Dawson Knox

Dawson Knox

28-Year-Old Tight EndTE
Buffalo Bills
2024 Fantasy Outlook
After totaling 1,104 receiving yards and 15 touchdowns between 2021 and 2022, Knox ceded the vast majority of Buffalo’s 2023 tight end targets to rookie first-round pick Dalton Kincaid. Knox was limited to 186 receiving yards and two touchdowns across 12 appearances in 2023, though he played at least half of Buffalo’s offensive snaps in each of the first seven games before missing five weeks with a wrist injury. Kincaid stepped up in his absence, and Knox then topped a 47 percent share only once in his final seven games (including playoffs). Even with Buffalo lacking established pass catchers after losing Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis this offseason, it would likely take an injury to Kincaid for the 27-year-old Knox to regain his former prominent role. Kincaid is firmly entrenched as the team's top pass-catching tight end, coming off a 673-yard rookie season. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#325.7
ADP
$Signed a three-year, $29.5 million restructured contract with the Bills in March of 2024.
Gains 40 yards sans Kincaid
TEBuffalo Bills
November 17, 2024
Knox finished with four receptions on six targets for 40 yards in Sunday's 30-21 win over the Chiefs.
ANALYSIS
Knox filled in for injured starter Dalton Kincaid (knee) in a headline win over the Chiefs. The 28-year-old Knox recorded new season highs in targets (six) and receptions (four), but his 40 receiving yards did not. With the Bills entering a bye week, Knox may find himself back in a backup role when the team resumes play against San Francisco on Dec. 1.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Dawson Knox's 2024 advanced stats compare to other tight ends?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Air Yards Per Game
    The number of air yards he is averaging per game. Air yards measure how far the ball was thrown downfield for both complete and incomplete passes. Air yards are recorded as a negative value when the pass is targeted behind the line of scrimmage. All air yards data is from Sports Info Solutions and does not include throwaways as targeted passes.
  • Air Yards Per Snap
    The number of air yards he is averaging per offensive snap.
  • % Team Air Yards
    The percentage of the team's total air yards he accounts for.
  • % Team Targets
    The percentage of the team's total targets he accounts for.
  • Avg Depth of Target
    Also known as aDOT, this stat measures the average distance down field he is being targeted at.
  • Catch Rate
    The number of catches made divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Drop Rate
    The number of passes he dropped divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Avg Yds After Catch
    The number of yards he gains after the catch on his receptions.
  • % Targeted On Route
    Targets divided by total routes run. Also known as TPRR.
  • Avg Yds Per Route Run
    Receiving yards divided by total routes run. Also known as YPRR.
Air Yards Per Game
18.7
 
Air Yards Per Snap
0.52
 
% Team Air Yards
8.7%
 
% Team Targets
6.8%
 
Avg Depth of Target
9.4 Yds
 
Catch Rate
63.6%
 
Drop Rate
4.5%
 
Avg Yds After Catch
3.9
 
% Targeted On Route
12.2%
 
Avg Yds Per Route Run
1.01
 
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2024
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
Buffalo BillsBills 2024 TE Snap Distribution See more data like this | See last season's snap counts
#% of Team Snaps

39960%
18468%
36455%
10138%
10816%
7026%
112%
114%
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How often does Dawson Knox run a route when on the field for a pass play?
This data will let you see how Dawson Knox and the other tight ends for the Bills are being used. Some tight ends may have a lot of snaps, but they're not that useful for fantasy purposes because they're not actually running routes. This data will help you see when this is the case.
Dawson Knox
181 routes   22 targets
← More Blocking
% Routes Run
More Receiving →
45%
218 routes   59 targets
60%
29 routes   2 targets
27%
Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where Dawson Knox lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
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2024 Dawson Knox Split Stats
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Measurables Review View College Player Page
How do Dawson Knox's measurables compare to other tight ends?
This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.
Height
6' 4"
 
