Jesus Sanchez

27-Year-Old OutfielderOF

Miami Marlins

2024 Stats

AVG

.252

RBI

2025 Projections

AVG

RBI

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2025 Fantasy Outlook

If Sanchez isn't in the elite tier in terms of quality contact, he's just below it. The 27-year-old has always hit the ball hard and took it to another level last season, ranking in the 95th percentile in hard-hit rate, the 93rd percentile in average exit velocity, the 99th percentile in max exit velocity and the 83rd percentile in barrel rate. And yet, Sanchez is still looking for his first 20-homer season after smacking 18 over the boards in 537 plate appearances in 2024. He doesn't have LoanDepot Park to blame, as Sanchez has consistently hit better there than on the road and the venue is actually an above-average park for left-handed power. Strikeouts and grounders have been the problem, and while he has cut the former to at least an acceptable level (26.1 percent in 2024), the latter remains a major issue (50.3 percent). Sanchez did buoy his value with some unexpected steals last season, but with just four career stolen bases coming into the year and a sprint speed in the 46th percentile, it wouldn't be wise to count on that again. While he seems like he could be a tweak or two away from a breakout, for now Sanchez is mostly untapped potential. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

From Preseason

Overall Rank

Dynasty

League Majors

Bats L

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'3"

Weight 222

DOB 10/7/1997

Born Higuey, DR

College None

Drafted 2014 TB

Swipes bag, reaches four times

OFMiami Marlins

September 27, 2024

Sanchez went 3-for-6 with a walk and a stolen base in Thursday's extra-innings win over Minnesota.

ANALYSIS
Sanchez drew a walk in the fifth inning and then reached base on singles in each of his next three trips to the plate, but he was left stranded on each occasion. He was, however, able to swipe his 15th bag of the season and his fifth in the month of September while also extending his hitting streak to five games. The performance marked Sanchez's eighth game this season in which he tallied three or more hits. On the downside, he's struck out multiple times in three straight contests.

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Batting Stats

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2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

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2023 MLB Game Log

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2022 MLB Game Log

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2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Batting Order Slot Breakdown

vs Right-Handed Pitchers

vs RHP

vs Left-Handed Pitchers

vs LHP

Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2022

+73%

OPS vs RHP

2024

+64%

OPS vs RHP

2023

+43%

OPS vs RHP

2022

+146%

OPS vs RHP

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022vs Left	.457	220	20	4	12	4	.169	.211	.246
Since 2022vs Right	.790	1062	121	41	140	16	.258	.329	.462
2024vs Left	.485	115	16	3	7	4	.162	.228	.257
2024vs Right	.797	422	44	15	57	12	.276	.336	.461
2023vs Left	.564	50	2	1	2	0	.213	.245	.319
2023vs Right	.808	352	41	13	50	3	.259	.338	.470
2022vs Left	.309	55	2	0	3	0	.145	.145	.164
2022vs Right	.759	288	36	13	33	1	.229	.306	.453
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Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2022

+29%

OPS at Home

2024

+25%

OPS at Home

2023

+14%

OPS at Home

2022

+54%

OPS at Home

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022Home	.825	639	79	25	91	9	.266	.342	.482
Since 2022Away	.642	643	62	20	61	11	.219	.275	.367
2024Home	.815	259	34	11	38	7	.272	.341	.474
2024Away	.654	278	26	7	26	9	.233	.288	.366
2023Home	.822	221	25	7	29	2	.262	.345	.477
2023Away	.722	181	18	7	23	1	.242	.304	.418
2022Home	.843	159	20	7	24	0	.262	.340	.504
2022Away	.548	184	18	6	12	1	.174	.228	.320
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Stat Review

How does Jesus Sanchez compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

BB/K
Walk to strikeout ratio
BB Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
K Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
BABIP
Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
ISO
Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
AVG
Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
OBP
On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
SLG
Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
OPS
On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
wOBA
Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
Exit Velocity
The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
Hard Hit Rate
A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
Barrels/PA
The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
Expected BA
Expected Batting Average.
Expected SLG
Expected Slugging Percentage.
Sprint Speed
The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
Ground Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
Line Drive %
The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
Fly Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.

