MMA Expert Picks: UFC 309 Main Card

MMA Expert Picks: UFC 309 Main Card

This article is part of our UFC Picks series.

The matchup we've all been waiting for to determine the heavyweight GOAT is finally going down this Saturday at Madison Square Garden, where reigning champion Jon Jones is set to take on Stipe Miocic.

As a reminder, the following selections are purely picks. If you're looking for betting or fantasy-specific breakdowns of these fights, check out the following articles on RotoWire:

UFC 309 DraftKings Preview
UFC 309 Betting Preview
UFC 309 Fight by Fight Breakdowns
UFC 309 Multi-Site DFS Preview

We also have a MMA DFS Lineup Optimizer to try if you're looking to try out different combinations of fighters or generate multiple lineups, plus UFC 309 odds from every major sportsbook.

MATCHUP

WEIGHT 

CLASS

JONJAKECHRIS
(C) Jon Jones (-700) vs.
Stipe Miocic (+500)

Heavyweight
Championship

JonesJonesMiocic
Charles Oliveira (-270) vs.
Michael Chandler (+220)

Lightweight

ChandlerOliveiraOliveira
Bo Nickal (-1000) vs.
Paul Craig (+650)

Middleweight

NickalNickalNickal
Viviane Araujo (+215) vs.
Karine Silva (-265)

Women's
Flyweight

SilvaSilvaSilva
Mauricio Ruffy (-750) vs.
James Llontop (+525)

Lightweight

RuffyRuffyRuffy
     
UFC 309 RECORD 3-24-13-2
2024 RECORD 42-1737-2235-24
2024 PERCENTAGE .712.627.593
2023 RECORD 42-2544-2335-32
2023 PERCENTAGE .627.657.522
2022 RECORD 34-2740-2125-26
2022 PERCENTAGE .557.656.490
2021 RECORD 35-2842-2137-26
2021 PERCENTAGE .556.667.586
2020 RECORD 36-1834-2028-26
2020 PERCENTAGE .667.630.519
2019 RECORD 39-1935-2332-26
2019 PERCENTAGE .672.603.552
ALL-TIME  323-196329-190 261-204
ALL-TIME PERCENTAGE .622.634.561

 

MATCHUP

WEIGHT 
CLASS

JOE
"SUNTZU"

COLE     DRAKE
(C) Jon Jones (-700) vs.
Stipe Miocic (+500)

Heavyweight
Championship

JonesJonesJones
Charles Oliveira (-270) vs.
Michael Chandler (+220)

Lightweight

OliveiraOliveiraOliveira
Bo Nickal (-1000) vs.
Paul Craig (+650)

Middleweight

NickalNickalNickal
Viviane Araujo (+215) vs.
Karine Silva (-265)

Women's
Flyweight

SilvaSilvaSilva
Mauricio Ruffy (-750) vs.
James Llontop (+525)

Lightweight

RuffyRuffyRuffy
     
UFC 309 RECORD 4-14-14-1
2024 RECORD 36-2336-2339-20
2024 PERCENTAGE .610.610.661
2023 RECORD 41-2644-2336-31
2023 PERCENTAGE .612.657.537
2022 RECORD 38-2339-2239-22
2022 PERCENTAGE .623.639.639
2021 RECORD 38-2543-2117-14
2021 PERCENTAGE .603.672.548
2020 RECORD 36-18N/AN/A
2020 PERCENTAGE .667N/AN/A
2019 RECORD 34-24N/AN/A
2019 PERCENTAGE .586N/AN/A
ALL-TIME 260-158159-87131-87
ALL-TIME PERCENTAGE .622.646.601

THE PICKERS

Jon Litterine: RotoWire lead MMA beat writer and scribe for our weekly DrafKings preview. Lead analyst on the RotoWire MMA Podcast. Follow him on Twitter at @JonLitterine.

Jake Letarski: RotoWire.com Operations Manager, plus MMA and NCAA Hoops Senior Editor. Host on the RotoWire MMA Podcast and guest on the RotoWire Fantasy Football Podcast. Follow him on Twitter at @RotoJake.

Chris Olson: Contributor at RotoWire to "Fight IQ, presented by RotoWire," as well as The MMA MashupDFS Baseballa MMA gambling columnist and fight recaps. Follow him on Twitter at @RealChrisOlson.

Joe "SunTszu": Known more commonly by his Twitter handle @SunTszu, Joe is a Hedge Fund Executive by day and high-volume DFS player by night. He is a 2x "Bracket Challenge" & "Gotham qualifier. You can also find him as one of the original contributors of "Fight IQ, presented by RotoWire," a DFS-centric video breakdown. He is also a co-creator of the "Creating Alpha in DFS" podcast.

Cole Shelton: Cole Shelton is a full-time sports writer focusing on MMA. His work has appeared on BJPenn.com, CBC Sports, Sports Betting Dime and Blue Jays Nation. He currently pens the MMA Best Bets column on RotoWire. Follow him on Twitter at @ColeShelton91.

Drake Burden: Drake is a proven DFS winner with multiple four-figure paydays under his belt. He took an interest to writing MMA during the pandemic and is active in various Discords and other social media communities. Follow him on Twitter at @DBurdz.

RotoWire Community
Join Our Subscriber-Only MMA Chat
Chat with our writers and other RotoWire MMA fans for all the pre-game info and in-game banter.
Join The Discussion
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Jake Letarski
RotoWire Editor for College Basketball and MMA. Frequent podcaster, plus radio and video guest. Follow Jake on Twitter at @RotoJake.
UFC Tampa Preview and Predictions: The MMA Mashup
UFC Tampa Preview and Predictions: The MMA Mashup
UFC Tampa Covington vs. Buckley DFS Analysis: Drake's Takes
UFC Tampa Covington vs. Buckley DFS Analysis: Drake's Takes
MMA Best Bets: Picks, Odds & Predictions for UFC Tampa
MMA Best Bets: Picks, Odds & Predictions for UFC Tampa
DraftKings MMA: UFC Tampa DFS Preview
DraftKings MMA: UFC Tampa DFS Preview
Fight IQ: UFC 310 Preview, Pantoja vs. Asakura
Fight IQ: UFC 310 Preview, Pantoja vs. Asakura
UFC 310 Preview and Predictions: The MMA Mashup
UFC 310 Preview and Predictions: The MMA Mashup