Kyle Tucker

Kyle Tucker

27-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Houston Astros
2024 Stats
AVG
.289
HR
23
RBI
49
R
56
SB
11
2025 Projections
AVG
HR
RBI
R
SB
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2025 Fantasy Outlook
When Tucker landed on the 10-day injured list in early June, his injury was labeled a right shin contusion. It wasn't until he was on the verge of his return in September that we learned Tucker was dealing with a fracture all along. Despite missing half the season, Tucker smacked 23 homers and stole 11 bases, though he only swiped one bag in 18 regular-season games following his return. Tucker took yet another step forward with his plate skills in 2024, walking more than he struck out in 336 plate appearances. Already a three-time All-Star heading into his age-28 season, Tucker has established an incredibly high floor with his pull-heavy approach from the left side. The steals may be somewhat in question coming off the shin fracture, but Tucker has been ultra efficient on the basepaths throughout his career, stealing 94 bases in 107 attempts. Even with some lingering questions, Tucker will be an appealing choice in the first round while he's sandwiched between two other all-world hitters in Jose Altuve and Yordan Alvarez in the Houston lineup. Read Past Outlooks
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RANKS
Rest of Season
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Overall Rank
#Subscriber-Only
Dynasty
From Preseason
League Majors
Bats L
Throws R
40 Man Yes
Height 6'4"
Weight 199
DOB 1/17/1997
Born Tampa, FL
College None
Drafted 1st Rd 2015 HOU
$Signed a one-year, $12 million contract with the Astros in January of 2024.
Late scratch due to rain
OFHouston Astros
September 29, 2024
Tucker was scratched from Sunday's lineup against the Guardians while it was in a rain delay, Brian McTaggart of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
The game had been delayed for almost an hour when the team submitted a new lineup without Tucker, Jose Altuve or Alex Bregman, as the Astros opted to not risk one of their veterans getting injured in subpar conditions ahead of the playoffs.
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Batting Stats
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2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
24
17
10
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
6
12
5
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+8%
OPS vs RHP
2024
 
 
+29%
OPS vs RHP
2023
 
 
+9%
OPS vs LHP
2022
 
 
+15%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .838 582 66 30 110 13 .264 .335 .503
Since 2022vs Right .901 1027 158 52 158 53 .281 .378 .523
2024vs Left .840 123 14 5 16 3 .262 .374 .466
2024vs Right 1.082 213 42 18 33 8 .305 .427 .655
2023vs Left .934 237 25 12 47 7 .300 .367 .567
2023vs Right .859 430 72 17 65 23 .275 .370 .489
2022vs Left .736 222 27 13 47 3 .228 .279 .456
2022vs Right .850 384 44 17 60 22 .275 .359 .491
More Splits→ View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+6%
OPS on Road
2024
 
 
+42%
OPS at Home
2023
 
 
+25%
OPS on Road
2022
 
 
+15%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home .851 806 111 37 125 31 .265 .354 .498
Since 2022Away .904 803 113 45 143 35 .284 .371 .533
2024Home 1.151 186 34 15 31 6 .320 .457 .694
2024Away .808 150 22 8 18 5 .254 .347 .462
2023Home .785 318 40 10 48 14 .251 .330 .455
2023Away .980 349 57 19 64 16 .315 .404 .576
2022Home .751 302 37 12 46 11 .251 .315 .436
2022Away .866 304 34 18 61 14 .264 .345 .520
More Splits→ View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Kyle Tucker compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
1.04
 
