Thomas Harley

Thomas Harley

23-Year-Old DefensemanD
Dallas Stars
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Harley is the latest success story for the Stars' scouting department, as he broke out to the tune of 15 goals and 47 points in 79 regular-season contests last year. He started the campaign as a question mark to be in the lineup, and he ended it in a top-pairing role alongside Miro Heiskanen. Harley's 10.4 shooting percentage is a red flag -- as a defenseman, he's unlikely to sustain that level of production -- but what he loses in goals should be made up for with assists, blocked shots and a strong plus-minus. Experience will also help, as the 23-year-old blueliner appeared to fade late with just one goal and 16 points over 39 regular-season and postseason contests from the start of March. He'll be a popular sleeper pick given his role and his potential, so expect to pay a premium for Harley on draft day. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a two-year, $8 million contract with the Stars in September of 2024.
Nabs assist Sunday
DDallas Stars
October 13, 2024
Harley provided an assist and three shots on goal in Sunday's 2-0 win over the Kraken.
ANALYSIS
Harley moved up to the top pairing alongside Miro Heiskanen to cover the absence of Matt Dumba (lower body). Through three games, Harley has racked up two assists, a plus-3 rating, 10 shots on net and five blocked shots. Last regular season, he averaged 1.8 shots per game while shooting 10.4 percent in a 15-goal, 47-point campaign. That's a tough efficiency for a defenseman to maintain, but Harley could keep his production level or better if he is able to sustain a higher shot volume.
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NHL Stats
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2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2024 NHL Game Log
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2024–25 Time On Ice Stats
  • Average Time On Ice:
    23:35
  • Average Power Play TOI:
    2:10
  • Average Short-Handed TOI:
    2:17
 
Ice Time
Power Play
Short-Handed
2022–23
16:48
0:08
0:05
2023–24
21:01
1:14
0:57
2024–25
23:35
2:10
2:17
Stars Depth Chart
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Stars Power Play Depth Chart
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2020
While he was limited to just two assists in six-regular season games, Harley stepped up and claimed a full-time gig in the playoffs, where he had nine points in 19 outings. If he can produce at a 35-40-point pace, he'll immediately be the Stars' second best defenseman in fantasy, and there's little concern about where his defensive game is at. He will still play second fiddle to Miro Heiskanen, but the Stars are a team that has enough balance up front that no defenseman is too far removed from talent. Harley has some serious sleeper upside in redraft formats entering his age-22 season, though he will need to prove himself over the course of a full NHL campaign to cash in on what appears to be a lot of promise.
Harley had another standout campaign with OHL Mississauga in 2019-20, producing 18 goals and 57 points in 59 contests. The 19-year-old blueliner also made his NHL debut during the postseason round robin versus the Avalanche. Harley, a first-round pick from 2019, is still junior-eligible, which makes it seem unlikely he'll see much action with the parent club outside of the preseason in 2020-21. However, a standout performance in training camp could put him in the conversation with Andrej Sekera and Mark Pysyk for a third-pairing job. Most likely, Harley is still a year or two away from being a factor for the Stars, though he appears to have all the makings of a high-upside blueliner for fantasy purposes.
More Fantasy News
Hands out helper
DDallas Stars
October 10, 2024
Harley recorded an assist, four shots on goal and two blocked shots in Thursday's 4-3 win over the Predators.
ANALYSIS
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Signed before camp opens
DDallas Stars
September 17, 2024
Harley signed a two-year, $8 million contract with the Stars on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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Helpers in consecutive games
DDallas Stars
May 31, 2024
Harley notched an assist and blocked six shots in Friday's 3-1 loss to the Oilers in Game 5.
ANALYSIS
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Bags apple in loss
DDallas Stars
May 29, 2024
Harley notched an assist in Wednesday's 5-2 loss to the Oilers in Game 4.
ANALYSIS
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Sets up shortie
DDallas Stars
May 9, 2024
Harley logged a shorthanded assist and four shots on goal in Thursday's 5-3 win over the Avalanche in Game 2.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Expected to sign two-year pact
DDallas Stars
September 11, 2024
Harley and the Stars are working on a two-year contract that should get done ahead of training camp, Sean Shapiro of EP Rinkside reports Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
Harley's contract negotiation is likely complicated by the fact that while he had a solid 2023-24 campaign, 47 points in 79 regular-season contests, it marks his only real long-term NHL action, having played a combined 40 games in the two years prior. Still, it seems unlikely the two sides are going to let this linger into the season, with Shapiro expecting the deal ultimately to come in under a $4 million cap hit.
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