Kyle Schwarber

31-Year-Old OutfielderOF

Philadelphia Phillies

2024 Stats

AVG

.248

RBI

101

Rest-of-Season Projections

AVG

RBI

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2024 Fantasy Outlook

Schwarber continues his Adam Dunn impresssion with his three true outcome lines and poor batting averages on a near annual basis. The .266 average from 2021 is rather reminiscent of Dunn's batting average run in 2009-2010 before he became what Schwarber is doing here in recent seasons. Schwarber may be the most atypical leadoff hitter in baseball with his sub .200 batting average and body type, yet his OBP skills make him a solid fit for the job. Schwarber had amazing production in runs, RBIs, and homers, but complete lack of batting average and steals limits his ceiling as a fantasy producer. Thankfully, he retains his outfield eligibility on draft day since he was forced to play in the outfield while Harper monopolized the DH position most of the season. 2024 should be more of the same for Schwarber as the surrounding cast remains consistent and his three true outcome skills are unlikely to change anytime soon. Perhaps resuming full-time DH will refresh his legs for a few steals. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

Rest of Season

Overall Projection

Overall Rank

Dynasty

From Preseason

#76

ADP

League Majors

Bats L

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'0"

Weight 225

DOB 3/5/1993

Born Middletown, OH

College Indiana

Drafted 1st Rd 2014 CHC

In starting nine

OFPhiladelphia Phillies

September 13, 2024

Schwarber (elbow) will DH and bat leadoff Friday against the Mets.

ANALYSIS
Schwarber was scratched from Wednesday's lineup due to elbow pain stemming from an awkward dive back to first base on a pickoff Tuesday. All indications are that the injury is minor, and he's feeling well enough to play Friday. The 31-year-old has 35 home runs and a .868 OPS on the year.

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Batting Stats

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2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2024 MLB Game Log

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2023 MLB Game Log

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2022 MLB Game Log

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2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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2019 MLB Game Log

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2018 MLB Game Log

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2017 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Batting Order Slot Breakdown

vs Right-Handed Pitchers

vs RHP

vs Left-Handed Pitchers

vs LHP

Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2022

+8%

OPS vs RHP

2024

+14%

OPS vs LHP

2023

+12%

OPS vs RHP

2022

+31%

OPS vs RHP

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022vs Left	.790	713	96	36	97	7	.231	.351	.440
Since 2022vs Right	.857	1309	213	92	196	8	.214	.341	.516
2024vs Left	.929	231	36	11	35	4	.314	.424	.505
2024vs Right	.817	402	65	24	60	1	.209	.338	.479
2023vs Left	.758	253	37	15	32	0	.188	.328	.430
2023vs Right	.849	467	71	32	72	0	.201	.351	.497
2022vs Left	.687	229	23	10	30	3	.193	.301	.386
2022vs Right	.900	440	77	36	64	7	.232	.334	.566
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Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2022

+4%

OPS on Road

2024

+12%

OPS on Road

2023

+4%

OPS at Home

2022

+4%

OPS on Road

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022Home	.818	1029	164	62	133	5	.217	.345	.473
Since 2022Away	.849	993	145	66	160	10	.223	.344	.505
2024Home	.811	335	53	18	41	1	.221	.364	.446
2024Away	.910	298	48	17	54	4	.277	.376	.534
2023Home	.832	351	58	23	51	0	.204	.348	.484
2023Away	.802	369	50	24	53	0	.190	.339	.463
2022Home	.810	343	53	21	41	4	.225	.324	.487
2022Away	.845	326	47	25	53	6	.211	.322	.523
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Stat Review

How does Kyle Schwarber compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

BB/K
Walk to strikeout ratio
BB Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
K Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
BABIP
Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
ISO
Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
AVG
Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
OBP
On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
SLG
Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
OPS
On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
wOBA
Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
Exit Velocity
The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
Hard Hit Rate
A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
Barrels/PA
The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
Expected BA
Expected Batting Average.
Expected SLG
Expected Slugging Percentage.
Sprint Speed
The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
Ground Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
Line Drive %
The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
Fly Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.

