Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Cease of Mind

Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Cease of Mind

This article is part of our Weekly Pitcher Rankings series.

Spreadsheets with cool algorithms coding geeky formulas have their purpose, including driving these rankings. Admittedly, I don't have a column quantifying the mindset of a pitcher leaving a poor environment for a better one. Sure, I can adjust for league and venue, but the rest is speculation.

A perfect example is Dylan Cease. On a Tuesday in mid-March, Cease went to sleep as a member of the White Sox, thinking about spending another season with a bad team while working half of his games in a power-enhancing hitter's park. The following Wednesday, Cease was headed to the Padres and the warm and cozy confines of Petco Park. Cease would no longer have to nibble. He didn't have to either strike everyone out or induce a grounder. Cease could let his stuff do the work.

I didn't have to follow the formulaic translations... and didn't. But the positive effect of the change in scenery wasn't measurable. What can be quantified is a career-low 7.2 percent walk rate. He's generating few ground balls, but his home run rate has dropped. Kudos to those using some logic to bump Cease up their spring draft sheets after the trade.

UPDATED: Monday June 10, 1:00 AM ET

Week of June 10 - 16

Mixed League

RankPitcherTMOPPCommentsMIX12MIX15
1Dylan CeaseSDOAK, @NYMPitching better than 0-2 with a 5.00 ERA over last three GS suggests  
2Corbin BurnesBAL@TB, PHIStrikeouts a tick down, but

Spreadsheets with cool algorithms coding geeky formulas have their purpose, including driving these rankings. Admittedly, I don't have a column quantifying the mindset of a pitcher leaving a poor environment for a better one. Sure, I can adjust for league and venue, but the rest is speculation.

A perfect example is Dylan Cease. On a Tuesday in mid-March, Cease went to sleep as a member of the White Sox, thinking about spending another season with a bad team while working half of his games in a power-enhancing hitter's park. The following Wednesday, Cease was headed to the Padres and the warm and cozy confines of Petco Park. Cease would no longer have to nibble. He didn't have to either strike everyone out or induce a grounder. Cease could let his stuff do the work.

I didn't have to follow the formulaic translations... and didn't. But the positive effect of the change in scenery wasn't measurable. What can be quantified is a career-low 7.2 percent walk rate. He's generating few ground balls, but his home run rate has dropped. Kudos to those using some logic to bump Cease up their spring draft sheets after the trade.

