2024 Stats
W-L
15-10
ERA
4.08
WHIP
1.19
K
198
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Lopez had an impressive first season in Minnesota by finishing seventh in the AL Cy Young voting and going 2-0 and giving up one run in 12.2 innings in the postseason. Lopez changed his arsenal in the offseason to feature a sweeper as his primary off-speed pitch which resulted in more strikeouts. Lopez had a career-high 29.2% K% and 14.8% swinging K%. He allowed just a .215 wOBA and generated a 36.3% K% on his sweeper. He also set a new high 194 innings while maintaining career-best velocity (94.8 average mph fastball). The Twins signed him to a four-year, $73.54 million contract extension after his trade from Miami as they believe they traded for a true ace and felt validated by his playoff performance. Read Past Outlooks
Falls to O's
Lopez (15-10) took the loss Friday as the Twins were downed 7-2 by the Orioles, giving up two runs on six hits and three walks over 5.2 innings. He struck out eight.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander pitched well, tossing 69 of 111 pitches for strikes in a must-win game for Minnesota, but Lopez served up a two-run homer to Ryan O'Hearn in the second inning, and his offense and bullpen couldn't rise to the occasion. Lopez did what he could to bolster the Twins' postseason hopes down the stretch, posting a 2.93 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 56:13 K:BB in 61.1 innings after the calendar turned to August, but to no avail. The 28-year-old will head into 2025 as one of the foundational pieces for the team's rotation, on a contract that still has three years and $64.5 million left on it.
The right-hander pitched well, tossing 69 of 111 pitches for strikes in a must-win game for Minnesota, but Lopez served up a two-run homer to Ryan O'Hearn in the second inning, and his offense and bullpen couldn't rise to the occasion. Lopez did what he could to bolster the Twins' postseason hopes down the stretch, posting a 2.93 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 56:13 K:BB in 61.1 innings after the calendar turned to August, but to no avail. The 28-year-old will head into 2025 as one of the foundational pieces for the team's rotation, on a contract that still has three years and $64.5 million left on it.
Pitching Stats
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2023
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2021
2020
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2018
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
93
Last 10 Games
98
Last 5 Games
97
How many pitches does Pablo Lopez generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Pablo Lopez generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-16%
BAA vs RHP
2024
-11%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022vs Left | .262 | 263 | 82 | 283 | 38 | |||
| Since 2022vs Right | .220 | 343 | 60 | 230 | 33 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .267 | 87 | 20 | 94 | 13 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .237 | 111 | 21 | 86 | 13 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .271 | 104 | 27 | 101 | 13 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .205 | 130 | 21 | 75 | 11 | |||
| 2022vs Left | .249 | 72 | 35 | 88 | 12 | |||
| 2022vs Right | .218 | 102 | 18 | 69 | 9 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-14%
ERA on Road
2024
-20%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022Home | 4.13 | 1.20 | 272.2 | 9.6 | 2.2 | ||||
| Since 2022Away | 3.55 | 1.14 | 286.2 | 9.9 | 2.3 | ||||
| 2024Home | 3.61 | 1.19 | 87.1 | 9.4 | 1.4 | ||||
| 2024Away | 4.50 | 1.19 | 98.0 | 9.8 | 2.5 | ||||
| 2023Home | 4.21 | 1.17 | 98.1 | 11.3 | 2.3 | ||||
| 2023Away | 3.10 | 1.14 | 95.2 | 10.4 | 2.2 | ||||
| 2022Home | 4.55 | 1.25 | 87.0 | 8.1 | 3.0 | ||||
| 2022Away | 3.00 | 1.09 | 93.0 | 9.3 | 2.3 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Pablo Lopez compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
4.83K/9
9.6BB/9
2.0HR/9
1.3Fastball
95.0 mphERA
4.08WHIP
1.19BABIP
.322GB/FB
1.43Left On Base
71.0%Exit Velocity
81.7 mphBarrels/BBE
4.9%Spin Rate
2248 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
22.3%Swinging Strike
13.4%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Pablo Lopez See More
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DraftKings best picks include Gunnar Henderson, who will likely add to his gaudy stat line tonight against Twins pitcher Pablo Lopez.
Todd Zola examines strategies for the Underdog postseason contest, and notes that while Shoehi Ohtani may be the best player, you may not want to take him first overall.
Tarik Skubal leads the final pitcher rankings of the season, but like many starters in the final week, his second start is up in the air.
Early-round pitching was full of busts this season, but some of the riskiest picks like Tarik Skubal and Chris Sale were also some of the best. How do we make sense of it all for 2025?
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Pa-Lo answered the health concerns we highlighted last season as he took the ball all 32 times it was given to him and was one of 27 pitchers to throw at least 180 innings on the season. Yet, 2022 was a bit of a disappointment in his outcomes as he won 10 of the 32 starts for the struggling Miami club while his ERA jumped three quarters of a run from the previous season and his strikeout rate fell four percentage points. He was still tough to hit and stingy with baserunners, but his upside was limited by the misfortunes of the Miami offense. Lopez and Kyle Wright were extremely similar from a statistical profile this past season, yet Wright had 21 wins and a 3.19 ERA thanks to 5.3 runs per game while Lopez was supported with just 3.2 runs per outing. There was nothing wrong with the pitcher, rather, the surrounding cast was limiting his true fantasy upside. That could change after he was traded to Minnesota in January. He'll have a better supporting cast though a slightly less friendly park.
More Fantasy News
Roughed up in defeat
Lopez (15-9) took the loss against Boston in the first game of Sunday's doubleheader, allowing seven earned runs on nine hits and one walk while striking out three in four innings.
ANALYSIS
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Twins-Red Sox postponed
Lopez and the Twins won't face the Red Sox on Saturday, as the game was postponed due to inclement weather, Betsy Helfand of the St. Paul Pioneer Press reports.
ANALYSIS
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Quality start streak at seven
Lopez came away with a no-decision in Monday's 4-3 loss to the Guardians, giving up two runs on eight hits and two walks over 6.1 innings. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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Picks up win No. 15
Lopez (15-8) earned the win Tuesday against the Angels, allowing four unearned runs on eight hits and one walk over seven innings. He struck out 10.
ANALYSIS
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Streak ends but gets 14th win
Lopez (14-8) earned the win Thursday against the Rays, allowing three runs on seven hits and one walk over 6.2 innings. He struck out nine.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Unlikely to be traded
Twins president of baseball operations Derek Falvey said this week of Lopez that he feels "very confident" the pitcher will remain with the club next season, Dan Hayes of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Lopez, Carlos Correa and Byron Buxton are projected to make up more than half of the Twins' 2025 payroll, and the club is expected to consider many trade scenarios this offseason. Of the three, Lopez would be the easiest to move, as he's the only one without a no-trade clause and is also set to earn a reasonable $65.2 million over the next three seasons. However, the Twins are looking to contend in 2025 and Lopez is a key piece of the team's rotation.
Lopez, Carlos Correa and Byron Buxton are projected to make up more than half of the Twins' 2025 payroll, and the club is expected to consider many trade scenarios this offseason. Of the three, Lopez would be the easiest to move, as he's the only one without a no-trade clause and is also set to earn a reasonable $65.2 million over the next three seasons. However, the Twins are looking to contend in 2025 and Lopez is a key piece of the team's rotation.