Kyle Harrison

Kyle Harrison

23-Year-Old PitcherSP
San Francisco Giants
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Harrison walked three or more batters in 11 of his 20 starts at Triple-A, where automated balls and strikes may have increased walk rates relative to when humans are calling the game. He walked at least one batter but no more than two batters in all seven of his big-league starts, which lends credence to the theory that he may have less of a control issue when the human element is involved. Harrison always missed bats at an elite clip in the minors, with strikeout rates north of 35 percent at every stop. However his propensity to walk batters has held him back at times. The gap between his walk rate at Triple-A (16.3 percent) and the big leagues (7.5 percent) is essentially the difference between a pitcher destined for relief and a pitcher who comfortably projects as a starter. The 6-foot-2 southpaw was the third-youngest pitcher to make five-plus starts in the majors (only Eury Perez and AJ Smith-Shawver were younger), so it's fair to expect further skill development in the coming years for Harrison, who won't turn 23 until August. He is a flyball pitcher (26.8 GB% in the big leagues), but he has a good home park for that approach, as Oracle Park has the third-lowest home run park factor, per Baseball Savant's 3-year rolling average. He should make the rotation out of spring training, but a hamstring injury limited him to 102.1 innings, so the Giants may cap him at around 150 innings in the regular season. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season
From Preseason
#388
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Giants in March of 2024.
Season likely over
PSan Francisco Giants
Shoulder
September 16, 2024
Giants manager Bob Melvin said Wednesday that Harrison (shoulder) is unlikely to be activated from the 15-day injured list before the season ends Sept. 29, MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Though the left shoulder inflammation that sent Harrison to the IL on Sept. 6 has been deemed mild following an MRI, the young southpaw won't be asked to ramp back up with little time left in the season. Harrison had already logged a career-high 124.1 innings prior to being deactivated, which is likely a factor in the organization's decision to shut him down. Over his 24 starts this season, Harrison went 7-7 with a 4.56 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 118:42 K:BB.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
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2023 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
87
Last 10 Games
84
Last 5 Games
83
How many pitches does Kyle Harrison generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Kyle Harrison generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-12%
BAA vs RHP
2024
 
 
-1%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-46%
BAA vs RHP
2022
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .280 150 31 11 37 5 1 6
Since 2022vs Right .246 529 122 42 117 25 1 20
2024vs Left .260 108 29 6 25 3 1 3
2024vs Right .263 424 89 36 100 22 0 15
2023vs Left .333 42 2 5 12 2 0 3
2023vs Right .179 105 33 6 17 3 1 5
2022vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-28%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-17%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-58%
ERA at Home
2022
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 3.78 1.24 83.1 5 2 0 9.5 2.6 0.9
Since 2022Away 5.23 1.37 75.2 3 6 0 7.7 3.4 2.1
2024Home 4.14 1.29 63.0 4 2 0 9.3 2.4 0.9
2024Away 4.99 1.40 61.1 3 5 0 7.8 3.7 1.8
2023Home 2.66 1.08 20.1 1 0 0 10.2 3.1 0.9
2023Away 6.28 1.26 14.1 0 1 0 7.5 2.5 3.8
2022Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Kyle Harrison compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.81
 
K/9
8.5
 
BB/9
3.0
 
HR/9
1.3
 
Fastball
92.6 mph
 
ERA
4.56
 
WHIP
1.34
 
BABIP
.315
 
GB/FB
1.11
 
Left On Base
71.9%
 
Exit Velocity
82.6 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
6.2%
 
Spin Rate
2114 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
26.7%
 
Swinging Strike
10.2%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
Harrison isn't a perfect pitching prospect, but he is as good as they come with regards to missing bats. The 21-year-old southpaw struck out 186 in 113 innings across 25 starts between High-A and Double-A, with the bulk of his work coming at Double-A. He has a standard three-pitch mix (fastball/slider/changeup) and can get whiffs on any of his pitches in any count if he executes. Harrison had an 11.2 BB% at Double-A, but he cut down on the walks as the summer went on, and most evaluators expect him to stick as a starting pitcher. He is a flyball pitcher (35.6 GB%, 11 HR allowed at Double-A), so assuming his command and control are never elite, he will likely fail to log ace-level ratios, even if he is one of the game's top strikeout arms. While Harrison is not on the 40-man roster, he is clearly the team's best young pitcher, so a 2023 MLB debut is in the cards if he earns it.
Harrison could be a frontline starter if the rest of his development goes smoothly. We shouldn't count on that happening, but his talent and upside were on full display last year. The 20-year-old southpaw struck out 157 over 98.2 innings at Low-A, but his 1.40 WHIP on the year was obviously a red flag. That said, he closed the year on a high note, logging an 0.97 ERA, 0.92 WHIP and 61:13 K:BB in 37 innings over his final eight starts. He can already touch 98 mph with his four-seam fastball, and his slider and changeup might be 70-grade offerings in time. Both offspeed pitches got whiffs at over a 40% clip last season. If his late-season control gains hold and he can stay healthy, Harrison should cruise through the minors and may eventually pitch atop the Giants' rotation.
More Fantasy News
Placed on IL with shoulder injury
PSan Francisco Giants
Shoulder
September 6, 2024
The Giants placed Harrison on the 15-day injured list due to left shoulder inflammation.
ANALYSIS
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Lit up for six runs
PSan Francisco Giants
September 4, 2024
Harrison (7-7) took the loss Tuesday against the Diamondbacks, allowing six runs on seven hits and a walk while striking out three over 2.2 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Unravels in fifth inning
PSan Francisco Giants
August 28, 2024
Harrison (7-6) allowed five runs on four hits and three walks while striking out seven over 4.2 innings to take the loss Wednesday versus the Brewers.
ANALYSIS
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Strong in seventh win
PSan Francisco Giants
August 19, 2024
Harrison (7-5) allowed a run on five hits and two walks while striking out five over six innings to earn the win Monday over the White Sox.
ANALYSIS
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Allows two homers
PSan Francisco Giants
August 14, 2024
Harrison did not factor into the decision in Tuesday's loss to Atlanta, allowing three runs on six hits and two walks while striking out six over five innings.
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Expected to debut as starter
PSan Francisco Giants
August 14, 2023
Giants president of baseball operations Farhan Zaidi told John Shea of the San Francisco Chronicle that Harrison will likely work as a starter once he arrives in the majors.
ANALYSIS
Harrison is still in build-up mode on the farm after missing much of July because of a Grade 2 right hamstring strain, and having him debut in relief could expedite the process. San Francisco badly needs rotation help, however, and the 22-year-old left-hander was knocking on the door to join the Giants as a starter just before the injury. He struck out four batters and allowed one unearned run over 3.1 innings in his most recent start for Triple-A Sacramento last Thursday, though it was only a 38-pitch appearance.
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