BB/K

0.56

BB Rate

15.8%

K Rate

28.3%

BABIP

.299

ISO

.240

AVG

.248

OBP

.370

SLG

.488

OPS

.858

wOBA

.373

Exit Velocity

94.0 mph

Hard Hit Rate

43.8%

Barrels/PA

8.2%

Expected BA

.256

Expected SLG

.511

Sprint Speed

20.9 ft/sec

Ground Ball %

42.1%

Line Drive %

18.1%

Fly Ball %

39.8%

Advanced Batting Stats

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Additional Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Batted Ball Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2016

2015

Schwarber is sort of like the modern-day Adam Dunn in that he's a three-true-outcomes player who is perennially underrated because of his low batting average. He's also not a good defender. With 46 home runs last season, Schwarber led the National League, finishing second in baseball behind only Aaron Judge. Surprisingly, Schwarber added a new element to his game in his first season with the Phillies in the form of stolen bases. He was 10-for-11 on the basepaths after going 4-for-8 over the prior three seasons, so it would seem one of the Philadelphia coaches got through to him on how to read opposing pitchers. Now entering his age-30 season, Schwarber should be celebrated for what he is. His power contributions more than make up for the low average and the steals are just a cherry on top.

Schwarber is a power-only bat, and sometimes that's all a fantasy team needs. He consistently hits 30 or more home runs with a walk rate over 10%. Those skills are bankable. He provides no stolen bases (four total in his last three seasons) with a batting average that bounces around from a complete drag to somewhat OK (.211 to .238 to .250 to .188 to .266). The low batting average is from mainly hitting flyballs, being shifted as a pull hitter and having square wheels. He's also struggled with an extreme platoon split, with a career .880 OPS against righties and just .684 OPS against lefties. He just can't generate any power (.146 ISO) against lefties. Without knowing his exact role, he might end up in a platoon or could have over 600 plate appearances. In leagues that require 10 or fewer games to qualify at a position, he is qualified at first base.

Schwarber continued to hit the ball out of the park in 2020, but his overall numbers took a tumble. The slugger suffered from some bad luck during the condensed slate, as his .219 BABIP came in well below his career .267 mark. Schwarber's SLG fell from .531 in 2019 to .393 last year, with only six doubles in 59 games, despite 95th percentile exit velocity. The 27-year-old has always been a bit of a slow starter, with his career OPS lowest in April and May, and in 2020 he did not have time to heat up. The Cubs should have taken advantage of the DH more with Schwarber as his defense was so poor in 48 starts in left field that it washed away most of his offensive contributions. While Chicago did not bring him back, there should still be plenty of suitors for Schwarber's bat in 2021. He figures to get back near an .800 OPS and 30 home runs, with plenty of strikeouts and a sub-.250 batting average mixed in.

Players who saw their 2019 homer total built off opposite-field home runs will suffer if the ball is dejuiced this season. Schwarber led all players with 15 homers to the opposite field in 2019, so that is a concern for the big bat. Last season marked the second time in three years Schwarber hit 30 homers, but 2019 was the first time he was truly an everyday player and fulfilled the run production expectations that have followed him for the past few seasons. Schwarber's Statcast metrics are littered with spots in the 90th percentile or above, highlighted by an average exit velocity in the 97th percentile and a hard-hit rate in the 99th percentile. Those numbers should help you feel better about a drop in homers with a new baseball potentially in play. Strikeout rate improving, batting average improving...good signs entering his age-27 season.

Most major-league hitters would be thrilled to smack 72 homers before their 26th birthday, especially after missing an entire season due to injury. However, expectations for Schwarber are higher than most, so thus far, he's deemed a disappointment. Two hurdles remain before he loses the label. First, Schwarber needs to make more contact, even in this era of increasing strikeouts. More importantly, the slugger needs to figure out how to handle southpaws better or he'll be saddled with platoon playing time, aiding his average but limiting overall production. In his favor: he's still young and possesses a good eye, posting a career 14% walk rate. In addition, his outfield defense is improving, so the gains versus lefties don't need to be that major, just better than the 85 wRC+ posted in 2018. Even with his faults, Schwarber is a threat to hit 30 long balls with a solid OBP. In leagues using average, be sure to have a buffer.

