Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid

24-Year-Old Tight EndTE
Buffalo Bills
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Kincaid took a while to gain Josh Allen’s trust, but the 2023 first-round pick out of Utah got going from Week 7 onward, catching 56 passes for 555 yards and two touchdowns on 72 targets over the final 11 games. It helped that fellow Bills tight end Dawson Knox missed five of those games due to a wrist injury, but Kincaid’s two best yardage totals (87 and 84) came in Weeks 17 and 18 after Knox had returned. The biggest knock on Kincaid’s otherwise promising rookie season was that he caught only two of Allen’s 29 touchdown passes, though he added a third in the playoffs (along with 104 yards on 11 targets in two games). After scoring eight touchdowns in each of his last two seasons at Utah, the 6-foot-4, 240-pound rookie tied for 17th among TEs with nine red-zone targets last year, somehow seeing only one more than Knox. It’s hard to imagine Kincaid’s red-zone usage staying that low in the future, but with the 6-foot-4, 254-pound Knox still around, Kincaid may continue to cede more prime score opportunities than other similarly skilled tight ends. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#59.98
ADP
$Signed a four-year, $13.43 million contract with the Bills in May of 2023.
Four grabs in Week 2 win
TEBuffalo Bills
September 12, 2024
Kincaid secured all four targets for 33 yards in the Bills' 31-10 win over the Dolphins on Thursday night.
ANALYSIS
Kincaid had surprisingly been held to just one reception in the season-opening win against the Cardinals, and Josh Allen appeared intent on getting his second-year tight end involved early Thursday. Kincaid was on the receiving end of Allen's first two pass attempts, which totaled 17 yards. Kincaid still finished with a modest line overall, but he did have the second-most receptions and targets on the night for the Bills while also tying Ty Johnson for second-most receiving yards. Kincaid should have a chance to see his opportunities continue to climb in a Week 3 home matchup against the Jaguars on Monday, Sept. 23.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Dalton Kincaid's 2024 advanced stats compare to other tight ends?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Air Yards Per Game
    The number of air yards he is averaging per game. Air yards measure how far the ball was thrown downfield for both complete and incomplete passes. Air yards are recorded as a negative value when the pass is targeted behind the line of scrimmage. All air yards data is from Sports Info Solutions and does not include throwaways as targeted passes.
  • Air Yards Per Snap
    The number of air yards he is averaging per offensive snap.
  • % Team Air Yards
    The percentage of the team's total air yards he accounts for.
  • % Team Targets
    The percentage of the team's total targets he accounts for.
  • Avg Depth of Target
    Also known as aDOT, this stat measures the average distance down field he is being targeted at.
  • Catch Rate
    The number of catches made divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Drop Rate
    The number of passes he dropped divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Avg Yds After Catch
    The number of yards he gains after the catch on his receptions.
  • % Targeted On Route
    Targets divided by total routes run. Also known as TPRR.
  • Avg Yds Per Route Run
    Receiving yards divided by total routes run. Also known as YPRR.
Air Yards Per Game
-0.5
 
Air Yards Per Snap
-0.01
 
% Team Air Yards
-0.3%
 
% Team Targets
14.6%
 
Avg Depth of Target
-0.2 Yds
 
Catch Rate
83.3%
 
Drop Rate
0.0%
 
Avg Yds After Catch
9.2
 
% Targeted On Route
15.4%
 
Avg Yds Per Route Run
1.13
 
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2024
2023
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
Buffalo BillsBills 2024 TE Snap Distribution See more data like this | See last season's snap counts
D.Dalton Kincaid
#% of Team Snaps

7068%
5755%
1212%
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How often does Dalton Kincaid run a route when on the field for a pass play?
This data will let you see how Dalton Kincaid and the other tight ends for the Bills are being used. Some tight ends may have a lot of snaps, but they're not that useful for fantasy purposes because they're not actually running routes. This data will help you see when this is the case.
Dalton Kincaid
39 routes   6 targets
← More Blocking
% Routes Run
More Receiving →
56%
18 routes   2 targets
32%
0 routes   0 targets
0%
Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where Dalton Kincaid lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
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This Week's Opposing Pass Defense
How does the Dolphins pass defense compare to other NFL teams this season?
The bars represents the team's percentile rank (based on QB Rating Against). The longer the bar, the better their pass defense is. The team and position group ratings only include players that are currently on the roster and not on injured reserve. The list of players in the table only includes defenders with at least 3 attempts against them.
MIA
@ Dolphins
Thursday, Sep 12th at 8:15PM
Overall QB Rating Against
112.3
 
