Jhoan Duran

Jhoan Duran

26-Year-Old PitcherRP
Minnesota Twins
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Duran once again led the league with 473 pitches thrown at 100 mph or greater. Even more impressive, he averaged 102 mph on his four-seamer, which was actually an improvement over 2022's 101 mph average on the pitch. Duran's secondary offerings were effective too -- he generated a 45.9% whiff percentage on his curveball while throwing more splitters (+11.3% pitch usage) than he did in his rookie season. His 65.9% groundball percentage complemented his 96th percentile strikeout rate (32.9%), but Duran issued more free passes with a below-average walk rate that approached 10%. The 26-year-old tallied a career-high 27 saves as Minnesota's primary closer and his 71.1% team save share was 10th-highest among relievers. Duran certainly has the upside to be a top-five closer in the league, but for now, he figures to settle in as one of the top 8-12 closers for 2024 drafts. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#85
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $747,200 contract with the Twins in March of 2024.
Allows run but grabs save
PMinnesota Twins
September 11, 2024
Duran allowed a run on three hits and struck out two over one inning to earn the save in Wednesday's 6-4 win over the Angels.
ANALYSIS
Duran was able to protect a one-run lead in the ninth inning despite giving up an RBI single to Nolan Schanuel. Over his last seven appearances (5.2 innings), Duran has surrendered eight runs (seven earned), though he's still logged five saves in that span. The right-hander is now at a 4.10 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 56:13 K:BB while racking up 23 saves through 48.1 innings this year.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
15
Last 10 Games
16
Last 5 Games
16
How many pitches does Jhoan Duran generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Jhoan Duran generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-5%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-13%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-2%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-2%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .209 353 113 31 65 7 1 5
Since 2022vs Right .221 370 116 23 74 14 1 11
2024vs Left .220 102 28 5 20 3 1 2
2024vs Right .253 101 28 8 23 6 0 2
2023vs Left .205 127 51 14 23 3 0 0
2023vs Right .209 127 33 11 23 5 0 6
2022vs Left .204 124 34 12 22 1 0 3
2022vs Right .209 142 55 4 28 3 1 3
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-46%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-54%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-14%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-71%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 1.88 1.09 91.0 6 6 31 12.1 2.7 0.3
Since 2022Away 3.50 1.08 87.1 5 13 27 11.0 2.8 1.3
2024Home 2.70 1.16 26.2 4 3 13 10.5 2.7 0.0
2024Away 5.82 1.15 21.2 2 6 10 10.4 2.1 1.7
2023Home 2.27 1.07 31.2 0 2 13 13.4 3.4 0.9
2023Away 2.64 1.21 30.2 3 4 14 10.9 3.8 0.9
2022Home 0.83 1.04 32.2 2 1 5 12.1 1.9 0.0
2022Away 2.83 0.91 35.0 0 3 3 11.6 2.3 1.5
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Jhoan Duran compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
4.31
 
