Jordan Walker

22-Year-Old OutfielderOF

St. Louis Cardinals

2024 Stats

AVG

.201

RBI

2025 Projections

AVG

RBI

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2025 Fantasy Outlook

There were myriad reasons why the Cardinals' offense flopped in 2024, but Walker taking a giant step back rather than a step forward was chief among them. The former top prospect was optioned to Triple-A Memphis following a slow start for the second year in a row and his first home run of the season at any level didn't come until June. Walker did hit a team-leading five homers and tied for the club lead with 16 RBI in September, although he also had just a 24:3 K:BB that month. The youngster's 43.1 percent hard-hit rate and 9.5 percent barrel rate were improvements upon his rookie season, but Walker regressed substantially with his strikeout rate (28 percent) and walk rate (5.6 percent). The Cardinals have pledged to play their young guys in 2025, which means Walker, who turns just 23 in May, should get plenty of leash. The pedigree says it should click for him eventually, but it's hard to have a ton of confidence that it will happen in 2025. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

From Preseason

Overall Rank

Dynasty

League Majors

Bats R

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'5"

Weight 220

DOB 5/22/2002

Drafted 1st Rd 2020

Goes deep Saturday

OFSt. Louis Cardinals

September 21, 2024

Walker went 1-for-3 with a two-run home run and a walk against the Guardians in Saturday's 6-5 victory.

ANALYSIS
Walker opened the scoring in the contest with a two-run shot to left field in the fourth inning. The young outfielder has been productive of late, batting .269 (7-for-26) with three home runs and eight RBI over his past eight contests. Walker looks to be finishing 2024 on a strong note following a disappointing start to the season that resulted in him spending most of the campaign in the minors.

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Batting Stats

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2024

2023

2020

2024 MLB Game Log

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2023 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Batting Order Slot Breakdown

vs Right-Handed Pitchers

vs RHP

vs Left-Handed Pitchers

vs LHP

Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2022

+11%

OPS vs RHP

2024

+17%

OPS vs LHP

2023

+20%

OPS vs RHP

2022

No Stats

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022vs Left	.684	175	20	6	21	1	.213	.297	.387
Since 2022vs Right	.761	468	47	15	50	7	.270	.325	.436
2024vs Left	.687	56	7	2	8	0	.170	.304	.383
2024vs Right	.588	122	9	3	12	1	.214	.230	.359
2023vs Left	.683	119	13	4	13	1	.231	.294	.389
2023vs Right	.823	346	38	12	38	6	.292	.358	.465
2022vs Left	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2022vs Right	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
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Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2022

+6%

OPS at Home

2024

+29%

OPS on Road

2023

+15%

OPS at Home

2022

No Stats

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022Home	.762	327	35	11	43	4	.268	.324	.438
Since 2022Away	.717	316	32	10	28	4	.242	.310	.407
2024Home	.535	82	6	3	11	0	.137	.220	.315
2024Away	.688	96	10	2	9	1	.253	.281	.407
2023Home	.837	245	29	8	32	4	.310	.359	.478
2023Away	.730	220	22	8	19	3	.237	.323	.407
2022Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2022Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
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Stat Review

How does Jordan Walker compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

BB/K
Walk to strikeout ratio
BB Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
K Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
BABIP
Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
ISO
Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
AVG
Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
OBP
On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
SLG
Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
OPS
On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
wOBA
Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
Exit Velocity
The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
Hard Hit Rate
A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
Barrels/PA
The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
Expected BA
Expected Batting Average.
Expected SLG
Expected Slugging Percentage.
Sprint Speed
The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
Ground Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
Line Drive %
The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
Fly Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.

BB/K

0.20

BB Rate

5.6%

K Rate

28.1%

BABIP

.252

ISO

.165

AVG

.201

OBP

.253

SLG

.366

OPS

.619

wOBA

.271

Exit Velocity

91.2 mph

Hard Hit Rate

35.3%

Barrels/PA

6.2%

Expected BA

.211

Expected SLG

.363

Sprint Speed

24.5 ft/sec

Ground Ball %

50.9%

Line Drive %

6.9%

Fly Ball %

42.2%

Prospect Rankings History

View Complete Jordan Walker Prospect Ranking History

Advanced Batting Stats

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Additional Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Batted Ball Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2024

2023

2022

Walker was at the front of the line of the 2023 Shiny New Toy group with a monster spring training that had rapidly pushed him up March draft lists as fantasy managers were hoping for the next Julio Rodriguez. By season's end, the likes of Luke Raley, Ryan O'Hearn, and Brandon Marsh outearned Walker in overall fantasy value. Walker finished the season as an above average run producer (116 wRC+) but did not excel in any one category for the disappointing Cardinals team. Walker did get off to a strong start, but still went back to the minors at the end of April and also hit .209/.258/.352 in July which cut into his overall production. Normally this kind of season would push a player's draft value down to a more reasonable level, but Walker's upside is simply going to be too tempting for fantasy managers to resist. If he can pull the ball a little more, 30 homers should happen and it could also elevate him from the bottom half of the lineup.

The Cardinals' outfield may be a bit crowded, but the drafting public expects Walker to be a significant factor in 2023. A former third baseman who could also fit nicely at first base, Walker now patrols right field due to the Cardinals having two future Hall of Famers at the infield corners. The 6-foot-5, 220-pound right-handed slugger posted a .306/.388/.510 slash line with 19 home runs, 22 steals (on 27 attempts) and a 21.6 K% as the youngest qualified hitter at Double-A. He capped his season by slashing .286/.367/.558 with five home runs, three steals and a 23:10 K:BB in 21 Arizona Fall League games. Walker is a top-five prospect for dynasty leagues, and his 70-grade raw power is his most bankable long-term tool. He moves well for his size, but he is not a Julio Rodriguez-caliber athlete or prospect, contrary to some public comparisons. It's possible he will win a job out of spring training, but it's not a certainty.

Walker was the best realistic version of himself in his pro debut, showing off his huge raw power while hitting for a surprisingly high batting average with a promising amount of contact and patience. He hit .317/.388/.548 with 14 home runs, a 9.1 BB% and a 23.8 K% as a 19-year-old splitting time between Low-A and High-A. A massive specimen for a teenage third baseman (6-foot-5, 220 pounds), Walker's 14 steals on 16 tries won't translate as he matures and moves up the ladder, but he looks the part of a future big-league cleanup hitter. His plate discipline metrics fell off after the promotion to High-A, but given his age (turns 20 in late May) and how aggressively the Cardinals pushed him, that was not unexpected, and he was still 24 percent better than league average. At his size, it will be tough for him to make enough contact to be a positive contributor in batting average, but he could hit around .260 at peak. The big selling point is that Walker seems like a good enough hitter that he could realistically get to all of his 70-grade raw power in games. He may end up having to move to first base or right field in a couple years.

More Fantasy News

Homers in Tuesday's win

OFSt. Louis Cardinals

September 17, 2024

Walker went 1-for-3 with a solo home run in Tuesday's 3-1 win over the Pirates.