Logan Gilbert

Logan Gilbert

27-Year-Old PitcherSP
Seattle Mariners
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Gilbert has been a rather consistent fantasy pitcher over his first three seasons when you account for the typical variability of starting pitching. His last two full seasons have had similar looks to them by innings pitched as well as peripherals even if the process to those outcomes changed. Gilbert added a splitter to his repertoire last winter and loved it so much that it became both his third pitch and replaced the straight change he threw. It was his whiffiest pitch and one of three offerings which generated at least a 30% whiff rate. Add that to a fastball with an 18% whiff rate and it is easy to see how Gilbert is 26-13 over the past two seasons with one of the better ERAs in the league. Gilbert has a little trouble with the long ball, but his stinginess with walks offsets some of that damage. He has yet to miss a start as a big league pitcher, so just typing that feels like we're cursing him for 2024. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#70
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $4.05 million contract with the Mariners in January of 2024.
Solid showing in no-decision
PSeattle Mariners
September 15, 2024
Gilbert didn't factor into the decision in Saturday's win over the Rangers, allowing four earned runs on six hits, a walk and a wild pitch over six innings. He struck out seven.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander allowed at least four runs for the fourth time in the last six starts, with two-run home runs by Leody Taveras and Marcus Semien in the third and fifth innings, respectively, accounting for the damage. On the brighter side, Gilbert was able to continue generating plenty of swings and misses, notching 15 whiffs among his 97 pitches while extending his streak of starts with at least six Ks to eight outings. Gilbert pushed his career-high strikeout total to 198 as well with Saturday's production, and he'll once again aim for his eighth victory in a projected road rematch with the Rangers on Friday night.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
93
Last 10 Games
94
Last 5 Games
98
How many pitches does Logan Gilbert generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Logan Gilbert generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-6%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-13%
BAA vs RHP
2023
Even Split
2022
 
 
-27%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .216 1058 286 64 212 54 3 27
Since 2022vs Right .231 1214 275 55 263 61 3 43
2024vs Left .211 327 94 17 65 20 0 9
2024vs Right .184 409 104 17 71 18 1 13
2023vs Left .233 383 98 18 84 18 1 13
2023vs Right .234 387 91 18 85 18 1 16
2022vs Left .201 348 94 29 63 16 2 5
2022vs Right .276 418 80 20 107 25 1 14
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-4%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-32%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-17%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-3%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 3.32 0.99 263.1 12 15 0 9.1 1.5 1.2
Since 2022Away 3.46 1.09 304.2 21 9 0 8.7 2.2 1.0
2024Home 2.59 0.83 90.1 3 5 0 9.9 1.3 1.0
2024Away 3.82 0.94 101.1 4 6 0 8.8 1.9 1.1
2023Home 4.10 1.01 90.0 4 5 0 9.2 1.6 1.8
2023Away 3.40 1.13 100.2 9 2 0 8.7 1.8 1.0
2022Home 3.25 1.14 83.0 5 5 0 8.2 1.6 0.9
2022Away 3.16 1.21 102.2 8 1 0 8.6 3.0 1.0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Logan Gilbert compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
5.82
 