BB Rate
16.7%
 
K Rate
16.1%
 
BABIP
.282
 
ISO
.296
 
AVG
.289
 
OBP
.408
 
SLG
.585
 
OPS
.993
 
wOBA
.424
 
Exit Velocity
91.1 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
33.9%
 
Barrels/PA
8.6%
 
Expected BA
.279
 
Expected SLG
.536
 
Sprint Speed
19.6 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
28.0%
 
Line Drive %
19.6%
 
Fly Ball %
52.4%
 
Prospect Rankings History
View Complete Kyle Tucker Prospect Ranking History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Astros Depth Chart
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Kyle Tucker See More
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
We are going to say it: Tucker was robbed in 2023. Since Khris Davis left the league, we have lacked a statistically consistent player and Tucker looked to have filled that need with what should have been his 30th homer on the final day of the season. That is, until the official scorer turned it into a triple with an error. That scurrilous decision robbed Tucker of a third consecutive 30 homer season and his first ever 30-30 season. All joking aside, Tucker had a monster fantasy season accepting his walks, rarely striking out, and stepping up as a run producer in the third spot of the lineup while Yordan Alvarez missed time. We have longed to have Tucker hitting in the upper third of the lineup and he did not disappoint with 47 RBIs in 56 games from that spot. Whereas Dusty Baker was reticent to make changes, Joe Espada may change things up to have Tucker hit second and have Bregman in between the lefty at bats. If that happens, Tucker is worth a top five overall pick.
Tucker broke out during the shortened 2020 campaign with an .837 OPS and has established himself as a key cog in the Astros' lineup over the past couple years. During 2022 he hit exactly 30 home runs for the second straight season and also stole 25 bases while being caught only four times in 150 games. He saw his batting average and ISO drop about 40 points each to .257 and .221, respectively, but he showed minor improvements in both his strikeout (15.7 percent) and walk rates (9.8 percent). Tucker's solid defense in right field further cements his spot in the everyday lineup, and his 129 wRC+ in the heart of Houston's potent order will continue to provide ample opportunities to rack up counting stats during his age-26 season in 2023.
Tucker flourished in his first season as a regular as he not only matched the performance from his first three partial seasons, he took it to the next level. Fewer strikeouts and more walks drove the improvement as Tucker was more aggressive swinging within the zone while also increasing contact. Additionally, Tucker simultaneously hit more flyballs while increasing his average exit velocity on flyballs, fueling his increase in power. Tucker continued to be an efficient base stealer, getting caught just twice in 16 attempts. He has 20-steal upside if the Astros let him run more. Tucker batted sixth or lower in 100 of 140 games, so more opportunities could follow if he hits higher this season. Most of the games Tucker missed were from two stints on the COVID-19 list. With 10 defensive runs saved, Tucker thrives with the glove as well. Tucker is a burgeoning fantasy stud with five-category potential.
Tucker was already slated to see a lot of playing time last season, but with Yordan Alvarez missing just about the entire year, Tucker appeared in 58 out of 60 games. His slash line was nearly identical to his short stay in 2019 but he did It without the benefit of the livelier ball. Tucker's K% improved which is key for someone so young, providing a batting average floor for his enticing power/speed upside. There's a lot of red in Tucker's Statcast profile, indicating his performance is supported by strong batted-ball skills, notably average exit velocity and hard-hit rate. Icing on the cake is a tidy 8-for-9 in stolen-base attempts, prorating to a 20-steal campaign. Tucker is assured of regular playing time, hitting in the middle of a potent order. Entering just his age-24 season, Tucker checks all the boxes for the classic five-category stud, with future first-round, $30-plus potential.
The Astros stuck by Josh Reddick throughout the 2019 season, much to the chagrin of Tucker's fantasy owners. He did finally get some run in September and enjoyed his first taste of big-league success, and even earned a spot on the postseason roster through the World Series. On account of being stuck at Triple-A and accumulating 536 PA with Round Rock, Tucker put up a 30-30 season, leading the PCL in stolen bases. He walked at an 11.2% clip while striking out 21.6% of the time. The latter number jumped to 27.8% against big-league arms and it is a long, unconventional swing, but the batted-ball numbers were excellent and his track record suggests he will be able to make enough contact. The big question is: how much will he run? Houston as a club stole 67 bases all year (17th in total attempts), though Tucker was active on the basepaths and it's possible the Astros run more under a new manager.