Cornerbacks
109.0
 
Safeties
95.8
 
Linebackers
121.4
 
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2024 Dalton Kincaid Split Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Dalton Kincaid See More
Locker Thursday Night Football Review
3 days ago
Jim Coventry shares his experience and strategy from playing in Locker's contest for Thursday's Bills/Dolphins matchup.
Thursday Night Football DFS Breakdown: Bills vs. Dolphins
4 days ago
Mike Barner analyzes the DFS contests for the Thursday night game as Josh Allen is the far better option at quarterback.
NFL Game Previews: Falcons-Eagles Monday Night Matchup
4 days ago
Erik Siegrist previews the Monday night matchup as the Jalen Hurts and the Eagles play host to the Falcons.
Weekly Rankings: Week 2 Value Meter
5 days ago
Jordan Love's injury could be disastrous for all of the Packers' fantasy values.
NFL Box Score Breakdown: Snaps, Personnel and Advanced Stats from Week 1
7 days ago
Jerry Donabedian surveys roles and usage in his Week 1 deep dive, with standouts including Lions WR Jameson Williams, Seahawks RB Kenneth Walker and Packers TE Tucker Kraft.
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Buffalo traded up two spots to select Kincaid 25th overall in the 2023 NFL Draft. While the rookie out of Utah is going to an explosive offense helmed by quarterback Josh Allen, the presence of fellow tight end Dawson Knox likely will prevent Kincaid from taking on large snap counts. Knox already has excellent red-zone chemistry with Allen, having caught 15 touchdowns over the past two seasons, and there will only be so many targets to go around for the tight ends behind wide receivers Stefon Diggs and Gabriel Davis. Kincaid scored eight touchdowns each of his last two seasons at Utah, and he finished with 70 catches for 890 yards in 2022. The 6-foot-4 tight end has the skills and situation to develop into a productive pass catcher at the position, but he’ll likely be brought along slowly unless injuries to teammates thrust him into a key role.
More Fantasy News
Just one catch Week 1
TEBuffalo Bills
September 8, 2024
Kincaid caught one of two targets for 11 yards in Sunday's 34-28 win over the Cardinals.
ANALYSIS
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Prospects strong for 2024
TEBuffalo Bills
September 4, 2024
Kincaid's depth of target increased from six yards to nine yards after offensive coordinator Joe Brady took over for Ken Dorsey during the second half of the 2023 season, Alec White of the Bills' official site reports. Kincaid also averaged 14.5 yards per catch during the Bills' final two regular-season games and two postseason games.
ANALYSIS
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Rested for preseason finale
TEBuffalo Bills
August 24, 2024
Kincaid didn't see the field in Saturday's 31-26 preseason loss to the Panthers.
ANALYSIS
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To play over a quarter Saturday
TEBuffalo Bills
August 16, 2024
The Bills plan for Kincaid and the starting offense to play one and a half quarters during Saturday's preseason game against the Steelers, Alaina Getzenberg of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Shining at camp
TEBuffalo Bills
August 5, 2024
Kincaid has been impressive throughout training camp, according to Alex Brasky of the Batavia Daily News.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Breakout candidate for 2024
TEBuffalo Bills
July 6, 2024
Gilberto Manzano of SI.com believes Kincaid is the most likely player on the Bills to have a breakout season in 2024.
ANALYSIS
With the Bills sending All-Pro pass catcher Stefon Diggs to the Texans in the offseason, Buffalo's wide receiver corps is headlined by Curtis Samuel, Khalil Shakir and 2024 second-round pick Keon Coleman. Kincaid began 2023 as the backup tight end to Dawson Knox, but the former blossomed in the second half of the season and became a go-to option for quarterback Josh Allen. Kincaid had 73 catches for 673 yards and two touchdowns in 2023 during the regular season, and the second-year tight end out of Utah should draw plenty of attention from opposing defenses, particularly in the red zone with his 6-foot-4, 240-pound frame.
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