K/9
9.3
 
BB/9
1.6
 
HR/9
1.0
 
Fastball
96.5 mph
 
ERA
3.24
 
WHIP
0.89
 
BABIP
.250
 
GB/FB
1.43
 
Left On Base
66.8%
 
Exit Velocity
82.8 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.1%
 
Spin Rate
1903 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
24.7%
 
Swinging Strike
14.4%
 
Prospect Rankings History
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
The underlying stats of 2021 gave us enough positive signs that 2022 could be a big year for the sophomore hurler, and that is precisely what we saw from the young righty. Gilbert pitched with poise and polish normally not seen in a 25-year old pitcher as he commanded his fastball and flung five different pitches at hitters preferring to keep them off-balance over always pursuing the strikeout. His four-seam fastball has an above-average whiff rate due to the combination of velocity and extension on the pitch while none of his other offerings possess even an average whiff rate. His fastball command is what makes or breaks the approach and he will go places if he continues to pitch as he did in 2022. The flyball-heavy results leave him somewhat prone to the long ball and it will be interesting to see how the new balanced schedule impacts him as he had a 2.69 ERA against the bottom feeders of the AL West and a 3.45 ERA against the rest of the league. We also do not know how the near 70 inning increase in workload will impact him as it was a significant increase over his previous professional seasons.
Gilbert came out of a tiny pitching factory school in DeLand, Florida, which had already given us both Corey Kluber and Jacob deGrom, and began his efforts to make a name for himself. He made all of one start in Triple-A before coming up to stay in the big leagues and was as impressive as one could realistically expect in his rookie season. His high flyball rate led to more homers than we like to see from starters, but a 19.9 K-BB% as a rookie was impressive. He held the league to a .239 average and had a 1.17 WHIP, but the ERA was higher than expected. In fact, only seven other pitchers have ever posted an ERA over 4.00 with supporting stats such as the ones Gilbert had last season. Two of them also happened in 2021: Aaron Nola and Yu Darvish. Gilbert's big jump in workload increase is something to consider, not to mention there will be additional growing pains in that division.
Gilbert's stock has been steadily trending up over the past couple years, and that trend continued in 2020 at the Mariners' alternate training site. The 6-foot-6, 225-pound righty's fastball is one of the most effective pitches in the minors. It sits in the mid-90s (touches 97) and plays like a 70-grade pitch due to command, extension and riding life. If he can locate that pitch against big-league hitters, he will be successful. His changeup, curveball and slider all have above-average to plus potential, but they will play up even more than that due to the quality of his fastball. His fastball and changeup, specifically, have noticeably improved over the past calendar year. While he is more of a bat misser than a weak contact inducer, once he gets ahead in the count, hitters struggle to square stuff up because they have to be ready for the cheese. He should join Seattle's rotation early this season.
If we just listed Gilbert's arsenal, the hype would be moderate, but his statistical output in his first pro season led to significant excitement in dynasty leagues. The 6-foot-6 righty's low-to-mid-90s fastball plays up as a plus pitch due to excellent extension, but that is his lone 60-grade pitch. He throws two breaking balls that are solid and a changeup that is usable, but even if he developed plus command, Gilbert's ceiling is capped as a mid-rotation starter. He has the frame (225 pounds) to eat innings, and after logging nine starts at Double-A, he could make his big-league debut this summer if he continues to face little resistance in the minors. A No. 3 starter who can throw 180-plus innings is a valuable commodity in redraft leagues, but time and again prospects with that profile end up falling short of that projection for one reason or another. This is a good time to cash him out.
More Fantasy News
Goes distance in loss
PSeattle Mariners
September 7, 2024
Gilbert (7-11) took the loss Saturday versus the Cardinals, throwing a complete game (eight innings) in which he allowed two runs on two hits, a walk and a hit-by pitch while striking out 10.
ANALYSIS
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Strikes out nine in no-decision
PSeattle Mariners
September 2, 2024
Gilbert did not factor into the decision in Monday's 5-4 loss to the Athletics, allowing four runs on four hits and one walk with nine strikeouts over six innings.
ANALYSIS
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Bullpen spoils strong start
PSeattle Mariners
August 28, 2024
Gilbert tossed six scoreless innings while allowing just four hits and striking out 10 without a walk in Tuesday's loss to the Rays. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Roughed up in loss
PSeattle Mariners
August 22, 2024
Gilbert (7-10) took the loss against the Dodgers on Wednesday, allowing eight runs (six earned) on seven hits and two walks over 4.2 innings. He struck out seven.
ANALYSIS
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Stuck with loss in quality start
PSeattle Mariners
August 17, 2024
Gilbert (7-9) took the loss Friday, giving up four runs (three earned) on five hits and two walks over 6.1 innings as the Mariners fell 5-3 to the Pirates. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
No ongoing trade discussions
PSeattle Mariners
August 1, 2023
Jon Morosi of MLB Network reports the Mariners aren't currently involved in any trade discussions on Gilbert.
ANALYSIS
The 26-year-old's name has surfaced a few times in trade rumors over the past few weeks, but Seattle was never going to part with him lightly given he's entering his first season of arbitration eligibility next year. Gilbert remains a key rotation piece for the Mariners and has a 3.83 ERA, 1.06 WHIP and 121:21 K:BB over 124.2 innings this year.
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