BB/K

0.29

BB Rate

7.6%

K Rate

26.1%

BABIP

.315

ISO

.166

AVG

.252

OBP

.313

SLG

.417

OPS

.731

wOBA

.321

Exit Velocity

92.5 mph

Hard Hit Rate

38.2%

Barrels/PA

8.0%

Expected BA

.264

Expected SLG

.468

Sprint Speed

22.9 ft/sec

Ground Ball %

50.3%

Line Drive %

20.3%

Fly Ball %

29.4%

Prospect Rankings History

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Advanced Batting Stats

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Additional Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Batted Ball Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

Sanchez appeared to be a rising star for the Marlins when he put up an .808 OPS with 14 home runs over 64 games as a rookie in 2021, but he failed to build on that in 2022 and was even demoted back to the minors in August of that year. Last season represented a rebound for him overall, especially the second half, but he was more of a doubles hitter than a home run hitter while ranking in the 71st percentile of all major leaguers in average exit velocity. Sanchez needs to hit for more power -- and do it with more consistency -- in order to take the next step forward. He also must improve his paltry .201/.235/.324 career slash line against lefties or is at risk of being stuck in a platoon. Where things stand leading into 2024, the 26-year-old outfielder should only be on the fringe of fantasy consideration in standard mixed leagues.

Sanchez's 2022 season was much like his 2021 season. He one again raked in Triple-A, but struggled to produce at the big league level. He saw more playing time at the big league level than he had in 2021, but was not able to put up the same level of production with the increased playing time. He did reduce his strikeout rate, but it was the only positive area of growth for the talented lefty slugger. He had 96th percentile exit velocity when he did make contact, but his strikezone discipline remains lacking and the 55 at bats he was given against lefty pitchers was 55 too many as he hit .145/145/.164 against fellow southpaws. He could function nicely in the strong side of a platoon if he could improve his strikezone discipline, and Miami would perhaps give him more confidence at the plate by removing him from the punitive matchups against lefties for the time being.

Sanchez kicked the door down at Triple-A last season, slashing .348/.406/.652 with New Orleans to earn another look in Miami after he received a brief cup of coffee in 2020. The Marlins' return for Nick Anderson a couple years back, the outfielder saw his strikeout rate shoot up from 18.7% at Triple-A to 31.1% against big-league arms, which is pretty much as to be expected. Fortunately, Sanchez was able to make his connections count with a 12.7 Barrel% and .465 xwOBA on contact. Miami brought in Avisail Garcia already this offseason and may not be done looking for outfield help, potentially leaving Sanchez in danger of falling back to the minors or to a reserve role to begin the 2022 season. Sanchez has good speed for 6-foot-3, 220 pounds, though he has not used it much on the bases so far in his professional career. The swing-and-miss, lack of stolen-base speed and uncertainty of playing time provide obvious reasons to "yeah, but" a talented hitter on the rise.

Picked up from Tampa Bay in the deal that sent Nick Anderson cross-state, Sanchez made his big-league debut in 2020 but didn't do much to suggest Miami was going to come out a winner in that trade. The 23-year-old went a woeful 1-for-25, a year after limping to a .227/.311/.383 line over 149 plate appearances in his first look at Triple-A. At the lower levels of the minors, Sanchez flashed a plus hit tool and the athletic profile to someday provide above-average power, but as yet little of that has shown up against better quality pitching. The Marlins will be patient with him, and an actual minor-league season could get his development back on track, but barring a big turnaround Sanchez doesn't project to be anything more than a bench bat in the majors.

It often happens this way with prospects, but the closer Sanchez gets to the majors, the less appealing he has become in dynasty leagues. Raw talent is king in the lower levels, but Double-A and Triple-A pitchers have enough craft to take advantage of unrefined hitters who have not experienced failure. The Rays cashed Sanchez out at the trade deadline for quality big-league arms (Nick Anderson, Trevor Richards), and the early returns suggest they will not regret doing so. He uses the whole field, but struggles to impact the baseball. Sanchez hit 13 HR in 113 games as a 21-year-old at Double-A and Triple-A and did not attempt a steal in 35 Triple-A games. He is destined for an outfield corner, so his bat needs to carry him. He is still young and will get a chance to struggle and make adjustments in the majors, likely debuting this summer, but it would be a surprise if he had much success early in his career.