While Schwarber hit 30 home runs last season, his campaign has to be categorized as a major disappointment. He was excellent in the 2016 World Series after missing almost the entire year with a torn ligament in his knee, but failed to build on that momentum, batting just .171 over the first two and a half months of the season. Those prolonged struggles earned Schwarber a trip to the minors, and though the reset seemed to be beneficial, the swing and miss was still a problem after his return, with Schwarber striking out in one-third of his plate appearances the rest of the way. His struggles against left-handed pitching continued -- Schwarber now has a .159/.270/.312 career line against southpaws -- but to his credit Schwarber's defense in left field was better than most expected. The soon-to-be 25-year-old will have some appeal at a reduced cost given his power, but he's a batting-average liability, and his confinement to a platoon role means his run and RBI totals will continue to lag behind his everyday counterparts.

An outfield collision with Dexter Fowler in his second game of the season resulted in a torn ACL and MCL for Schwarber. Much to everyone's surprise, Schwarber was cleared to DH in the World Series, and it was like he'd never been away. Schwarber went 7-for-17 in the Fall Classic with three walks to four strikeouts, even adding a stolen base for good measure in Game 7. The fact that he was able to jump right back in against high-level pitching after nearly seven months away (and only a couple games in the Arizona Fall League to shake the rust) speaks to Schwarber's immense talent at the plate. Unfortunately, he lost catcher eligibility and it's uncertain how often he'll man the backstop in 2017. Chances are, he will play primarily in the outfield coming off such a serious knee injury, and with the emergence of Willson Contreras. Regardless, Schwarber remains a highly appealing option as he's among the best young hitters in the game.

All Schwarber does is hit, and the Cubs had no choice but to promote him last year when it appeared that no minor league level could hold him. His .246 batting average was a bit disappointing, but he made up for it with 16 home runs and 36 walks in limited regular-season action and five more homers in the postseason. Even better, though he moved to the outfield he still managed to catch 21 games in the majors, earning him valuable multi-position eligibility. It's doubtful that he can be an everyday catcher, but it's possible he could play enough behind the plate to continue to stay eligible there in the coming years. How does a catcher-eligible player who hits 25 home runs and bats .290 sound?

The Cubs drafted Schwarber with the fourth pick in the 2014 draft and he made an immediate impression in his three-level stint, hitting a combined 18 home runs in 262 at-bats with an on-base percentage north of .400. Though he played a lot of outfield in his first year as a pro, he's expected to be a full-time catcher in 2015, either at High-A Myrtle Beach or Double-A Tennessee. If he can prove himself there, he'll be on the fast track to Chicago, where he won't have many catchers to beat out.

More Fantasy News

Scratched from lineup due to elbow

OFPhiladelphia Phillies

Elbow

September 11, 2024

The Phillies scratched Schwarber from the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Rays while he continues to experience soreness in his left elbow, Todd Zolecki of MLB.com reports.

ANALYSIS
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Cleared to start Wednesday

OFPhiladelphia Phillies

September 11, 2024

Schwarber (elbow) will bat leadoff as the Phillies' designated hitter in Wednesday's game against the Rays.

ANALYSIS
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Exits with elbow discomfort

OFPhiladelphia Phillies

Elbow

September 10, 2024

Schwarber was removed from Tuesday's game against the Rays due to left elbow discomfort, Matt Gelb of The Athletic reports.

ANALYSIS
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Smacks 34th home run

OFPhiladelphia Phillies

September 9, 2024

Schwarber went 1-for-4 with a solo homer in Monday's 2-1 win over the Rays.

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Homers, drives in three

OFPhiladelphia Phillies

September 7, 2024

Schwarber went 2-for-5 with a home run, three runs scored, three RBI and a walk in Friday's win over Miami.

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Latest Fantasy Rumors

Taking more bases

OFPhiladelphia Phillies

May 10, 2024

According to Alex Coffey of The Philadelphia Inquirer, Schwarber is advancing an extra base 53 percent of the time this season compared to 30 percent in 2023.

ANALYSIS
The 31-year-old has been more active on the basepaths early in 2024, as he also has two steals after not recording a theft on two attempts last season. Schwarber still isn't making consistent contact with a .211 batting average and 32.4 percent strikeout rate through 38 games, and he has just one extra-base hit other than his nine homers. The veteran slugger has more or less provided what fantasy managers have expected so far this season, but his 55.3 percent hard-hit rate would be a career high and suggests some better results could be on the horizon.

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