2024 Stats
W-L
2-4
ERA
4.89
WHIP
1.29
K
44
SV
0
2025 Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
A 6-foot-4 lefty from Hawaii who was first ranked as a top 400 prospect back in 2018, Cantillo posted some intriguing metrics (31.1 Whiff%, 27.0 K%, 48.1 GB%, 99th percentile extension) across 38.2 innings last season working primarily as a starter for the Guardians. He had a 4.17 FIP, 3.45 xFIP and 17.7 K-BB% in eight starts, although his surface stats were less glowing (5.11 ERA 1.35 WHIP). His elite extension and slightly above-average induced vertical break allow his 92.2 mph four-seamer to play up, while his changeup and curveball will flash plus. His run in the majors was the first time Cantillo logged a walk rate below 10 percent above rookie ball since he was at Single-A in 2019, and he doesn't have much margin for error if his fastball once again sits in the low-90s. Still, Cantillo figures to open the year in the rotation for a good team with a good defense in a pitcher-friendly park, and there were enough encouraging signs last year to buy him as a cheap breakout candidate. Read Past Outlooks
Hit hard in loss
Cantillo (2-4) took the loss Friday against Houston, pitching 3.2 innings while allowing three runs on six hits and two walks. He struck out seven.
ANALYSIS
The Cleveland southpaw entered this contest on a hot streak, posting a 1.10 ERA across 16.1 innings in September, but he struggled in this 93-pitch outing. Cantillo got a taste of what the playoffs could look like as the Astros laced three doubles off him out of their six total base knocks. The 24-year-old did manage to salvage his outing slightly by notching six or more punchouts for the fourth consecutive start. Cantillo wraps up his rookie campaign with a 4.89 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 44:15 K:BB across 38.1 innings.
The Cleveland southpaw entered this contest on a hot streak, posting a 1.10 ERA across 16.1 innings in September, but he struggled in this 93-pitch outing. Cantillo got a taste of what the playoffs could look like as the Astros laced three doubles off him out of their six total base knocks. The 24-year-old did manage to salvage his outing slightly by notching six or more punchouts for the fourth consecutive start. Cantillo wraps up his rookie campaign with a 4.89 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 44:15 K:BB across 38.1 innings.
Pitching Stats
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2024
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
63
Last 10 Games
60
Last 5 Games
45
How many pitches does Joey Cantillo generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Joey Cantillo generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-35%
BAA vs RHP
2024
-35%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022vs Left | .324 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 3 | |||
| Since 2022vs Right | .209 | 34 | 10 | 23 | 3 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .324 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 3 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .209 | 34 | 10 | 23 | 3 | |||
| 2023vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2023vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2022vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2022vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-46%
ERA at Home
2024
-46%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022Home | 3.38 | 1.29 | 18.2 | 11.6 | 2.9 | ||||
| Since 2022Away | 6.30 | 1.30 | 20.0 | 9.0 | 4.1 | ||||
| 2024Home | 3.38 | 1.29 | 18.2 | 11.6 | 2.9 | ||||
| 2024Away | 6.30 | 1.30 | 20.0 | 9.0 | 4.1 | ||||
| 2023Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2023Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2022Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2022Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Joey Cantillo compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.93K/9
10.2BB/9
3.5HR/9
1.4Fastball
92.2 mphERA
4.89WHIP
1.29BABIP
.308GB/FB
1.52Left On Base
67.3%Exit Velocity
81.2 mphBarrels/BBE
4.0%Spin Rate
1947 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
23.1%Swinging Strike
12.2%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Joey Cantillo See More
James Anderson highlights pitching prospects to target for 2025, including Cards' righty Michael McGreevy, as well as pitching prospects to avoid and some endgame targets for draft and hold leagues.
Matthew Boyd and the Guardians face the Yankees in Game 3 of the ALCS. John Bollman shares his expert MLB contest for this pivotal matchup.
Jason Collette reviews his preseason pitcher predictions, featuring correct calls on Michael King and Michael Kopech but a lack of faith in Cole Ragans.
The NFBC's Postseason Hold'em contest kicks off at the start of the Division Series, and its scoring system leads to some unusual rankings.
Todd Zola provides some player rankings ahead of the playoffs, as Mookie Betts and the Dodgers take MLB's best record into the postseason.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2021
Cantillo isn't perfect, but he's a four-pitch lefty who can touch 98 mph with his fastball, and he threw 95 innings at Triple-A last season. Cantillo hasn't had a walk rate below 11 percent in a full-season league since he had a 7.3 percent walk rate at Low-A in 2019 when he was still a member of the Padres organization. However, the 12.9 percent walk rate he logged with automated balls and strikes at Triple-A is passable by his standards, as walk rates were elevated across the board at Triple-A last year. Cantillo has been limited by injuries (shoulder in 2022, abdomen in 2021) and the 119.1 innings he tallied in 2023 were a career high -- the only other time he eclipsed 100 innings was when he spun 111.2 innings in 2019. He has a career 2.13 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 134 strikeouts in 93 innings at Double-A, and he will look to pitch up to those standards in a return to Triple-A. The Guardians will always have opportunities for pre-arbitration starting pitchers, and if Cantillo can throw enough strikes, he has the stuff to rack up strikeouts with middling ratios.
More Fantasy News
Now pitching Friday
Cantillo is no longer starting Wednesday's game against the Reds and will instead pitch in Friday's series opener versus the Astros, Zack Meisel of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Lasts 4.1 innings vs. Twins
Cantillo didn't factor into the decision Thursday against Minnesota, allowing two runs (one earned) on three hits and three walks over 4.1 innings. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
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Tosses five scoreless in win
Cantillo (2-3) earned the win against the Rays on Saturday, allowing three hits and one walk while striking out six over five scoreless innings.
ANALYSIS
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Drawing another start
Cantillo is scheduled to start Saturday's game against the Rays in Cleveland.
ANALYSIS
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Fans 10 in first MLB victory
Cantillo (1-3) earned the win over the White Sox on Monday, allowing one run on two hits while striking out 10 batters over seven innings.
ANALYSIS
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