This article is part of our NFL Picks series.
The Week 14 Tickets had a big hit thanks to the Chargers and Falcons, as Austin Ekeler went way over 38.5 receiving yards (he had 67), Calvin Ridley blasted over 74.5 receiving yards (finishing with 124) and the Chargers actually won, giving us a solid +618 score. Additionally, Tyreek Hill went over 78.5 and Travis Kelce over 73.5 for a +259 hit. If you combined the two Chiefs with Patrick Mahomes over 310.5 then you got it up to +339.
Meanwhile, the Buccaneers did too good of a defensive job against Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen to get much from them, and while Chris Carson went over 58.5 rushing yards against the Jets, DK Metcalf failed to reach 79 yards and Tyler Lockett couldn't even get to 65 despite the Seahawks winning 40-3.
Sticking with our theme from the past few weeks, let's see which correlative same-game parlays we can take advantage of with only three regular season weeks remaining.
Jonathan Taylor over 76.5 rushing yards, Jonathan Taylor over 17.5 receiving yards and Jonathan Taylor anytime touchdown (+400)
No team allowed more rushing touchdowns through 14 weeks than the Texans, who also gave up the most rushing yards and yards per carry. Additionally, they gave up the third-most receiving yards to the position on only the 15th-most receptions. They allowed over 100 rushing yards to running backs in all but three games this season, as well as a touchdown in all but one. We'll attack that this week with Jonathan Taylor, who is finally getting the workload many expected early in the season. He has rushed for at least 90 yards in three straight games, and he has three touchdowns in that span while adding 83 receiving yards, with 24, 44 and 15, respectively. Taylor's recent play and matchup has him as the fifth-highest ranked running back by Jeff Erickson this week, and going over his prop lines easily gets him there.
Tyreek Hill over 78.5 receiving yards and Alvin Kamara over 53.5 receiving yards (+240)
Drew Brees back under center for the Saints and the absence of Michael Thomas makes Kamara the top receiving option for New Orleans, a big change from the situation with Taysom Hill starting. Only three teams have allowed a higher yards per target to running backs this season than the Chiefs, while Kamara has broken 53.5 receiving yards in six of nine games with Brees. On the other side is Hill, who has the second-highest projected receiving yards for the week and has gone over 78.5 receiving yards in five of his last six games. The matchup against the Saints won't be easy, but with at least 11 targets in four of his last five, Hill should be busy.
Allen Robinson over 76.5 receiving yards and Vikings -3.0 (+293)
This is kind of a classic run-back bet, taking the Vikings to win by more than a field goal but expecting the Bears to throw in their comeback attempt. The Vikings were one of six unanimous selections in this week's Staff Picks article, and Robinson gets a matchup against a Vikings defense that's allowed the eighth-most receiving yards to wide receivers this season. Robinson wasn't prolific in the first meeting back in Week 10, though that was with Nick Foles under center instead of Mitchell Trubisky. Since the Week 11 bye, Robinson has been targeted 13, seven and 13 times, respectively, helping him to 74, 75 and 123 yards in that span. Two of those obviously come up short of the prop line, but in a favorable matchup Sunday he seems well within reach of going over.
Brandon Aiyuk over 74.5 receiving yards, Brandon Aiyuk anytime touchdown and 49ers -3.0 (+584)
We're going a little crazier with this one, spurred on by the 49ers also being a unanimous selection in Staff Picks. We'll target this game with Aiyuk because no team has allowed more touchdowns to wide receivers this season, and Aiyuk has been the 49ers' best receiver when healthy, putting up at least 75 yards in each of his last five games, scoring touchdowns in three. Quarterback Nick Mullens clearly prefers to look Aiyuk's way, including four targets inside the five-yard line in his last four games, making this parlay nicely correlated with the Cowboys' struggles.
