This article is part of our Survivor series.
The Cardinals took out a good chunk of people last week, including my Circa Survivor entry, and the Bucs and Jaguars knocked out a few more.
Let's take a look at Week 16:
| Team | Opponent | %Taken* | Vegas ML** | Vegas Odds | Expected Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chargers | TEXANS | 31.9% | 450 | 81.82 | 5.80 |
| EAGLES | Giants | 27.3% | 450 | 81.82 | 4.96 |
| SEAHAWKS | Bears | 9.2% | 282.5 | 73.86 | 2.41 |
| FALCONS | Lions | 6.6% | 230 | 69.70 | 2.00 |
| PACKERS | Browns | 6.0% | 300 | 75.00 | 1.50 |
| CHIEFS | Steelers | 5.0% | 422.5 | 80.86 | 0.96 |
| COWBOYS | Team | 4.1% | 450 | 81.82 | 0.75 |
| Buccaneers | PANTHERS | 3.1% | 487.5 | 82.98 | 0.53 |
| SAINTS | Dolphins | 2.7% | 155 | 60.78 | 1.06 |
| JETS | Jaguars | 1.8% | 125 | 55.56 | 0.80 |
| 49ers | TITANS | 0.4% | 170 | 62.96 | 0.15 |
| RAIDERS | Broncos | 0.3% | 110 | 52.38 | 0.14 |
Home teams in CAPS
* According to "polling" data on Officefootballpools.com
** Average of the two moneylines
As always, the available teams in your individual pools are more relevant than this global polling data at this stage in the year, so plan accordingly.
My Picks:
1. Dallas Cowboys
The Cowboys offense has been shaky of late, but the defense has been stout, and they draw a Team team off five days of rest that got run over by the Eagles on Tuesday night. I give the Cowboys an 82 percent chance to win this game.
2. Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles are playing off a short week, but they're at home against a Giants team that has been the league's worst offense of late and is starting Jake Fromm in his debut. I give the Eagles an
The Cardinals took out a good chunk of people last week, including my Circa Survivor entry, and the Bucs and Jaguars knocked out a few more.
Let's take a look at Week 16:
| Team | Opponent | %Taken* | Vegas ML** | Vegas Odds | Expected Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chargers | TEXANS | 31.9% | 450 | 81.82 | 5.80 |
| EAGLES | Giants | 27.3% | 450 | 81.82 | 4.96 |
| SEAHAWKS | Bears | 9.2% | 282.5 | 73.86 | 2.41 |
| FALCONS | Lions | 6.6% | 230 | 69.70 | 2.00 |
| PACKERS | Browns | 6.0% | 300 | 75.00 | 1.50 |
| CHIEFS | Steelers | 5.0% | 422.5 | 80.86 | 0.96 |
| COWBOYS | Team | 4.1% | 450 | 81.82 | 0.75 |
| Buccaneers | PANTHERS | 3.1% | 487.5 | 82.98 | 0.53 |
| SAINTS | Dolphins | 2.7% | 155 | 60.78 | 1.06 |
| JETS | Jaguars | 1.8% | 125 | 55.56 | 0.80 |
| 49ers | TITANS | 0.4% | 170 | 62.96 | 0.15 |
| RAIDERS | Broncos | 0.3% | 110 | 52.38 | 0.14 |
Home teams in CAPS
* According to "polling" data on Officefootballpools.com
** Average of the two moneylines
As always, the available teams in your individual pools are more relevant than this global polling data at this stage in the year, so plan accordingly.
My Picks:
1. Dallas Cowboys
The Cowboys offense has been shaky of late, but the defense has been stout, and they draw a Team team off five days of rest that got run over by the Eagles on Tuesday night. I give the Cowboys an 82 percent chance to win this game.
2. Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles are playing off a short week, but they're at home against a Giants team that has been the league's worst offense of late and is starting Jake Fromm in his debut. I give the Eagles an 81 percent chance to win this game.
3.Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Bucs just got shut out by the Saints, they lost Chris Godwin, Leonard Fournette and possibly Mike Evans and now they have to play on the road. But the Panthers' offense is terrible, and the Bucs get Antonio Brown back to soften the blow. I give the Buccaneers an 80 percent chance to win this game.
4. Los Angeles Chargers
The Chargers lost a heartbreaker in overtime to the Chiefs, but they have extra rest and face an undermanned Texans team, albeit on the road. I give the Chargers a 78 percent chance to win this game.
5. Green Bay Packers
The Packers draw a desperate Browns team that should get most of its key players back after a covid outbreak. Still, Aaron Rodgers is the best player in the league, and the Packers defense has been stout too. I give the Packers a 77 percent chance to win this game.
6. Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs have been strong on defense the last month, and the should have Chris Jones back from the covid list. The Steelers have a lot of heart and are fighting for their playoff lives, but the offensive line is bad, and they can't run the ball at all. I give the Chiefs a 76 percent chance to win this game.
7. Atlanta Falcons
The Falcons have had trouble against the league's good teams, but they've largely handled the bad ones, and last week's win notwithstanding, the Lions still fall into the latter category. I give the Falcons a 72 percent chance to win this game.
8. Seattle Seahawks
The Seahawks still can't get in sync offensively, and their defense is nothing special, either. That said, they draw an offensively challenged Bears team at home. I give the Seahawks a 70 percent chance to win this game.
9. San Francisco 49ers
The 49ers are playing great, but they're on the road against a tough Titans team that almost always shows up and could have A.J. Brown back. I give the 49ers a 60 percent chance to win this game.
Notable Omissions:
New Orleans Saints -- the Dolphins have won six in a row and are playing good defense.
New York Jets -- It's the Jets.