The only offensive skill Sanchez is not at least above-average at is patience. He has a quick bat and elite hand-eye-coordination, which allows him to make contact at an excellent clip (career 18.3 K% in full-season ball). The 6-foot-3 right fielder generates plus power to all fields and is adept at hitting same-handed pitching. Sanchez also happens to be a borderline plus runner, though he has only attempted 20 steals in 1,000 PA above rookie ball, which undersells his upside in that category. A 27-game run at Double-A to close out the season was the first time he hit below .300 in pro ball, and since he was the second-youngest hitter in the Southern League, that performance should carry little weight in his long-term evaluation. He will return to Double-A, and given the Rays' extreme organizational outfield depth, they won't rush him up the ladder. Sanchez has a chance to put up prime Adam Jones numbers in his peak seasons.

A 19-year-old with plus raw power and elite contact skills (17.8 percent strikeout rate) who led qualified Midwest League hitters with a .305 average needs to be taken very seriously, yet Sanchez still seems incredibly underrated. While he won't contribute with his legs in the same way peers like Taylor Trammell and Leody Taveras will, Sanchez's hit tool is special, and batting average is almost as scarce as speed these days. With a really quick bat and loose wrists through the zone, he is able to showcase excellent plate coverage, spraying the ball to all fields. He is better against righties, but posted a respectable .794 OPS against same-handed pitching, so a platoon may not be necessary. Sanchez's lean physique allows him to move fairly well now, but as his 6-foot-3, 210-pound frame continues to fill out, he will start to access 25-plus homer power, while slowing down considerably. The Rays have not promoted him aggressively, but it would not be surprising if he took another developmental leap this year and accelerated his ascent to the majors.

The 19-year-old Sanchez's arrow trended upward for the second time in as many seasons, as he slashed .323/.341/.530 over 173 plate appearances for the Gulf Coast League Rays, while rapping out 18 extra-base hits overall, including a whopping eight triples. He was then promoted to the Appalachian League and performed even better, posting a 170 wRC+ with three home runs in 53 plate appearances, albeit with a .412 BABIP. His strikeout rate increased from 17.9 percent to 22.6 percent after the promotion, but that is still a manageable range for an 18-year-old who is producing at that clip. Sanchez is an above average runner, but his baserunning is one area where he'll look to improve in 2017, as he swiped only two bags on seven attempts last season. At 6-foot-2, 190 pounds, Sanchez is already close to physically mature, which is why he is already able to show such impressive game power for his age. This is the time to invest in dynasty leagues, as Sanchez will be in high demand if he continues to rake after an assignment to Low-A Bowling Green.

More Fantasy News

Five hits in win

OFMiami Marlins

September 17, 2024

Sanchez went 5-for-5 with two doubles, three RBI and two runs scored in Tuesday's 11-9 win over the Dodgers.

ANALYSIS
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Idle against southpaw

OFMiami Marlins

September 13, 2024

Sanchez is out of the lineup for Friday's game against the Nationals.

ANALYSIS
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Out against left-hander

OFMiami Marlins

September 12, 2024

Sanchez is not in the lineup for Thursday's game versus the Nationals.

ANALYSIS
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Rejoining lineup Friday

OFMiami Marlins

September 6, 2024

Sanchez (back) is batting cleanup as the designated hitter Friday against the Phillies, Kevin Barral of FishonFirst.com reports.

ANALYSIS
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Not in Wednesday's lineup

OFMiami Marlins

Back

September 4, 2024

Sanchez (back) is not in the lineup for Wednesday's game versus the Nationals.

ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors

Breakout campaign?

OFMiami Marlins

June 7, 2023

Sanchez is slashing .287/.362/.543 with an elite .314/.397/.537 expected slash line through 105 plate appearances this season.

ANALYSIS
After struggling to a .214 average and a .683 OPS across 93 games last season, Sanchez looks reinvented in his age-25 campaign. He's punishing fastballs, hitting .392 after posting a lackluster .236 average in that category last season. Sanchez is due for moderate regression, but he's a worthy dynasty add and could deserve roster consideration for any manager with flexibility.

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