Curtis Samuel

Curtis Samuel

28-Year-Old Wide ReceiverWR
Buffalo Bills
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Samuel joined the Bills’ high-powered offense as a free agent after three years in Washington. With both Samuel and Khalil Shakir having mostly played the slot, it’s unclear which receiver will spend more time there this season. Samuel might fit best in the slot, but it'll be hard to maintain fantasy value if he's not on the field in two-wide formations, as the Bills figure to use a lot of multi-TE packages with Dalton Kincaid and Dawson Knox. Meanwhile, rookie second-round pick Keon Coleman figures to get a lot of the perimeter WR snaps and could end up being the top deep threat for QB Josh Allen. Other than an injury-marred 2021 season, Samuel has topped 600 receiving yards every year since 2019 and scored 5-7 TDs in each season since 2018. He's never been more than a WR3 type for fantasy, and even that's been more miss than hit since he moved from Carolina to Washington after the 2020 campaign. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#132.79
ADP
$Signed a three-year, $24 million contract with the Bills in March of 2024.
Posts five catches, TD in Week 11
WRBuffalo Bills
November 17, 2024
Samuel caught five of six targets for 58 yards and one touchdown during Sunday's 30-21 victory versus the Chiefs.
ANALYSIS
Fellow wide receiver Keon Coleman has missed back-to-back games due to a wrist injury, and Samuel has responded with a 9-93-1 line on 14 targets during that span. Samuel even was on the receiving end of QB Josh Allen's sole TD pass from 12 yards out early in the fourth quarter to extend the Bills' lead to nine points. Buffalo has a Week 12 bye on the schedule, meaning Coleman could be back in action when the team next takes the field Sunday, Dec. 1 against the 49ers. If that comes to pass, Samuel likely would slip down the WR pecking order behind Coleman and Khalil Shakir.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Curtis Samuel's 2024 advanced stats compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Air Yards Per Game
    The number of air yards he is averaging per game. Air yards measure how far the ball was thrown downfield for both complete and incomplete passes. Air yards are recorded as a negative value when the pass is targeted behind the line of scrimmage. All air yards data is from Sports Info Solutions and does not include throwaways as targeted passes.
  • Air Yards Per Snap
    The number of air yards he is averaging per offensive snap.
  • % Team Air Yards
    The percentage of the team's total air yards he accounts for.
  • % Team Targets
    The percentage of the team's total targets he accounts for.
  • Avg Depth of Target
    Also known as aDOT, this stat measures the average distance down field he is being targeted at.
  • Catch Rate
    The number of catches made divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Drop Rate
    The number of passes he dropped divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Avg Yds After Catch
    The number of yards he gains after the catch on his receptions.
  • % Targeted On Route
    Targets divided by total routes run. Also known as TPRR.
  • Avg Yds Per Route Run
    Receiving yards divided by total routes run. Also known as YPRR.
Air Yards Per Game
20.4
 
Air Yards Per Snap
0.84
 
% Team Air Yards
8.6%
 
% Team Targets
10.2%
 
Avg Depth of Target
6.2 Yds
 
Catch Rate
63.6%
 
Drop Rate
0.0%
 
Avg Yds After Catch
4.2
 
% Targeted On Route
20.6%
 
Avg Yds Per Route Run
1.16
 
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
Buffalo BillsBills 2024 WR Snap Distribution See more data like this | See last season's snap counts
#% of Team Snaps

43265%
17565%
36555%
10338%
35554%
16963%
24437%
12045%
12719%
00%
8813%
7026%
223%
62%
213%
218%
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Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where Curtis Samuel lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
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2024 Curtis Samuel Split Stats
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Measurables Review View College Player Page
How do Curtis Samuel's measurables compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.
Height
5' 11"
 