Tucker was the second-youngest player and third-best hitter (155 wRC+) in the Pacific Coast League. He had three short stints in the big leagues (MLB debut on July 7) but never got going at the dish. In the 28 Triple-A games (including PCL playoffs) that followed his MLB debut, he hit .388/.463/.750 with 12 home runs and eight steals, so it is safe to say he has nothing to prove at that level. Tucker has plus power and should have no trouble hitting 20-plus homers once he is playing every day. His stolen-base totals oversell his pure speed, but he has good instincts on the bases and should be a double-digit contributor there as well. His batted-ball profile at Triple-A was ideal (35.8 GB%), and while he may not be a .300 hitter, he will do a lot of damage as a .270 or .280 hitter. To manipulate his service time to maximize their years of control, the Astros would need to hold Tucker down until mid-May, which would be disingenuous, but also can't be ruled out.
Reasonable minds could disagree about whether power, speed or batting average will be Tucker's most valuable fantasy contribution, and that's the selling point. He's good at everything. In 2016 he stole 32 bases on 44 tries. He only stole 21 bags last year, but launched 25 homers across stops at High-A and Double-A, putting an end to the "will he hit for power" debate. A .286 BABIP suppressed his Texas League batting average, but his hit tool has the potential to be special -- his swing receives Ted Williams comps. Tucker has been unduly pull happy (49.1 percent pull rate at Double-A) for a prospect with the raw talent to compete for batting titles. His newfound over-the-fence power may have momentarily compromised his approach, but with more upper-level instruction, he should eventually display an all-fields approach. He is the Astros' best hitting prospect since Alex Bregman and capable of playing all three outfield spots, so while the big-league roster is crowded, the velvet rope will be lifted when he's ready to join the mix this summer.
Drafted fifth overall in 2015, Tucker spent much of last season with Low-A Quad Cities but reached the High-A level for the final 16 games of his age-19 campaign. The brother of Preston Tucker (also in the Astros organization), Kyle didn't miss a beat following the promotion. In fact, he surged at the dish, going 20-for-59 (.339 average) with 11 extra-base hits and a 10:6 BB:K with Lancaster. Not only does Tucker demonstrate an advanced approach and discerning eye for his age, he has plus speed and there's plenty of room for power growth as he fills out his 6-foot-4 frame. He is already a top-20 prospect for fantasy purposes and he has the skill set to rise quickly through the system, so Tucker should be treated as a hot commodity in any long-term keeper league with minor league roster spots.
Tucker, the fifth overall pick of the 2015 draft, joined the same organization as his older brother Preston when the Astros selected him last June. One of the top hitting prospects in the 2015 class, the 6-foot-4, 190-pound outfielder struggled in rookie ball, hitting only .246/.294/.353 in 63 games between the Gulf Coast League and Greeneville Astros. He did help Greeneville win the Appalachian League title, however, alongside 37th overall pick Daz Cameron.
More Fantasy News
Absent from Wednesday's lineup
OFHouston Astros
September 25, 2024
Tucker is not in the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Mariners, Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Pops homer in win
OFHouston Astros
September 24, 2024
Tucker went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in Tuesday's 4-3 win over the Mariners.
ANALYSIS
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Posts second straight four-hit game
OFHouston Astros
September 21, 2024
Tucker went 4-for-4 with a home run, a double, a walk and two total RBI in a 10-4 victory versus the Angels on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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Four hits in Friday's win
OFHouston Astros
September 21, 2024
Tucker went 4-for-5 with a solo home run and two additional runs scored in Friday's 9-7 win over the Angels.
ANALYSIS
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Taking seat Wednesday
OFHouston Astros
September 18, 2024
Tucker is out of the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Padres.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Chance to be traded?
OFHouston Astros
November 6, 2024
The Astros could attempt to trade Tucker during the offseason in order to replenish their depleted farm system, reports Chandler Rome of The Athletic.
ANALYSIS
Trading a major piece like Tucker or Framber Valdez would be a seismic move, especially for an established contender like Houston. However, GM Dana Brown's comments to reporters Tuesday didn't provide much optimism for potential extension talks with both players entering the final year of their contracts, Tucker was productive when available in 2024 with 23 homers, 11 steals and a .993 OPS, though he was limited to 78 games in the regular season due to a shin injury.
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