Tarik Skubal
27-Year-Old
2024 Stats
W-L
16-4
ERA
2.50
WHIP
0.94
K
214
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Skubal underwent left flexor tendon surgery in August of 2022 and his rehab extended through the first three months of last season. He was on a limited pitch count initially upon his return and there were some bumps in the road early, but Skubal eventually rounded into form, going 4-1 with a 1.25 ERA, 0.67 WHIP and 52:6 K:BB in his final six starts (36 innings). A ninth-round pick in 2018, Skubal changed up his formula last season, dialing back his slider usage significantly for more four-seam fastballs and changeups. The changeup proved to be a big swing-and-miss pitch for him (50.6 Whiff% per Statcast) -- he still threw his slider, but the changeup became his primary secondary pitch behind the four-seamer. In total, the southpaw pitched just 95 innings last season, but if healthy, he should approach his career high of 149.1 innings set in 2021. Entering his age-27 season, Skubal will face an uphill battle every time he takes the ball for Detroit, but his skills are enticing. Read Past Outlooks
Confirmed for start next week
Skubal (hand) will start Wednesday's game in Kansas City, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
ANALYSIS
All the tests checked out on Skubal's bruised non-throwing hand, but he will end up getting an extra day of rest in between his starts. Evan Woodbery of MLive.com notes that the Tigers could squeeze three more starts total out of Skubal, with him staying on normal rest to start Sept. 24 at home against Tampa Bay and then working the final day of the regular season against the White Sox. Detroit is 2.5 games out of the final wild-card spot in the AL however, and if the team has nothing to play for by that point, Skubal could be shut down or have a restricted pitch count for his final outing.
All the tests checked out on Skubal's bruised non-throwing hand, but he will end up getting an extra day of rest in between his starts. Evan Woodbery of MLive.com notes that the Tigers could squeeze three more starts total out of Skubal, with him staying on normal rest to start Sept. 24 at home against Tampa Bay and then working the final day of the regular season against the White Sox. Detroit is 2.5 games out of the final wild-card spot in the AL however, and if the team has nothing to play for by that point, Skubal could be shut down or have a restricted pitch count for his final outing.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
89
Last 10 Games
94
Last 5 Games
93
How many pitches does Tarik Skubal generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Tarik Skubal generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-7%
BAA vs LHP
2024
-12%
BAA vs LHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .202 | 52 | 8 | 50 | 3 | |||
Since 2022vs Right | .217 | 381 | 71 | 249 | 25 | |||
2024vs Left | .185 | 30 | 5 | 20 | 1 | |||
2024vs Right | .210 | 184 | 28 | 117 | 14 | |||
2023vs Left | .125 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | |||
2023vs Right | .210 | 98 | 12 | 53 | 3 | |||
2022vs Left | .250 | 18 | 1 | 25 | 1 | |||
2022vs Right | .234 | 99 | 31 | 79 | 8 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-32%
ERA at Home
2024
-27%
ERA at Home
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | 2.33 | 0.93 | 193.0 | 10.1 | 2.2 | ||||
Since 2022Away | 3.45 | 1.07 | 185.0 | 10.5 | 1.6 | ||||
2024Home | 2.13 | 0.86 | 97.0 | 10.2 | 2.0 | ||||
2024Away | 2.93 | 1.05 | 83.0 | 11.3 | 1.2 | ||||
2023Home | 1.37 | 0.79 | 39.1 | 13.5 | 1.6 | ||||
2023Away | 4.17 | 1.00 | 41.0 | 9.4 | 1.5 | ||||
2022Home | 3.34 | 1.16 | 56.2 | 7.6 | 2.9 | ||||
2022Away | 3.69 | 1.15 | 61.0 | 10.2 | 2.1 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Tarik Skubal compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
6.48K/9
10.7BB/9
1.7HR/9
0.8Fastball
96.8 mphERA
2.50WHIP
0.94BABIP
.294GB/FB
1.42Left On Base
78.5%Exit Velocity
82.1 mphBarrels/BBE
3.8%Spin Rate
2055 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
20.4%Swinging Strike
15.0%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
Skubal appeared to be in the middle of a breakout campaign in 2022, but the lefty was unfortunately shut down in early August with left arm fatigue, and he subsequently underwent flexor tendon surgery. Before getting shut down, Skubal had posted a 3.52 ERA and 1.16 WHIP with 117 strikeouts across 117.2 innings. His K/9 dipped from 9.88 in 2021 to 8.95 in 2022, but his numbers were otherwise better across the board, including an impressive 2.95 FIP. Skubal will only be 24 years old when the 2023 season begins, so there's still plenty of potential here down the road, but he's expected to begin the year on the injured list and miss a decent chunk of time. Fantasy managers in standard leagues will want to keep an eye on Skubal, and he could be a decent pickup when he returns, though the Tigers will undoubtedly be cautious with him. He does have more value in keeper and dynasty formats, where his outlook beyond 2023 looks brighter.
More Fantasy News
X-rays on hand are negative
X-rays on Skubal's right hand came back negative after he exited Thursday's start against the Rockies, Jason Beck of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Falls just short of quality start
Skubal allowed two runs on nine hits and struck out seven without walking a batter over 5.2 innings in a no-decision versus the Athletics on Friday.
ANALYSIS
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First to 200 Ks
Skubal (16-4) allowed one run on four hits over eight innings to pick up the win Saturday against the Red Sox. He struck out eight without walking a batter.
ANALYSIS
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Picks up 15th win
Skubal (15-4) got the win against the White Sox on Saturday, allowing three runs on eight hits over five innings. He struck out eight and did not issue a walk.
ANALYSIS
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Will get extra rest down stretch
Skubal will get extra rest in between starts for the final six weeks of the regular season, Jon Morosi of MLB Network reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Trade not considered
According to Dylan Hernandez of the Los Angeles Times, the Tigers "wouldn't talk about Skubal at all" leading up to Tuesday's trade deadline.
ANALYSIS
There were plenty of trade rumors circling about Skubal over the past few weeks, but the Tigers apparently didn't give the idea much consideration. The left-hander has a 2.35 ERA, 0.92 WHIP and 154:24 K:BB across 130 innings this season and will continue his push for the AL Cy Young Award.
There were plenty of trade rumors circling about Skubal over the past few weeks, but the Tigers apparently didn't give the idea much consideration. The left-hander has a 2.35 ERA, 0.92 WHIP and 154:24 K:BB across 130 innings this season and will continue his push for the AL Cy Young Award.