Weight
254 lbs
 
Shuttle Time
4.27 sec
 
Cone Drill
7.12 sec
 
Vertical Jump
34.5 in
 
Bench Press
16 reps
 
Hand Length
9.75 in
 
Arm Length
33.50 in
 
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
Knox’s 2022 season was similar to his 2021 campaign, except for a noticeable drop in touchdowns from nine to six. He once again dressed for 15 games, finishing six targets, one catch and 70 yards short of his previous year’s totals. The 6-foot-4 tight end has red zone chemistry with star quarterback Josh Allen, but since Knox has yet to break 50 catches or 600 yards in any of his four NFL seasons, his fantasy value is tied primarily to his touchdown total. His 2022 red zone target total was disappointing in that regard, as Knox dropped from 19 such looks in 2021 to just 11, which is only one more red zone target than he saw as a part-time player in 2020. Another production dip seems likely in 2023 after the Bills spent their first-round pick on TE Dalton Kincaid, who had 1,400 yards and 16 TDs over his final two seasons at Utah. The rookie may not take over the starting job but probably won't need long to cut into Knox's snaps/routes/targets. Even if Kincaid mostly plays in two-TE sets, his presence could mean more blocking snaps and fewer routes run for Knox.
Knox broke out in his third NFL campaign last season, setting career highs across the board. He ranked just 20th among tight ends in targets (71) despite missing only two games, but Knox’s 19 red-zone looks tied for fourth at the position, and he tied for the league lead among tight ends with nine touchdowns. There’s little reason to think the Bills will change Knox’s role this season, even after they signed O.J. Howard, considering their approach last season produced 28.4 points per game and an AFC East crown. Knox’s red-zone chemistry with quarterback Josh Allen is apparent, but there remain plenty of mouths to feed between the 20s in an offense that likes to take advantage of Allen’s arm strength by pushing the ball downfield to Stefon Diggs and Gabriel Davis. Knox offers a nice blend of size and speed, with a 4.57 40 at 254 pounds, but given his dependence on touchdowns, he could struggle to match the consistency of some similarly regarded tight ends. That’s especially true in PPR formats, even if he has big games here and there.
Knox was a surprise third-round pick in 2019, after wrapping up his career at Ole Miss with 39 catches for 605 yards and no touchdowns. The Bills apparently were impressed by his blocking, along with a reported 4.57-second 40-yard dash from his pro day. Two years later, Knox has started 18 of his 27 games, typically playing about 60 percent of offensive snaps when healthy. However, he's made more than his fair share of mistakes, including 10 drops on 50 targets as a rookie, followed by two fumbles (and four drops) on just 24 catches in 2020. While QB Josh Allen has elevated Buffalo's wide receivers, the team hasn’t gotten much from its tight ends in recent years. There was no big offseason addition to correct that problem, though it is possible Jacob Hollister takes snaps from Knox, particularly on passing downs. On the other hand, Knox still has a degree of breakout appeal, given his size/speed combo and likely starting role in a high-powered offense.
A third-round pick last year, Knox was second among rookie tight ends in snaps (659) and third in targets, waltzing his way to a starting job after Tyler Kroft suffered a broken foot in OTAs. The Ole Miss product finished his college career with 605 yards and nary a touchdown, struggling to find targets behind A.J. Brown and DK Metcalf. Knox's impressive pro day (4.57 40), 254-pound frame and reputation for strong blocking inspired the Bills to take a shot, and while the rookie perhaps held his own as a starter, the lack of polish was evident (14.3 percent drop rate). He did at least show some big-play ability with five catches for 160 yards on 11 targets traveling 20plus yards downfield. The Bills didn't bring in serious competition, and Knox figures to enter this season atop the depth chart, potentially even handling a three-down role. In terms of targets, he'll presumably fall in somewhere behind Stefon Diggs and John Brown, and possibly behind Cole Beasley and Devin Singletary.
More Fantasy News
Likely to see increased reps
TEBuffalo Bills
November 15, 2024
With Dalton Kincaid (knee) ruled out for Week 11 against the Chiefs, Knox is expected to take on an elevated role Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Records chunk gain in Sunday's win
TEBuffalo Bills
November 10, 2024
Knox brought in two of three targets for 40 yards in the Bills' 30-20 win over the Colts on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Records one reception in Week 9
TEBuffalo Bills
November 5, 2024
Knox finished Sunday's 30-27 win over the Dolphins with one catch on two targets for five yards.
ANALYSIS
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Two catches in win
TEBuffalo Bills
October 29, 2024
Knox caught both of his targets for 50 yards in Sunday's 31-10 win over the Seahawks.
ANALYSIS
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Ready for Week 8
TEBuffalo Bills
October 25, 2024
Knox (ankle) doesn't have a designation for Sunday's game in Seattle.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Set for expanded role Sunday
TEBuffalo Bills
November 15, 2024
Knox is expected to fill a larger role during Sunday's game against the Chiefs since fellow tight end Dalton Kincaid has been ruled out due to a knee injury, Alaina Getzenberg of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Kincaid suffered the knee injury during the Week 10 win over the Colts, missing all but two plays in the second half. The second-year pro's absence will thrust Knox into a larger role after he logged a season-high 48 snaps versus Indianapolis in light of Kincaid missing what amounted to half the game.
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