College Football Picks: Clemson at Duke Odds, Picks & Predictions for Week 1

College Football Picks: Clemson at Duke Odds, Picks & Predictions for Week 1

This article is part of our College Football Picks series.

Clemson at Duke Betting Odds and Best Bets

Get set for the 2023 college football season with a BetMGM Bonus Code for a $1,000 first-bet offer! RotoWire has plenty of college football betting tools and info to keep you in the loop this season. From the latest college football odds to college football futures and Heisman odds, we have you covered.

A second ACC opener closes an elongated Week 1 of college football action, following Louisville's thrilling come-from-behind win over Georgia Tech Friday. Duke is coming off an impressive 9-4 2022 campaign, but the Blue Devils enter 2023 with a season win prop of just 6.5, so a repeat isn't predicted. Clemson meanwhile went a somewhat disappointing 11-3 last year, not really competing on a national stage. These two teams haven't met since 2018 due to the league's unbalanced schedule, where the Tigers prevailed at home 35-6.

Check out Caesars Sportsbook this college football season and get signed up with the Caesars Sportsbook promo code for $250 in bonus bets.

Clemson at Duke Betting Odds for Week 1

Spread: Clemson -12.5 (FanDuel Sportsbook)

Total: 55.5 (DraftKings Sportsbook)

Moneyline: Clemson -450 (Bet MGM); Duke +385 (FanDuel SportsBook)

The spread here has slowly been ticking up, opening at Clemson -11 and never dipping down, now sitting at -13 at most books. Simply, if you're backing Clemson, I hope you've already locked in. That said, I don't see enough late line movement to push this north of two touchdowns.

The total has gone in the reverse direction, opening at 57.0 and slowly trending downward, a sign of new times in college football with the clock running more. Coming below 56 points is interesting as it comes in below eight total touchdowns. 

The moneyline has danced all over the place, with Clemson going as high as -550 and Duke to +410. There's no value in the Tigers unless you have a major boost at your preferred booked, and even then you'll need to toss in a MLB ML option in a parlay to make it worth the risk. Duke has higher preseason expectations than normal, but tickets are still readily available through their office. This isn't a hostile environment where an upset seems like a worthy dart throw.

Kick off the 2023 college football season at DraftKings by signing up with the DraftKings Sportsbook promo code for a $200 welcome offer.

Clemson at Duke Betting Picks for Week 1

This is a tough one to make a pick on. On talent alone, Clemson remains far superior, and the spread sitting below two touchdowns makes it preferable, almost too much so. They've brought in former TCU OC Garrett Riley to bolster what's become a stagnant passing attack. Riley's Horned Frog attack averaged 38.8 ppg last season, but Clemson's one offensive weakness remains proven wide receiver explosiveness behind emerging sophomore Antonio Williams.

Mike Elko is an emerging elite coach. He'll have Duke schemed up well here and even if the atmosphere isn't in the upper echelon, this doesn't feel like a spot where the Tigers will simply waltz in and dominate from the opening kick. I just don't see Duke being able to keep Clemson off the scoreboard enough to win, nor do I see them scoring enough points to keep it close. I'm not usually a totals bettor, and unders are among the least favorite things to root for. But that's where I've landed. Clemson gets a few spark plays from the passing game, but dominates up front on both sides, limiting Duke's scoring and pounding the ball with Will Shipley. I noted the total dipping below eight total touchdowns, but I don't see Duke getting three, nor Clemson getting five. And field goals don't hurt as much, and may be somewhat scare too. Clemson is breaking in a freshman kicker while Duke's Todd Pelino made just eight in six games last year, as the Blue Devils have a propensity for fourth-down attempts.

Clemson at Duke Best Bet: Under 55.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Get ready for the 2023 college football season with a FanDuel Sportsbook promo code with a $200 bonus bet!

Clemson at Duke Predictions for Week 1

I'm expecting Clemson to be better offensively under Riley, but that will take time to emerge througout the season. They can be slightly aggressive early to get a lead, but will lean on Shipley to salt this game away. Given the massive talent gap, how many missed assignments and broken plays can Duke earn to post points? Outside of quarterback Riley Leonard, they still lack big-play explosiveness. Clemson can spy him and won't likely allow many plays deep downfield or sustained long drives.

There's such a hard game script towards finding a way for a Duke upset. Clemson jumps early, Duke competes but the margin of victory slowly expands in the second half. Clemson 31-17.

RotoWire Community
Join Our Subscriber-Only College Football Chat
Chat with our writers and other RotoWire College Football fans for all the pre-game info and in-game banter.
Join The Discussion
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Chris Bennett
Bennett covers baseball, college football and college basketball for RotoWire. Before turning to fantasy writing, he worked in scouting/player development for the Atlanta Braves and Montreal Expos. He's also a fan of the ACC.
College Football DFS: Saturday Night Slate Picks on  DraftKings and FanDuel for Week 11
College Football DFS: Saturday Night Slate Picks on DraftKings and FanDuel for Week 11
College Football Picks: Clemson vs. Virginia Tech
College Football Picks: Clemson vs. Virginia Tech
College Football Picks: Georgia vs. Ole Miss
College Football Picks: Georgia vs. Ole Miss
DraftKings College Football Week 11 Main Slate DFS Picks
DraftKings College Football Week 11 Main Slate DFS Picks
FanDuel College Football DFS Picks: Saturday Main Slate for Week 11
FanDuel College Football DFS Picks: Saturday Main Slate for Week 11
College Football DFS: Friday Night Slate Picks on DraftKings and FanDuel for Week 11
College Football DFS: Friday Night Slate Picks on DraftKings and FanDuel for Week 11