UPDATED: Monday June 10, 1:00 AM ET

Week of June 10 - 16

Mixed League

RankPitcherTMOPPCommentsMIX12MIX15
1Dylan CeaseSDOAK, @NYMPitching better than 0-2 with a 5.00 ERA over last three GS suggests  
2Corbin BurnesBAL@TB, PHIStrikeouts a tick down, but still one of the best  
3Zack WheelerPHI@BOS, @BAL   
4Logan GilbertSEACWS, TEX   
5Garrett CrochetCWS@SEAFirst SP to be on hug watch?  
6Tyler GlasnowLADKC   
7Bryan WooSEACWS, TEX   
8Chris SaleATLTB   
9Tarik SkubalDET@HOU   
10Sonny GraySTLPIT   
11Freddy PeraltaMILCIN   
12Joe RyanMINOAK   
13Yoshinobu YamamotoLADTEX   
14Jesus LuzardoMIA@NYM, @WAS   
15Max FriedATL@BALShould benefit from extra rest, but a tough pair  
16Zach EflinTBCHC, @ATL   
17Justin SteeleCHC@TB   
18Carlos RodonNYY@KC, @BOS   
19Kevin GausmanTORCLE   
20George KirbySEATEX   
21Luis CastilloSEACWS   
22Bryce MillerSEACWS   
23Michael KingSDOAK   
24Tanner HouckBOSPHIGreat heat check to see if he's for real (he is)  
25Jose BerriosTOR@MIL, CLE4.28 xFIP indicates 2.80 ERA is high, only fanning 6.7 K/9  
26Nathan EovaldiTEX@SEA   
27Erick FeddeCWS@SEA, @ARIShould continue to increase trade stock  
28Luis GilNYY@BOS   
29Aaron NolaPHI@BOS   
30Drew ThorpeCWS@SEA, @ARI 0%2%
31Framber ValdezHOU@SF   
32Ryan PepiotTBBAL, @ATL   
33Seth LugoKCNYY, @LAD   
34Tanner BibeeCLE@CIN   
35Kyle BradishBALPHI   
36Logan WebbSFHOU   
37Reynaldo LopezATL@BAL   
38JP SearsOAK@SD, @MIN 34% 
39Ranger SuarezPHI@BAL   
40Bailey OberMINOAKBeginning a run of five soft starts  
41Paul SkenesPIT@STL, @COLCoors, Schmoors. Now I want a S'more.  
42Grayson RodriguezBALPHI   
43Cole RagansKC@LAD   
44Jake IrvinWAS@DETQuietly effective, 26 K in 24.1 IP over last three starts35% 
45Shota ImanagaCHCSTLOnly 4.1 IP in each of last two starts  
46David PetersonNYMMIA 12% 
47Luis SeverinoNYMMIA   
48Nick LodoloCINCLE   
49Braxton GarrettMIA@NYM   
50Dane DunningTEX@LAD, @SEA   
51Mitch KellerPIT@STL2.62 ERA, 1.17 WHIP with 66K and 18 BB in 68.2 IP since rough first two outings 
52Marcus StromanNYY@KC, @BOS   
53Mitchell ParkerWAS@DET, MIA   
54Nick PivettaBOSPHI   
55Jack FlahertyDET@HOUAppears to have escaped injury scare with his back  
56Chris PaddackMINCOL, OAKIn a rut, but this pair could be the panacea  
57Hunter GreeneCIN@MIL   
58Andrew HeaneyTEX@SEA 14% 
59Bobby MillerLADKC   
60Pablo LopezMINCOLPerfect pair to right the ship  
61Justin VerlanderHOUDET   
62Simeon Woods RichardsonMINOAK 44% 
63Ronel BlancoHOU@SF   
64Hunter BrownHOUDET   
65Javier AssadCHC@TB   
66Bailey FalterPIT@STL 10% 
67Matt WaldronSD@NYM   
68Andrew AbbottCIN@MIL   
69Brandon PfaadtARILAA   
70Ben BrownCHCSTL   
71Ben LivelyCLE@TOR   
72Spencer HowardSFLAA 0%9%
73Kutter CrawfordBOSPHI, NYY   
74Reese OlsonDETWAS   
75MacKenzie GoreWAS@DET   
76Miles MikolasSTLPIT, @CHC 5%39%
77Charlie MortonATLTB   
78Nick MartinezCINCLE 1%9%
79Mix 12 Reliever     
80Keaton WinnSFLAA 3%46%
81Max MeyerMIA@WAS 14% 
82Cal QuantrillCOL@MIN 10% 
83Spencer ArrighettiHOU@SF, DET 28% 
84Jordan HicksSFHOU   
85Nestor CortesNYY@KC   
86Taj BradleyTBCHC   
87Aaron CivaleTBCHC   
88Cristopher SanchezPHI@BOS   
89Chris BassittTOR@MIL   
90Yusei KikuchiTOR@MIL   
91Triston McKenzieCLE@CIN   
92Mix 15 Reliever     
93Lance LynnSTLPIT   
94Tylor MegillNYMMIA, SD   
95Kenta MaedaDETWAS, @HOU 16% 
96Jon GrayTEX@LAD   
97Jose SorianoLAA@ARI   
98Jameson TaillonCHC@TB, STL   
99Griffin CanningLAA@ARI 7% 
100Walker BuehlerLADTEX   
101Jared JonesPIT@COL   
102Brady SingerKCNYY, @LAD   
103DJ HerzWASMIA 0%0%
104Mitch SpenceOAK@MIN 0%18%
105Gavin StoneLADKC   
106Tyler AndersonLAA@SF   
107Sean ManaeaNYMSD   
108Chase SilsethLAA@SF 4%14%
109Jordan MontgomeryARILAA, CWS   
110Kyle GibsonSTL@CHC 40% 
111Bowden FrancisTORCLE 0%19%
112Michael LorenzenTEX@LAD 50% 
113Bryse WilsonMILCIN 9% 
114Trevor RogersMIA@WAS 5%23%
115Austin GomberCOL@MIN 8%28%
116Cody PoteetNYY@KC 3%40%
117Hogan HarrisOAK@SD 0%7%
118Colin ReaMILTOR, CIN 5% 
119Frankie MontasCIN@MIL 45% 
120Jose QuintanaNYMSD 9%26%
121Randy VasquezSDOAK 0%7%
122Cole IrvinBALATL   
123Joey EstesOAK@SD, @MIN 3% 
124Kyle HarrisonSFHOU, LAA   
125Albert SuarezBALATL 33% 
126Zack LittellTB@ATL   
127Andre PallanteSTL@CHC 0%9%
128Luis MedinaOAK@MIN 0%0%
129Hurston WaldrepATLTB 0%0%
130Dakota HudsonCOL@MIN, PIT 0%0%
131Taijuan WalkerPHI@BAL 3% 
132Chris FlexenCWS@ARI 0%0%
133Adam MazurSD@NYM 0%0%
134Carlos RodriguezMILTOR 0%0%
135Casey MizeDETWAS 30% 
136Cade PovichBALATL 0%0%
137James PaxtonLADTEX   
138Patrick SandovalLAA@SF 21% 
139Brayan BelloBOSNYY   
140Luis OrtizPIT@COL 0%2%
141Caleb BoushleyMINCOL 0%0%
142Logan AllenCLE@TOR 0%0%
143Jonathan CannonCWS@SEA 0%0%
144Slade CecconiARILAA 0%19%
145Roddery MunozMIA@NYM 0%0%
146Alec MarshKCNYY   
147Carlos CarrascoCLE@TOR 0%5%
148Ryan FeltnerCOLPIT 2%7%
149Tobias MyersMILTOR 0%9%
150Spencer SchwellenbachATL@BAL 34% 
151Tommy HenryARICWS 0%0%
152Daniel LynchKCNYY 0%2%
153Patrick CorbinWASMIA 0%0%
154Jose SuarezLAA@ARI 0%0%
155Ryne NelsonARICWS 2%46%
156Cooper CriswellBOSNYY 50% 
157Ty BlachCOLPIT 0%4%

