2024 Stats
W-L
2-3
ERA
3.28
WHIP
1.19
K
50
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Baz underwent Tommy John surgery in late September of 2022 and did not pitch in 2023. That was the culmination of a journey which saw him reach the big leagues for good in June of 2022 before going down with an injury just one month and six starts later. The pitcher and the club had hoped to avoid surgery, but succumbed two months later. The 2024 season will see Baz make just his 10th career start at the big league level, and even dating back to his minor league days, has never pitched more than 82 innings in any one season. His career 21.7% K-BB rate and .216 opponents batting average is very enticing, but a 24-year old with zero track record of durability coming back from a major surgery makes him a significant gamble for fantasy managers playing the risk/reward game in drafts. Baz has SP3 upside, but it is highly unlikely he wlll provide enough workload to justify drafting him as such. Set expectations for 100 innings and you should be fine. Read Past Outlooks
No-decision against Phillies
Baz came away with a no-decision in Wednesday's 3-2 loss to the Phillies, giving up two runs on three hits and a walk over 5.1 innings. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
The home side tagged Baz for two runs in the bottom of the first inning, but he bounced back and closed the door for the rest of his outing, leaving the mound with the score tied 2-2. The right-hander tossed 52 of 78 pitches for strikes, and the Rays may have been keeping an eye on his workload after he threw a season-high 103 pitches in his prior start. Baz will look to get back in the win column in his next trip to the mound, which is scheduled to come at home early next week against the Red Sox.
The home side tagged Baz for two runs in the bottom of the first inning, but he bounced back and closed the door for the rest of his outing, leaving the mound with the score tied 2-2. The right-hander tossed 52 of 78 pitches for strikes, and the Rays may have been keeping an eye on his workload after he threw a season-high 103 pitches in his prior start. Baz will look to get back in the win column in his next trip to the mound, which is scheduled to come at home early next week against the Red Sox.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
86
Last 10 Games
85
Last 5 Games
90
How many pitches does Shane Baz generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Shane Baz generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-37%
BAA vs LHP
2024
-34%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022vs Left | .173 | 39 | 21 | 26 | 6 | |||
| Since 2022vs Right | .275 | 41 | 12 | 49 | 6 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .173 | 26 | 16 | 19 | 4 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .261 | 24 | 8 | 29 | 3 | |||
| 2023vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2023vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2022vs Left | .175 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 2022vs Right | .299 | 17 | 4 | 20 | 3 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-20%
ERA at Home
2024
-30%
ERA on Road
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022Home | 3.31 | 1.10 | 32.2 | 9.6 | 3.3 | ||||
| Since 2022Away | 4.12 | 1.32 | 54.2 | 7.4 | 3.5 | ||||
| 2024Home | 4.03 | 1.12 | 22.1 | 9.3 | 3.2 | ||||
| 2024Away | 2.84 | 1.24 | 38.0 | 6.4 | 3.8 | ||||
| 2023Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2023Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2022Home | 1.74 | 1.06 | 10.1 | 10.5 | 3.5 | ||||
| 2022Away | 7.02 | 1.50 | 16.2 | 9.7 | 2.7 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Shane Baz compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.08K/9
7.5BB/9
3.6HR/9
1.0Fastball
95.7 mphERA
3.28WHIP
1.19BABIP
.254GB/FB
1.01Left On Base
78.8%Exit Velocity
84.1 mphBarrels/BBE
4.5%Spin Rate
2364 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
25.9%Swinging Strike
10.9%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
If you play in a reset league format, you can stop reading this outlook. If you are in a keeeper or a dynasty league, you are unlikely to see any work out of Baz at the big league level in 2023 as he recovers from a late September Tommy John Surgery. It is unfair to compare the situation to Tyler Glasnow as that surgery happened in early August. That then puts us into the Justin Verlander high bar of returning after a year off and winning the Cy Young award. Baz is an extremely talented arm whose high water mark for innings in a single season, even when combining minors and majors, is 92 innings in 2021. He hsa worked just over 40 innings as a big league pitcher and has given up 1.8 homers per nine innings in that time, so perhaps the long rehab process can give him a sorely needed changeup or maybe even reset his career path to a dominant reliever as he was once projected in his time with Pittsburgh.
More Fantasy News
Loses despite quality start
Baz (2-3) allowed two runs (one earned) on two hits and three walks over six innings Friday, striking out five and taking a loss against Baltimore.
ANALYSIS
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Strikes out five in win
Baz (2-2) earned the win against the Padres on Saturday, allowing two runs on two hits and three walks with five strikeouts over five innings.
ANALYSIS
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Expected back Saturday
Baz (illness) is expected to start Saturday against the Padres, MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Scratched from Sunday's start
Baz is battling the flu and won't start Sunday's game against the Dodgers, Tricia Whitaker of Bally Sports Sun reports.
ANALYSIS
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Wins pitching duel
Baz (1-2) allowed three hits and three walks while striking out four over 7.2 shutout innings to earn the win over the Athletics on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Return unlikely
Baz is out with a right elbow sprain and is unlikely to return for the Rays before the end of the season, reports Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times.
ANALYSIS
Baz is a couple of weeks away from beginning a throwing program, making the likelihood of a return this year slim. The 23-year-old made six starts for Tampa Bay and four for Triple-A Durham before suffering the injury. While he accumulated a 5.00 ERA across 27 innings for the Rays, he had an excellent four-start stretch where he allowed just three runs in 22.1 innings while striking out 26 batters. Tampa Bay will exercise extreme caution with Baz down the stretch, but he figures to be a significant part of the team's plans in 2023.
Baz is a couple of weeks away from beginning a throwing program, making the likelihood of a return this year slim. The 23-year-old made six starts for Tampa Bay and four for Triple-A Durham before suffering the injury. While he accumulated a 5.00 ERA across 27 innings for the Rays, he had an excellent four-start stretch where he allowed just three runs in 22.1 innings while striking out 26 batters. Tampa Bay will exercise extreme caution with Baz down the stretch, but he figures to be a significant part of the team's plans in 2023.