above 9.0 at each of those stops as well, so while his strikeouts dipped a bit in the majors, there could be room for growth there. The 25-year-old probably did enough to work his way into the team's 2023 Opening Day rotation mix. Veteran Marcus Stroman will lead the way, followed by Kyle Hendricks when healthy. Behind those two are the likes of Justin Steele, Keegan Thompson, Hayden Wesneski, Adbert Alzolay and Adrian Sampson. It's a muddled picture, but Assad certainly could emerge from that pack, and he'd be on the fantasy radar if he can continue his success from last year.
More Fantasy News
Strikes out five in no-decision
PChicago Cubs
September 20, 2024
Assad did not factor into the decision in a win over the Nationals on Thursday, allowing three runs on seven hits and one walk over five innings. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
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Escapes Coors with no-decision
PChicago Cubs
September 14, 2024
Assad came away with a no-decision in Friday's 9-5 loss to the Rockies, giving up four runs on seven hits and three walks over six innings. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
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Allows one earned run in loss
PChicago Cubs
September 7, 2024
Assad (7-5) took the loss against the Yankees on Saturday, allowing two runs (one earned) on three hits and three walks with five strikeouts over 5.2 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Logs quality start in win
PChicago Cubs
August 31, 2024
Assad (7-4) earned the win against the Nationals on Saturday, allowing three runs on eight hits and two walks with four strikeouts over six innings.
ANALYSIS
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Goes seven innings in loss
PChicago Cubs
August 25, 2024
Assad (6-4) allowed three runs on six hits and a walk while striking out three over seven innings, taking the loss versus the Marlins on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Rotation spot likely secured
PChicago Cubs
September 26, 2024
According to Patrick Mooney of The Athletic, Assad is expected to enter 2025 with a secure spot at the back end of the Cubs' rotation.
ANALYSIS
The 27-year-old has struggled in his past four starts with a 16 earned runs allowed and 18:10 K:BB across 21 innings, but he's been effective overall this year with a 3.73 ERA through 29 starts. The Cubs are expected to bolster their rotation this winter, but Assad should still enter spring training as the favorite for the No. 5 job even if a front-line starter is added.
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