Vladimir Guerrero
25-Year-Old
2024 Stats
AVG
.319
HR
28
RBI
96
R
92
SB
2
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
In the spring of 2022, Guerrero Jr. famously stated that 2021 was a trailer and now fans will see a movie. Like most sequels, the team and the player has failed to deliver on promises. Guerrero's 2021 nomadic season in friendly run environments helped him established career hights he has failed to come close to in each of the past two seasons. Management tweaked Rogers Centre before the 2023 season, but that did not prevent Guerrero's overall numbers from sliding for a second consecutive season as he and the rest of the club struggled to produce runs despite plenty of traffic on the bases throughout the season. If you treat 2021 as an outlier rather than a ceiling, 2024 Guerrero Jr. should not disappoint you given his skills provide a very high floor. Just remember that sequels are rarely better than the original and Vlady's 2021 season is a cult classic that should be appreciated rather than expected. Read Past Outlooks
Youngest Jay to 500 RBI
Guerrero went 1-for-3 with a walk, two runs scored and an RBI in Saturday's 7-2 win over the Cardinals.
ANALYSIS
With his RBI single in the seventh inning, the 25-year-old Guerrero became the youngest Blue Jay ever to record 500 career RBI. He also reached that plateau in 806 career games, with only Carlos Delgado (714 games) getting there quicker in franchise history. Guerrero has slowed down a little in September, going nine straight games without recording multiple hits, but on the season he's still slashing .320/.394/.545 with 28 homers, 96 RBI and 92 runs.
With his RBI single in the seventh inning, the 25-year-old Guerrero became the youngest Blue Jay ever to record 500 career RBI. He also reached that plateau in 806 career games, with only Carlos Delgado (714 games) getting there quicker in franchise history. Guerrero has slowed down a little in September, going nine straight games without recording multiple hits, but on the season he's still slashing .320/.394/.545 with 28 homers, 96 RBI and 92 runs.
Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
27
86
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
8
25
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
+3%
OPS vs RHP
2024
+7%
OPS vs LHP
OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .825 | 375 | 12 | 48 | .281 | ||||
Since 2022vs Right | .850 | 1656 | 74 | 239 | .286 | ||||
2024vs Left | .991 | 129 | 6 | 27 | .315 | ||||
2024vs Right | .925 | 514 | 22 | 69 | .320 | ||||
2023vs Left | .766 | 124 | 2 | 9 | .284 | ||||
2023vs Right | .792 | 558 | 24 | 85 | .260 | ||||
2022vs Left | .711 | 122 | 4 | 12 | .245 | ||||
2022vs Right | .841 | 584 | 28 | 85 | .280 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
Even Split
2024
+13%
OPS at Home
OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | .848 | 993 | 44 | 152 | .283 | ||||
Since 2022Away | .844 | 1038 | 42 | 135 | .287 | ||||
2024Home | .998 | 312 | 15 | 51 | .343 | ||||
2024Away | .882 | 331 | 13 | 45 | .297 | ||||
2023Home | .716 | 336 | 10 | 46 | .238 | ||||
2023Away | .858 | 346 | 16 | 48 | .289 | ||||
2022Home | .842 | 345 | 19 | 55 | .273 | ||||
2022Away | .795 | 361 | 13 | 42 | .276 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Vladimir Guerrero compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
BB/K
0.76BB Rate
10.6%K Rate
13.8%BABIP
.338ISO
.224AVG
.319OBP
.395SLG
.543OPS
.938wOBA
.402Exit Velocity
94.1 mphHard Hit Rate
42.2%Barrels/PA
10.4%Expected BA
.324Expected SLG
.578Sprint Speed
21.8 ft/secGround Ball %
49.3%Line Drive %
18.3%Fly Ball %
32.4%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
It was expected that Guerrero would drop back from his incredible 2021 season due to Toronto playing full-time at Rogers Centre rather than the cozy environments of Dunedin and Buffalo, as well as the changes to Camden Yards for road trips. Factor in the mushball and his homers dropped off to where we realistically should have expected them to be, but it was surprising to see both his runs and RBIs fall back below 100 considering the talent in the lineup around him in Toronto. Whereas he hit .315 with 11 homers with runners in scoring position in 2021, those numbers fell to .267 and five respectively last year in nearly identical sample sizes. RISP production lacks year-over-year stickiness, but it was an issue last year as the league did tend to pitch around him leading to more walks (11 percent) in those situations than others (eight percent.) The eight steals were a nice bonus, considering he is not the fleetest of foot. We can call him a five-category contributor as a first baseman; he cannot quite pull off a younger Paul Goldschmidt, but who can?
More Fantasy News
In Tuesday's lineup
Guerrero (toe) will start at first base and bat third in Tuesday's game against the Mets.
ANALYSIS
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Avoids serious injury
Guerrero was sent for X-rays during Monday's game against the Mets after fouling a ball off his toes on his left foot, but he remained in the game after the results returned negative, Keegan Matheson of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Four-hit effort in loss
Guerrero went 4-for-5 with a double, a two-run home run and a second run scored in Tuesday's 10-9 loss to the Phillies.
ANALYSIS
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Receiving Sunday off
Guerrero is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Twins.
ANALYSIS
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On base four times Sunday
Guerrero went 2-for-3 with two walks, a double, a run scored and two RBI in Sunday's win over the Angels.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Extension talks on deck
Jon Heyman of the New York Post expects the Blue Jays to make a push to sign Guerrero to a contract extension during the offseason.
ANALYSIS
The two sides have engaged in extension talks previously but haven't come close to a deal. Guerrero was a popular name in trade rumors this summer, though he was never a likely candidate to be dealt. The 25-year-old slugger was productive the previous two seasons with an .804 OPS, but he wasn't quite living up to the 48 homers and 1.002 he delivered in 2021. Guerrero has enjoyed a resurgence in 2024, however, and he has 28 home runs with a .321/.394/.547 slash line through 144 games. He's entering the final year of his contract in 2025 and could seek a deal similar to that of Rafael Devers, who signed a $300-plus million extension with Boston in January of 2023.
The two sides have engaged in extension talks previously but haven't come close to a deal. Guerrero was a popular name in trade rumors this summer, though he was never a likely candidate to be dealt. The 25-year-old slugger was productive the previous two seasons with an .804 OPS, but he wasn't quite living up to the 48 homers and 1.002 he delivered in 2021. Guerrero has enjoyed a resurgence in 2024, however, and he has 28 home runs with a .321/.394/.547 slash line through 144 games. He's entering the final year of his contract in 2025 and could seek a deal similar to that of Rafael Devers, who signed a $300-plus million extension with Boston in January of 2023.