American League

RankPitcherTMOPPComment
1Corbin BurnesBAL@TB, PHIStrikeouts a tick down, but still one of the best
2Logan GilbertSEACWS, TEX 
3Garrett CrochetCWS@SEAFirst SP to be on hug watch?
4Bryan WooSEACWS, TEX 
5Tarik SkubalDET@HOU 
6Joe RyanMINOAK 
7Zach EflinTBCHC, @ATL 
8Carlos RodonNYY@KC, @BOS 
9Kevin GausmanTORCLE 
10George KirbySEATEX 
11Luis CastilloSEACWS 
12Bryce MillerSEACWS 
13Tanner HouckBOSPHIGreat heat check to see if he's for real (he is)
14Jose BerriosTOR@MIL, CLE4.28 xFIP indicates 2.80 ERA is high, only fanning 6.7 K/9
15Nathan EovaldiTEX@SEA 
16Erick FeddeCWS@SEA, @ARIShould continue to increase trade stock
17Luis GilNYY@BOS 
18Drew ThorpeCWS@SEA, @ARI 
19Framber ValdezHOU@SF 
20Ryan PepiotTBBAL, @ATL 
21Seth LugoKCNYY, @LAD 
22Tanner BibeeCLE@CIN 
23Kyle BradishBALPHI 
24JP SearsOAK@SD, @MIN 
25Bailey OberMINOAKBeginning a run of five soft starts
26Grayson RodriguezBALPHI 
27Cole RagansKC@LAD 
28Dane DunningTEX@LAD, @SEA 
29Marcus StromanNYY@KC, @BOS 
30Nick PivettaBOSPHI 
31Jack FlahertyDET@HOUAppears to have escaped injury scare with his back
32Chris PaddackMINCOL, OAKIn a rut, but this pair could be the panacea
33Andrew HeaneyTEX@SEA 
34Pablo LopezMINCOLPerfect pair to right the ship
35Justin VerlanderHOUDET 
36Simeon Woods RichardsonMINOAK 
37Ronel BlancoHOU@SF 
38Hunter BrownHOUDET 
39Ben LivelyCLE@TOR 
40Kutter CrawfordBOSPHI, NYY 
41Reese OlsonDETWAS 
42Spencer ArrighettiHOU@SF, DET 
43Nestor CortesNYY@KC 
44Taj BradleyTBCHC 
45Aaron CivaleTBCHC 
46Chris BassittTOR@MIL 
47Yusei KikuchiTOR@MIL 
48Triston McKenzieCLE@CIN 
49Kenta MaedaDETWAS, @HOU 
50Jon GrayTEX@LAD 
51Jose SorianoLAA@ARI 
52Griffin CanningLAA@ARI 
53Brady SingerKCNYY, @LAD 
54Mitch SpenceOAK@MIN 
55Tyler AndersonLAA@SF 
56Chase SilsethLAA@SF 
57Bowden FrancisTORCLE 
58AL Reliever   
59Michael LorenzenTEX@LAD 
60Cody PoteetNYY@KC 
61Hogan HarrisOAK@SD 
62Cole IrvinBALATL 
63Joey EstesOAK@SD, @MIN 
64Albert SuarezBALATL 
65Zack LittellTB@ATL 
66Luis MedinaOAK@MIN 
67Chris FlexenCWS@ARI 
68Casey MizeDETWAS 
69Cade PovichBALATL 
70Patrick SandovalLAA@SF 
71Brayan BelloBOSNYY 
72Caleb BoushleyMINCOL 
73Logan AllenCLE@TOR 
74Jonathan CannonCWS@SEA 
75Alec MarshKCNYY 
76Carlos CarrascoCLE@TOR 
77Daniel LynchKCNYY 
78Jose SuarezLAA@ARI 
79Cooper CriswellBOSNYY 

