NFL ATS Picks This Week: Best Against The Spread Picks

NFL ATS Picks This Week: Best Against The Spread Picks

This article is part of our NFL Picks series.

The NFL Playoffs are set to begin with Wild Card Weekend. With six games spread between three days of NFL action, this inaugural slate of the 2022-2023 NFL Playoffs promises to be a banger from the NFL betting front. 

You can bet on the NFL Playoffs in many different ways, but today, the focus will be on the best against-the-spread picks for Wild Card Weekend, and the best sportsbook promo codes being offered by the top sports betting sites

Chargers vs. Jaguars Pick Against The Spread

Jaguars +1 (-110) at BetMGM

You can also take the Jaguars -105 moneyline, which gives you slightly better odds, but it is safer taking Jacksonville to get the point.

Everyone will likely be on the Chargers because of all of their talent and Justin Herbert. However, it will not be wise to overlook the Jaguars, a team that resembles the 2022 Bengals. 

Both sides ended the regular season hot, but the Jaguars were arguably more impressive. They had to win out to win the AFC South and get into the playoffs. The Jags did just that. All five of those games were pseudo-playoff games. This team matured and become battle-tested in the process. 

When it comes to covering the spread, both the Chargers and Jaguars ended the year strong, but the Chargers were better on the season overall with an 11-5-1 ATS record. 

Earlier this season, the Jaguars erased the Chargers with a 38-10 victory in late September. Although that Chargers team was beaten up by injury, that Jaguars team was also not as good as the one they will field this week. Lean on the home underdog on Wild Card Weekend.  

You can bet on the Jaguars +1 with the BetMGM Bonus Code ROTOBONUS to get a risk-free bet worth up to $1,000 today. 

Ravens vs. Bengals Pick Against The Spread

Bengals -6.5 (-114) at FanDuel Sportsbook

You can bet on the Bengals to cover the -6.5 point spread with the FanDuel Promo Code today to get $150 in bet credits when you bet $5. 

The Ravens have a lot of question marks, especially on offense. It is hard to give the Ravens a serious look not knowing the playing status of Lamar Jackson, who has missed the past five games with a knee injury. 

The Ravens defeated the Bengals, with Jackson, back in early October, but looking at the past four meetings overall, Cincinnati is 3-1, with a 3-0-1 mark against the spread. Furthermore, the Bengals have won all three of those meetings by at least 11 points. Two of those double-digit point wins were at home. 

The Bengals have won eight straight games, covering the spread or pushing in all of them. That streak will continue on Wild Card Sunday. 

Cowboys vs. Buccaneers Pick Against The Spread

Cowboys -2.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook 

You can not enter the NFL Playoffs any more flat than the Cowboys and Buccaneers. On paper, the Cowboys are the superior team, but the Buccaneers have the proverbial Tom Brady edge. Brady has never lost to the Cowboys in his Hall of Fame career.

The Cowboys were one of the hottest teams in the NFL, but cooled off down the stretch, especially in the past two games. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers never found a way to get anything going this season but did muster up a good enough game against the Panthers to clinch the NFC South with a losing record. 

If the Cowboys can get their pass rush going on defense while re-establish the run on offense, they should win this game. On paper, they are three points better than this version of the Buccaneers. It is a matter of Dak Prescott finally rising to the occasion. 

The Bucs have only covered the spread four times this season. Dallas should get the job done on Monday Night. You can bet on the Cowboys to cover the -2.5 with the Caesars Sportsbook Promo Code ROTOFULL to get a $1,250 first bet, on Caesars today. 

RotoWire Community
Join Our Subscriber-Only NFL Chat
Chat with our writers and other RotoWire NFL fans for all the pre-game info and in-game banter.
Join The Discussion
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Anthony Cervino
Anthony is an NFL Writer and Betting Analyst for The Game Day. He is also a lifelong NFL savant and self-proclaimed league historian. In the industry, Anthony has excelled in both the fantasy football and sports betting space, including a top-three finish in an FFPC BestBall tournament (2021). Anthony has made appearances on SiriusXM, amongst other publications. He is also the co-creator of the FF Faceoff (Faceoff Sports Network) and the FF Faceoff Mental Health Podathon partnered with the Hayden Hurst Foundation. Industry Clout: Top-15 ranker in the FantasyPros ECR (2019, 2021), including second at quarterback and third at tight end (2021) . Eighth most accurate ranker in the FantasyPros ECR for sleepers (2020) -- 13th most accurate ranker in the FantasyPros ECR.
NFL Staff Picks: Week 11 Winners
NFL Staff Picks: Week 11 Winners
Guillotine League Strategy: Late Season Strength of Schedule Downgrades
Guillotine League Strategy: Late Season Strength of Schedule Downgrades
Survivor: Week 11 Strategy & Picks
Survivor: Week 11 Strategy & Picks
NFL Waiver Wire: Week 11 Deep Dive
NFL Waiver Wire: Week 11 Deep Dive
IDP Analysis: Week 10 Review
IDP Analysis: Week 10 Review
Weekly Rankings: Week 11 Value Meter
Weekly Rankings: Week 11 Value Meter