K/9
10.4
 
BB/9
2.4
 
HR/9
0.7
 
Fastball
100.5 mph
 
ERA
4.10
 
WHIP
1.16
 
BABIP
.327
 
GB/FB
3.08
 
Left On Base
51.6%
 
Exit Velocity
81.7 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
2.5%
 
Spin Rate
1957 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
24.3%
 
Swinging Strike
14.3%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Duran impressed the Twins during spring training and made the Opening Day roster as part of the bullpen. It was a role change for the career-long starter, but the rookie adapted quickly and was dominant from the outset. Duran threw a league-leading 392 pitches at 100 mph or greater while averaging a ridiculous 101 mph on his 4-seamer. He complemented his fastball with a knee buckling curve (49.7% whiff percentage) that served as his primary strikeout pitch, leading to a 33.5% strikeout rate. Duran also induced plenty of ground balls (61%) while limiting his free passes (6%) to finish with impressive ratios. With Minnesota struggling to hold leads in the late innings, Duran earned high leverage opportunities rather quickly. He tallied 18 holds on the season, but only finished with eight saves despite the upside for more. Upside is the key word, as he could be a top 5 closer in the league with full-time duties, but there's a greater chance the Twins are more flexible with his role.
Duran is one of Minnesota's top pitching prospects, but he threw just 16 innings last season due to elbow issues. He could contend for the major league rotation later this season, but his workload may be managed as he works his way back to form. Duran relies on a power sinker and a fastball that has touched triple digits on the radar gun, but needs to find a third pitch to complement his sinker and equally nasty splitter to stick as a starter. He could also figure into the bullpen mix and is a dark horse to close games thanks to his velocity.
The 23-year-old spent all of last season at the Twins' alternate training site but didn't appear in a big-league game, which was not a surprising development for a pitcher who had only 37 innings at Double-A on his ledger. Duran is one of the arms in pipeline for Minnesota that made Brusdar Graterol expendable. Like Graterol, Duran relies on a power sinker that has touched triple digits on the radar gun, but he also features a more athletic 6-foot-5 frame that might be better suited for a rotation role in the long run. He'll need to find a third pitch to complement his sinker and equally nasty splitter to stick as a starter, but his arsenal is more than good enough to thrive as a high-leverage reliever if he doesn't. Duran will look to get his development back on track in 2021, likely at Triple-A, and could make his Twins debut this season.
Duran has a couple monster pitches and has not logged a FIP over 3.93 in full-season ball, but he may fit best as a power reliever long term. A 6-foot-5, 230-pound righty who headlined Minnesota's return for Eduardo Escobar in the 2018 deadline deal with Arizona, Duran's best skill is an ability to generate groundballs at an elite clip (65.4 GB% at Low-A, 52.9 GB% at High-A, 63.3 GB% at Double-A since joining the Twins). He accomplishes this with a four-seam fastball that can touch triple digits and a unique low-90s split-fingered sinker -- both rate as plus-plus pitches. Duran could easily slot into a big-league bullpen as is and have success. In order to make it as a starter at the highest level, however, he will need to turn his curveball into a reliable third pitch while demonstrating at least fringe-average command. Look for him to spend the bulk of 2020 in the upper levels of the minors.
Duran has an electric arm (100+ mph fastball), plus an ideal 6-foot-5, 175-pound frame for a 20-year-old hurler and developing secondary pitches in his slider and changeup. Duran's command needs some work for him to make it as a starter, but he has plenty of time to get that ironed out.
More Fantasy News
Implodes in eighth inning
PMinnesota Twins
September 7, 2024
Duran (6-9) took the loss Saturday versus the Royals, allowing three runs (two earned) on two hits and a hit batsman while striking out one over one-third of an inning.
ANALYSIS
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Picks up 22nd save
PMinnesota Twins
September 5, 2024
Duran got the save in Thursday's 4-3 win over the Rays, striking out two in a perfect ninth inning.
ANALYSIS
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Earns 21st save
PMinnesota Twins
September 2, 2024
Duran earned the save in Monday's 5-4 win over the Rays, striking out one in a perfect ninth inning.
ANALYSIS
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Secures save Sunday
PMinnesota Twins
September 2, 2024
Duran picked up the save in Sunday's 4-3 win over the Blue Jays, striking out a batter in a scoreless ninth inning.
ANALYSIS
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Notches 19th save
PMinnesota Twins
August 31, 2024
Duran gave up a hit in a scoreless ninth inning Friday to record his 19th save of the season in a 2-0 win over the Blue Jays.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Minnesota listening to offers
PMinnesota Twins
July 29, 2024
The Twins have listened to trade offers involving Manuel Margot, Max Kepler and Duran, Dan Hayes of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Margot would appear to be easily the most gettable of the three players, with Hays saying the Twins' asking price for Keper and Duran is "extremely high." Minnesota's bullpen is deep enough that it might be able to sustain a loss of Duran, but a contending team trading their closer -- particularly one of Duran's caliber -- would be a surprise. Duran is under team control through 2027.
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