Lucas Erceg

Lucas Erceg

29-Year-Old PitcherRP
Kansas City Royals
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Erceg began his career as an infielder, but converted to pitching a few years ago while he was a member of the Brewers organization. After struggling in the minors as a reliever, Erceg was traded to Oakland last May, where he was given an opportunity to perform at the big league level for the first time. Expectedly, the 28-year-old worked around control issues (14.3% walk rate), but he earned the manager's trust amidst an unsettled Oakland bullpen. Erceg primarily flashed his 98 mph sinker that he complemented with a fastball, changeup, slider and occasional cutter. His change was his best pitch (.190 BA, 38.4% whiff), but he only threw it 22.1% of the time, so it will be interesting to see if he tosses it more often. Erceg's ratios weren't great, but he only permitted one home run across 55 innings, with his 0.16 HR/9 best in the league among qualified relievers. He's a dark horse candidate for save chances, but there could still be growing pains. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#403
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Athletics in March of 2024. Traded to the Royals in July of 2024.
Bounces back to notch save
PKansas City Royals
September 4, 2024
Erceg picked up a save against the Guardians on Wednesday, striking out one batter in a perfect ninth inning.
ANALYSIS
Erceg had a rough outing Tuesday, giving up three runs over two-thirds of an inning. Kansas City manager Matt Quatraro went right back to the right-hander in a save situation one day later, and Erceg responded by retiring the side in order on 15 pitches. That bodes well for his chances of continuing as Kansas City's closer despite entering Wednesday amidst a rough stretch during which he went 0-2 with two blown saves while giving up seven runs across two innings over three appearances.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
15
Last 10 Games
18
Last 5 Games
18
How many pitches does Lucas Erceg generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Lucas Erceg generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
Even Split
2024
 
 
-12%
BAA vs RHP
2023
 
 
-9%
BAA vs LHP
2022
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .233 191 54 27 37 9 1 3
Since 2022vs Right .233 277 74 24 57 17 1 1
2024vs Left .235 99 27 11 20 3 1 2
2024vs Right .207 118 33 4 23 5 0 1
2023vs Left .230 92 27 16 17 6 0 1
2023vs Right .254 159 41 20 34 12 1 0
2022vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-2%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-38%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-32%
ERA at Home
2022
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 4.25 1.30 53.0 2 3 5 11.9 3.7 0.2
Since 2022Away 4.33 1.41 54.0 4 6 4 9.7 4.8 0.5
2024Home 4.67 1.19 27.0 1 2 5 11.3 2.3 0.3
2024Away 2.88 1.04 25.0 1 3 4 9.4 2.9 0.7
2023Home 3.81 1.42 26.0 1 1 0 12.5 5.2 0.0
2023Away 5.59 1.72 29.0 3 3 0 9.9 6.5 0.3
2022Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Lucas Erceg compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
4.00
 
K/9
10.4
 
BB/9
2.6
 
HR/9
0.5
 
Fastball
98.6 mph
 
ERA
3.81
 
WHIP
1.12
 
BABIP
.316
 
GB/FB
1.63
 
Left On Base
63.2%
 
Exit Velocity
80.9 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.5%
 
Spin Rate
2028 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
21.9%
 
Swinging Strike
13.4%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
Erceg sputtered in his time at Double-A last season, hitting an unimpressive .248/.306/.382 with 16 homers in 123 games. The third baseman avoided strikeouts well, striking out just 16.1% of the time, but he simply hasn't done enough damage when he makes contact. He has the arm to stick at the hot corner (unless the Brewers give up on his bat and move him to the mound, where he had success as an amateur), but his fielding is mediocre and his bat hasn't been good enough for a corner position. The Brewers are better and deeper than they've been for a long time, so it's unlikely Erceg will find a path to the big leagues this season. He'll need a significant step forward at the plate in the minors this year if he's to recapture some of his previous prospect shine and get back on track.
Erceg's power rates dipped in his second season as he got his first taste of High-A action, but he did do a better job putting the bat on the ball, cutting his strikeouts while making more contact. The results from his refined approach were not promising for most of the season as he owned just a .688 OPS at the end of July, but things all came together in August, when he posted a .296 batting average, .864 OPS and 14:20 BB:K over 26 High-A games. That showing, plus the fact he will turn 23 next May, puts him on track to earn an assignment to the Double-A ranks to kick off the 2018 campaign, and if he can carry over his late-season success, he could find himself comfortably listed on most top-100 prospect lists when they are revised around the midway point in 2018.
Erceg, Milwaukee's 2016 second-round pick, destroyed rookie ball and earned a quick promotion thanks to a 1.004 OPS in his first 26 professional games. He continued to flash power to all fields after promotion to the full-season Midwest League, as he mashed seven home runs in just 42 games for Low-A Wisconsin. At 6-foot-3, Erceg has the frame to be a big-time power hitter in the major leagues and should continue to improve his power if he can bulk up in the next few years. He has the arm to play third base, so if he can continue to develop his power, he could be Milwaukee's third baseman of the future.
More Fantasy News
Struggles in return to mound
PKansas City Royals
September 3, 2024
Erceg (hand) allowed three runs on two hits and struck out two over two-thirds of an inning during Tuesday's 7-1 loss to the Guardians.
ANALYSIS
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Deemed day-to-day
PKansas City Royals
Hand
August 30, 2024
Erceg is dealing with soreness and swelling in his pitching hand, but the issue isn't viewed as serious, Joel Goldberg of Bally Sports Kansas City reports.
ANALYSIS
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Exits after comebacker
PKansas City Royals
Hand
August 29, 2024
Erceg exited Thursday's game against Houston after fielding a comebacker with his bare hand, Joel Goldberg of Bally Sports Kansas City reports.
ANALYSIS
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Saddled with loss, blown save
PKansas City Royals
August 28, 2024
Erceg (2-4) took the loss and a blown save Wednesday against Cleveland, allowing one earned run on three hits while striking out one in a single inning.
ANALYSIS
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Collects eighth save
PKansas City Royals
August 27, 2024
Erceg recorded his eighth save of the season in the first game of Monday's doubleheader sweep of the Guardians, walking one batter in a scoreless ninth inning.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Potential trade piece?
POakland Athletics
June 12, 2024
The Athletics may be willing to trade Erceg this summer, per Jim Bowden of The Athletic.
ANALYSIS
Oakland isn't expected to deal dominant closer Mason Miller this summer, but the organization is likely more willing to part with Erceg, who has been working as a setup man. Erceg surrendered two runs during Wednesday's loss to San Diego in his first outing back from a forearm injury, but prior to that he had a 2.86 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and 27:8 K:BB over 22 innings. The 29-year-old still has two more seasons with a pre-arbitration salary, so the Athletics could be patient while evaluating trade options.
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