National League

RankPitcherTMOPPComment
1Dylan CeaseSDOAK, @NYMPitching better than 0-2 with a 5.00 ERA over last three GS suggests
2Zack WheelerPHI@BOS, @BAL 
3Tyler GlasnowLADKC 
4Chris SaleATLTB 
5Sonny GraySTLPIT 
6Freddy PeraltaMILCIN 
7Yoshinobu YamamotoLADTEX 
8Jesus LuzardoMIA@NYM, @WAS 
9Max FriedATL@BALShould benefit from extra rest, but a tough pair
10Justin SteeleCHC@TB 
11Michael KingSDOAK 
12Aaron NolaPHI@BOS 
13Logan WebbSFHOU 
14Reynaldo LopezATL@BAL 
15Ranger SuarezPHI@BAL 
16Paul SkenesPIT@STL, @COLCoors, Schmoors. Now I want a S'more.
17Jake IrvinWAS@DETQuietly effective, 26 K in 24.1 IP over last three starts
18Shota ImanagaCHCSTLOnly 4.1 IP in each of last two starts
19David PetersonNYMMIA 
20Luis SeverinoNYMMIA 
21Nick LodoloCINCLE 
22Braxton GarrettMIA@NYM 
23Mitch KellerPIT@STL2.62 ERA, 1.17 WHIP with 66K and 18 BB in 68.2 IP since rough first two outings
24Mitchell ParkerWAS@DET, MIA 
25Hunter GreeneCIN@MIL 
26Bobby MillerLADKC 
27Javier AssadCHC@TB 
28Bailey FalterPIT@STL 
29Matt WaldronSD@NYM 
30Andrew AbbottCIN@MIL 
31Brandon PfaadtARILAA 
32Ben BrownCHCSTL 
33Spencer HowardSFLAA 
34MacKenzie GoreWAS@DET 
35Miles MikolasSTLPIT, @CHC 
36Charlie MortonATLTB 
37Nick MartinezCINCLE 
38Keaton WinnSFLAA 
39Max MeyerMIA@WAS 
40Cal QuantrillCOL@MIN 
41Jordan HicksSFHOU 
42Cristopher SanchezPHI@BOS 
43Lance LynnSTLPIT 
44Tylor MegillNYMMIA, SD 
45Jameson TaillonCHC@TB, STL 
46Walker BuehlerLADTEX 
47Jared JonesPIT@COL 
48DJ HerzWASMIA 
49Gavin StoneLADKC 
50Sean ManaeaNYMSD 
51Jordan MontgomeryARILAA, CWS 
52Kyle GibsonSTL@CHC 
53NL Reliever   
54Bryse WilsonMILCIN 
55Trevor RogersMIA@WAS 
56Austin GomberCOL@MIN 
57Colin ReaMILTOR, CIN 
58Frankie MontasCIN@MIL 
59Jose QuintanaNYMSD 
60Randy VasquezSDOAK 
61Kyle HarrisonSFHOU, LAA 
62Andre PallanteSTL@CHC 
63Hurston WaldrepATLTB 
64Dakota HudsonCOL@MIN, PIT 
65Taijuan WalkerPHI@BAL 
66Adam MazurSD@NYM 
67Carlos RodriguezMILTOR 
68James PaxtonLADTEX 
69Luis OrtizPIT@COL 
70Slade CecconiARILAA 
71Roddery MunozMIA@NYM 
72Ryan FeltnerCOLPIT 
73Tobias MyersMILTOR 
74Spencer SchwellenbachATL@BAL 
75Tommy HenryARICWS 
76Patrick CorbinWASMIA 
77Ryne NelsonARICWS 
78Ty BlachCOLPIT 

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Todd Zola
Todd has been writing about fantasy baseball since 1997. He won NL Tout Wars and Mixed LABR in 2016 as well as a multi-time league winner in the National Fantasy Baseball Championship. Todd is now setting his sights even higher: The Rotowire Staff League. Lord Zola, as he's known in the industry, won the 2013 FSWA Fantasy Baseball Article of the Year award and was named the 2017 FSWA Fantasy Baseball Writer of the Year. Todd is a five-time FSWA awards finalist.
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