Weight
195 lbs
 
40-Yard Dash
4.31 sec
 
Vertical Jump
37.0 in
 
Broad Jump
133 in
 
Hand Length
8.75 in
 
Arm Length
31.50 in
 
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Curtis Samuel See More
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NFL Waiver Wire: Week 12 Early Watch
6 days ago
Jim Coventry offers an early look at players to keep an eye on for the upcoming waiver-wire run.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
After his first year in Washington was essentially wiped out by groin and hamstring injuries, Samuel rebounded strong in 2022 to play all 17 games and put up 843 total yards (187) and five touchdowns. The downside, at least in fantasy terms, is that his workload shifted from the air and more toward the ground as the season went along, in part due to rookie WR Jahan Dotson's emergence as a legitimate second weapon across from Terry McLaurin. While he's a good No. 3 receiver in real-life terms, Samuel probably isn't going to be prioritized in an offense with Dotson and McLaurin, nor are the Commanders likely to put up enough points to support three fantasy-start-worthy WRs. They're counting on either 2022 fifth-round pick Sam Howell or 30-year-old Jacoby Brissett at quarterback, hoping new offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy can pull things together after he helped the Chiefs win a pair of Super Bowls in recent years.
The first season of Samuel's three-year, $31.5 million contract couldn't have gone much worse, with a lingering groin injury and then a hamstring injury limiting him to five games and 84 snaps. The good news is that he'll be only 26 this season — plenty young to rebound — and is only two years removed from his career-best campaign with the Panthers. There is the not-so-small matter of poor QB play, which also was an issue in Carolina, plus Samuel's upside could take a sizable hit if he's only the No. 3 receiver behind lead dog Terry McLaurin and first-round pick Jahan Dotson. Then again, Samuel's breakout year came as the No. 3 in Carolina, and his ability to contribute on the ground (76 career carries for 489 yards and five TDs, 6.4 YPC) creates a path to fantasy viability even if Commanders OC Scott Turner keeps his receiving volume around a handful of targets per week. Samuel avoided surgery in the offseason, and the Commanders hope his 4.31 speed will be back on display in the near future.
Despite playing with a below average QB and sharing targets with two quality receivers, Samuel had a breakout of sorts last year, setting career highs in catches, yards and yards per target. He also ran for 200 yards and two touchdowns. As a result, the Football Team signed him to a three-year, $34.5 million contract, making him the complement to rising star Terry McLaurin. At 5-11, 195, Samuel has average size, but like McLaurin, he can fly - 4.31 40, and his athletic marks are similarly superlative - 37-inch vertical, 133-inch broad jump. For 2021, the Team will feature two of the more explosive outside threats in the league. Moreover, the Team signed aging gunslinger Ryan Fitzpatrick, who won't shy away from taking chances downfield, even at the risk of interceptions and sacks. McLaurin is still the No. 1 option, and tertiary targets Cam Sims and Logan Thomas will have roles, but Samuel should figure prominently in the offense once he returns from a stint in IR that will cause him to miss at least three weeks to start the coming season.
Samuel disappointed in Year 3, despite seeing 105 targets. Part of that was due to Cam Newton being out most of the season and Kyle Allen not being an adequate replacement, but D.J. Moore's efficiency wasn't similarly affected. All told, Samuel managed 11.6 YPC and a meager 6.0 YPT, last among the league's 30 100-target receivers. As a result, the Panthers signed deep threat Robby Anderson to a twoyear deal, likely pushing Samuel to the No. 3 option, and that's not counting tailback Christian McCaffrey and his 142 targets. While newly signed Teddy Bridgewater should be an upgrade from Allen, it's hard to see him generating enough offense for four productive pass catchers. That said, Samuel could see more short, quick throws from the slot, and the offense under new coach Matt Rhule and offensive coordinator Joe Brady might be more innovative than last year's.
Injured for much of his rookie season, Samuel made strides in Year 2, though he missed the first three games of 2018 after having surgery to address an irregular heartbeat. In only 13 games, Samuel had seven TDs (five receiving, two rushing) and 578 scrimmage yards on 65 targets and eight carries. At 5-11, 195, he has average size but blazing speed (4.31 40) and top-notch athleticism - 37-inch vertical, 133-inch broad jump, i.e., he's a dangerous person with the ball in his hands. The problem for Samuel is the Panthers have two other versatile playmakers in Christian McCaffrey and last year's first-round pick D.J. Moore, a bigger, not-quite-as-fast WR who can also carry the ball. Assuming Cam Newton is healthy again after shoulder surgery, the entire Panthers passing game should be better, and the departure of Devin Funchess opens up 79 more targets. The Panthers signed Chris Hogan this offseason to be their bigger-bodied receiver, but it's a small, one-year deal, and there's no guarantee Hogan has a significant share of the offense. Bottom line, Samuel should have more opportunities Year 3, in what should be an improved passing attack. Don't forget to add some rushing stats to his totals.
Samuel was drafted in the second round last year as a utility player capable of adding devastating speed to the Panthers offense. However, injuries largely derailed his rookie campaign, leaving him in need of proving himself again this time around. With increased competition at wide receiver, Samuel may be restricted to certain packages that highlight his ability in space.
The Panthers' second round pick, Samuel finds himself in an interesting spot. While the team isn't deep at WR -- No. 1 option Kelvin Benjamin showed up to offseason activities in sub-optimal condition, and ostensible No. 2 Devin Funchess has been inconsistent -- it also drafted RB Christian McCaffrey in the first round, and the two have somewhat overlapping skill sets. At 5-11, 197, Samuel, is blazingly fast -- 4.31 40 -- and athletic -- 37-inch vertical and 133-inch broad jump. As such, he's dangerous with the ball in his hands, and a threat as a ballcarrier or receiver. Of course, much of that description could apply to McCaffery, so Samuel figures to be used mostly as a slot receiver. Don't expect much red-zone work, either -- tight end Greg Olsen and the 6-5 Benjamin are likely to dominate the targets down there.
More Fantasy News
Reels in four passes
WRBuffalo Bills
November 12, 2024
Samuel caught four of eight targets for 35 yards in Sunday's 30-20 win over the Colts.
ANALYSIS
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Ready for Sunday
WRBuffalo Bills
November 8, 2024
Samuel (pectoral) doesn't have a designation for Sunday's contest at Indianapolis.
ANALYSIS
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Stays limited Thursday
WRBuffalo Bills
Pectoral
November 7, 2024
Samuel (pectoral) remained a limited participant in Thursday's practice.
ANALYSIS
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Limited practice participant
WRBuffalo Bills
Pectoral
November 6, 2024
Samuel (pectoral) was a limited practice participant Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Cleared to play Sunday
WRBuffalo Bills
November 3, 2024
Samuel (pectoral) is active for Sunday's game against the Dolphins.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
In line for larger role Sunday
WRBuffalo Bills
October 4, 2024
Samuel was specifically mentioned by head coach Sean McDermott as one of the likely beneficiaries of Khalil Shakir's forthcoming Week 5 absence due to an ankle injury, Alaina Getzenberg of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Shakir failed to practice all week after coming out of a Week 4 loss to the Ravens with ankle soreness. Upon ruling out Shakir for Sunday's game against the Texans, McDermott remarked "thankful we have Curtis" with respect to the reinforcements that will be asked to step up in the No. 1 wideout's absence. Samuel has notably been relegated to a very minor role over the first four games of the season, recording just eight receptions for 48 yards and two rushes for seven yards across a modest 65 snaps from scrimmage.
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