2024 Stats
W-L
15-8
ERA
3.88
WHIP
1.13
K
183
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Lopez had an impressive first season in Minnesota by finishing seventh in the AL Cy Young voting and going 2-0 and giving up one run in 12.2 innings in the postseason. Lopez changed his arsenal in the offseason to feature a sweeper as his primary off-speed pitch which resulted in more strikeouts. Lopez had a career-high 29.2% K% and 14.8% swinging K%. He allowed just a .215 wOBA and generated a 36.3% K% on his sweeper. He also set a new high 194 innings while maintaining career-best velocity (94.8 average mph fastball). The Twins signed him to a four-year, $73.54 million contract extension after his trade from Miami as they believe they traded for a true ace and felt validated by his playoff performance. Read Past Outlooks
Picks up win No. 15
Lopez (15-8) earned the win Tuesday against the Angels, allowing four unearned runs on eight hits and one walk over seven innings. He struck out 10.
ANALYSIS
The Minnesota righty picked up his sixth consecutive quality start -- and 17th of the season -- with this dazzling 105-pitch performance. Although he generated only 13 whiffs on the evening, Lopez managed to post his third double-digit strikeout game of the season, marking his first since punching out 14 at Oakland on June 23. After pitching to an unsightly 5.11 ERA across 104 innings in the first half, the 28-year-old has returned to ace form since the All-Star break, firing a 1.92 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 62:12: K:BB over 65.1 innings. He lines up to make his next start against the division-leading Guardians on the road next week.
The Minnesota righty picked up his sixth consecutive quality start -- and 17th of the season -- with this dazzling 105-pitch performance. Although he generated only 13 whiffs on the evening, Lopez managed to post his third double-digit strikeout game of the season, marking his first since punching out 14 at Oakland on June 23. After pitching to an unsightly 5.11 ERA across 104 innings in the first half, the 28-year-old has returned to ace form since the All-Star break, firing a 1.92 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 62:12: K:BB over 65.1 innings. He lines up to make his next start against the division-leading Guardians on the road next week.
Pitching Stats
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Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
93
Last 10 Games
100
Last 5 Games
101
How many pitches does Pablo Lopez generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Pablo Lopez generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-15%
BAA vs RHP
2024
-7%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022vs Left | .258 | 253 | 77 | 266 | 35 | |||
| Since 2022vs Right | .219 | 338 | 59 | 224 | 33 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .252 | 77 | 15 | 77 | 10 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .235 | 106 | 20 | 80 | 13 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .271 | 104 | 27 | 101 | 13 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .205 | 130 | 21 | 75 | 11 | |||
| 2022vs Left | .249 | 72 | 35 | 88 | 12 | |||
| 2022vs Right | .218 | 102 | 18 | 69 | 9 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-18%
ERA on Road
2024
-11%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022Home | 4.15 | 1.19 | 267.0 | 9.6 | 2.2 | ||||
| Since 2022Away | 3.39 | 1.11 | 276.1 | 10.0 | 2.3 | ||||
| 2024Home | 3.64 | 1.16 | 81.2 | 9.1 | 1.2 | ||||
| 2024Away | 4.11 | 1.11 | 87.2 | 10.3 | 2.5 | ||||
| 2023Home | 4.21 | 1.17 | 98.1 | 11.3 | 2.3 | ||||
| 2023Away | 3.10 | 1.14 | 95.2 | 10.4 | 2.2 | ||||
| 2022Home | 4.55 | 1.25 | 87.0 | 8.1 | 3.0 | ||||
| 2022Away | 3.00 | 1.09 | 93.0 | 9.3 | 2.3 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Pablo Lopez compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
5.23K/9
9.7BB/9
1.9HR/9
1.2Fastball
95.0 mphERA
3.88WHIP
1.13BABIP
.313GB/FB
1.46Left On Base
70.7%Exit Velocity
81.6 mphBarrels/BBE
4.9%Spin Rate
2254 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
22.3%Swinging Strike
13.6%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Pa-Lo answered the health concerns we highlighted last season as he took the ball all 32 times it was given to him and was one of 27 pitchers to throw at least 180 innings on the season. Yet, 2022 was a bit of a disappointment in his outcomes as he won 10 of the 32 starts for the struggling Miami club while his ERA jumped three quarters of a run from the previous season and his strikeout rate fell four percentage points. He was still tough to hit and stingy with baserunners, but his upside was limited by the misfortunes of the Miami offense. Lopez and Kyle Wright were extremely similar from a statistical profile this past season, yet Wright had 21 wins and a 3.19 ERA thanks to 5.3 runs per game while Lopez was supported with just 3.2 runs per outing. There was nothing wrong with the pitcher, rather, the surrounding cast was limiting his true fantasy upside. That could change after he was traded to Minnesota in January. He'll have a better supporting cast though a slightly less friendly park.
More Fantasy News
Streak ends but gets 14th win
Lopez (14-8) earned the win Thursday against the Rays, allowing three runs on seven hits and one walk over 6.2 innings. He struck out nine.
ANALYSIS
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Extends scoreless streak Friday
Lopez (13-8) picked up the win Friday, allowing six hits over 7.2 scoreless innings in a 2-0 victory over the Blue Jays. He struck out three without walking a batter.
ANALYSIS
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Dominant in 12th win
Lopez (12-8) allowed four hits and a walk while striking out nine over seven shutout innings to earn the win over the Cardinals on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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Strong start goes to waste
Lopez allowed six hits and three walks while striking out three over six scoreless innings in a no-decision versus the Rangers on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Secures 11th victory
Lopez (11-8) earned the win Monday against the Royals, allowing three runs (two earned) on six hits and no walks over six innings. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Closing in on long-term deal
Lopez and the Twins are close to finalizing a four-year, $73.5 million contract extension, Craig Mish of the Miami Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
The deal would begin in 2024, per Do-Hyoung Park of MLB.com, which means it would cover what would have been the first three years of free agency for Lopez. Lopez has posted a 1.73 ERA, 0.81 WHIP and 33:6 K:BB across his first 26 innings with Minnesota.
The deal would begin in 2024, per Do-Hyoung Park of MLB.com, which means it would cover what would have been the first three years of free agency for Lopez. Lopez has posted a 1.73 ERA, 0.81 WHIP and 33:6 K:BB across his first 26 innings with Minnesota.